Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 6/3/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Minnesota Lynx (7-0) play the Phoenix Mercury (5-2) at Target Center on Tuesday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Los Angeles Sparks and went home with a win by a final score of 85-80 in their last contest. Phoenix finished with a 40.6% FG percentage (26 of 64) and knocked down 12 of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Mercury made 21 of their 24 attempts for a rate of 87.5%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 38 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists for this game in addition to creating 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Regarding defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 36.6% from the field on 26 out of 71 shooting. Los Angeles totaled 12 assists and had 11 steals in this game. Moreover, Los Angeles collected 38 rebounds (12 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 3 blocks. Los Angeles finished shooting 80.0% at the free throw line by burying 20 of their 25 tries. They also buried 8 out of their 35 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Satou Sabally is a player who came through in the game. She accumulated 24 points on 7 out of 19 shooting. She played 32 minutes and pulled down 9 boards. Sabally ended up shooting 36.8% from the field and also recorded 2 assists.

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Phoenix enters this contest with a win-loss record of 5-2 for the season. They average 79.7 points per contest (9th in basketball) while connecting on 41.6% from the floor. The Mercury are connecting on 32.9% on shots from downtown (69 of 210) and 76.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 33.9 boards per game and has tallied 144 assists for the season, which has them ranked 6th in the WNBA in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.4 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 20.3 personal fouls per contest. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are forcing 16.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.0 fouls. They are surrendering 26.6% from 3-point land and they rank 2nd in the WNBA in points per game allowed (75.3). The Mercury are giving up a FG percentage of 39.6% (114 of 133) and they relinquish 36.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 9th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 131 relinquished so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Minnesota Lynx got the victory with a final of 86-75 when they played the Golden State Valkyries. The Lynx pulled down 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 36 in this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 10 steals for the game. The Valkyries were called for 19 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Lynx to the free throw line for 20 shots. They were able to make 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 75.0%. With respect to three-point shots, Minnesota made 11 of their 26 tries (42.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Lynx went 30 out of 66 from the field which had them sitting at 45.5%. The Lynx allowed the Valkyries to convert 24 out of 65 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 36.9% in this matchup. They shot 26.5% from 3-point land by going 9 of 34 and ended up going 18 out of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota allowed Golden State to collect 37 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Napheesa Collier ended up having an impact for the Lynx in this matchup. She converted 8 of 18 for the matchup for a rate of 44.4%, and totaled 11 rebounds. Collier racked up 24 points in her 37 minutes on the court and had 4 assists in the matchup.

Minnesota has a mark of 7-0 so far this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Lynx are shooting 45.1% from the floor, which is ranked 4th in basketball. Minnesota has earned 591 pts on the campaign (84.4 per contest) and they average 34.3 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 22.9 times per game (2nd in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest. The Lynx are responsible for committing 17.6 fouls per game and they connect on 79.2% from the charity stripe. The Lynx on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in basketball in points given up per game with 76.1. They have allowed 18.3 dimes and 34.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 4th and 5th in basketball. The Minnesota defense concedes 28.9% on shots from distance (54 of 187) and opponents are converting on 79.5% of their foul shots. They are able to force 14.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.0% from the field (5th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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