Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/16/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Youtube TV

Target Center is the venue where and the Minnesota Lynx (19-4) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (15-6) on Wednesday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Golden State Valkyries and took home the win by a score of 78-77 in their last contest. Phoenix wrapped up the game with a 47.4% field goal percentage (27 out of 57) and made 12 out of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mercury buried 12 of 19 attempts for a rate of 63.2%. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they compiled 35 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 23 dimes in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 6 steals. When talking about defending, Phoenix allowed 33.8% from the floor on 25 of 74 shooting. Golden State distributed 11 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Golden State collected 36 rebounds (11 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 1 block. Golden State ended up shooting 86.7% from the free throw line by burying 13 of their 15 shots. They converted 14 of their 33 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

DeWanna Bonner is someone who was a major factor in the matchup. She ended up with 22 points on 7 of 8 shooting. She was on the court for 29 mins and also snagged 11 rebounds. Bonner finished the game at 87.5% from the field and dished out 2 assists.

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Phoenix enters this contest with a win-loss record of 15-6 for the season. They average 84.2 pts per game (4th in basketball) while hitting 43.6% from the field. The Mercury are shooting 34.8% on shots from distance (212 of 609) and 78.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling in 34.1 rebounds per game and is sitting with 442 dimes on the year, which ranks 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 12.7 times per game and as a group are committing 18.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Mercury are forcing 15.9 turnovers per game while drawing 17.1 personal fouls. They surrender 32.7% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 5th in the league in PPG from their opponents (79.3). The Mercury defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 42.2% (333 of 360) and they relinquish 35.0 boards per game as a team. They rank 6th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 407 surrendered this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Minnesota Lynx went home victorious with a score of 91-78 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Lynx collected 25 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 for the contest. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 14 steals for this contest. The Sky were called for 18 personal fouls for this contest which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for 16 tries. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throws for a percentage of 81.3%. In regard to three-point attempts, Minnesota knocked down 12 of 32 tries (37.5%). Overall, the Lynx shot 33 for 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.5%. The Lynx permitted the Sky to bury 29 of their 60 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 48.3% for this game. They wrapped up this game 43.8% from three-point range by going 7 out of 16 and finished the game at 13 of 16 from the free throw line (81.3%). With respect to rebounding, Minnesota permitted Chicago to get 34 overall (7 offensive).

Napheesa Collier ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx in the matchup. She converted 7 of 14 for the matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and had 3 rebounds. Collier totaled 29 points in her 36 mins of playing time and added 5 dimes in this game.

Minnesota has a win-loss mark of 19-4 so far this season. The Lynx are committing 16.9 fouls per game and they hit 80.5% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 23.7 times per contest (1st in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.4 times per contest. Minnesota has accounted for 1,953 points for the season (84.9 per game) and they pull down 33.7 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Lynx are connecting on 45.9% from the field, which ranks 2nd in the league. The Lynx on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the WNBA in PPG given up with 75.3. They relinquish 18.0 dimes and 34.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 2nd and 8th in basketball. The Minnesota defense allows 30.1% on three-point shots (160 of 531) and opponents are converting on 79.3% of their free throw shots. They have forced 14.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 41.5% from the floor (3rd in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Minnesota

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