Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/18/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN2

The Las Vegas Aces (30-14) host the Seattle Storm (23-21) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Vegas opens as 7.5 point favorites while the total opens at 158.5.

The Seattle Storm earned the victory with a final of 86-83 in Game 2. Seattle wrapped up the game having earned a 45.8% field goal percentage (33 out of 72) and converted 10 out of their 20 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Storm converted 10 of their 12 tries for a percentage of 83.3%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they earned 32 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 15 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When discussing defense, Seattle allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 28 out of 56 shooting. Las Vegas earned 5 dimes and had 10 steals for the contest. In addition, Las Vegas grabbed 29 rebounds (5 offensive, 24 defensive) and had 6 blocks. Las Vegas finished 69.0% at the charity stripe by making 20 of 29 attempts. They also buried 7 of 19 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Skylar Diggins is one player who was a contributor in this matchup. She accumulated 26 points on 10 of 20 shooting. She played for 35 minutes played and also collected 1 board. Diggins-Smith finished 50.0% from the field and also totaled 7 dimes.

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Seattle comes into this one with a mark of 23-21 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.6 times per contest and as a unit are committing 17.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Seattle is pulling in 30.9 boards per game and has accumulated 938 assists this year, which is 4th in basketball in terms of passing. The Storm are shooting 34.2% on 3-point shots (332 of 971) and 77.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.1 pts per game (8th in the league) while shooting 45.0% from the field. Defensively, the Storm are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and they draw 16.6 personal fouls. They are surrendering 33.6% on three-point shots while they are 4th in the league in PPG allowed (80.1). The Storm defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.3% (656 of 731) and they surrender 36.0 boards per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 5th in the league in allowing assists with 861 surrendered on the year.

In Game 2, the Aces earned 24 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 29 for this game. They turned it over 9 times, while getting 10 steals in this game. The Storm had 20 fouls in the matchup which took the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to knock down 20 of the free throws for a percentage of 69.0%. In the matter of shots from beyond the perimeter, Las Vegas made 7 out of their 19 attempts (36.8%). When this game wrapped up, the Aces shot 28 for 56 from the floor which had them shooting 50.0%. The Aces permitted the Storm to make 33 of 72 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.8% for this contest. They finished 50.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 10 of 20 and ended up going 10 of 12 from the charity stripe (83.3%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Las Vegas allowed Seattle to pull down 32 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Jackie Young pitched in for the Aces in this matchup. She knocked down 8 of 17 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and had 5 rebounds. Young accumulated 25 points in her 35 minutes on the court and had 4 assists in this matchup.

Las Vegas has a mark of 30-14 on the campaign. The Aces commit 16.6 fouls per game and they hit 82.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 19.6 times per contest (9th in the league) and they are turning it over 11.9 times per game. Las Vegas has totaled 3,680 pts for the year (83.6 per contest) and they average 33.5 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aces are shooting 43.9% from the field, which has them ranked 8th in basketball. The Aces on defense are ranked 7th in the league in PPG given up with 80.7. They surrender 20.4 dimes and 35.0 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 9th and 9th in the WNBA. The Las Vegas defense concedes 31.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (318 of 1,007) and their opponents are knocking down 81.5% of their free throw attempts. They are able to force 12.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the field (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-7.5)

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