Atlanta Dream vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 5/9/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Atlanta Dream (30-14 last year) are headed to Target Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Minnesota Lynx (34-10 last season).

The Atlanta Dream faced the Indiana Fever and took a loss by a final of 87-85 in their last contest. Atlanta walked away from the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (37 out of 74) and made 6 of their 23 three-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Dream converted 5 of 11 tries for a rate of 45.5%. In relation to rebounding, they collected a total of 39 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 21 assists for the contest as well as forcing 6 turnovers and getting 3 steals. When discussing defending, Atlanta allowed the other team to shoot 41.6% from the floor on 32 of 77 shooting. Indiana distributed 11 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. On top of that, Indiana collected 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Indiana ended up shooting 70.8% from the free throw line by knocking down 17 of 24 tries. They converted 6 out of their 22 tries from beyond the arc.

Allisha Gray is one player who was a contributor in this matchup. She ended up scoring 19 points on 9 out of 15 shooting. She played 33 minutes and snagged 12 boards. Gray finished shooting 60.0% from the field and distributed 1 assist.

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Atlanta comes into this one after finishing with a mark of 30-14 last year. The Dream shot 33.7% on shots from downtown (421 of 1,248) and 78.6% from the free throw line. They had an average of 84.4 pts per game (5th in basketball) while shooting 44.3% from the floor. They lost possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per contest and as a squad committed 15.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Atlanta collected 36.6 rebounds per contest and accumulated 942 assists last year, which ranked 3rd in the league in terms of passing. On defense, the Dream forced 11.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. The Dream defensively gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.9% (1,275 of 2,971) and they relinquished 31.4 rebounds per contest as a unit. They were ranked 2nd in basketball in allowing assists 829 surrendered throughout last year. They relinquished 32.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they were 3rd in basketball in points per game allowed (76.8).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Minnesota Lynx walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 86-81 when they faced the Phoenix Mercury. The Lynx recorded 30 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in the game. They also turned the ball over 6 times, while getting 8 steals for this contest. The Mercury were called for 10 personal fouls for this contest which took the Lynx to the free throw line for 9 shots. They were able to make 8 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 88.9%. When it comes to three-point shots, Minnesota knocked down 9 out of 24 attempts (37.5%). In all, the Lynx finished 32 out of 77 from the floor which had them at 41.6%. The Lynx permitted the Mercury to convert 29 out of 68 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 42.6% in this game. They finished 39.3% from distance by connecting on 11 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 23 from the charity stripe (73.9%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Minnesota permitted Phoenix to collect 38 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Kayla McBride ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx for the contest. She made 10 of 23 for this game giving her a rate of 43.5%, and added 4 rebounds. McBride had 31 points in her 38 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists for this game.

Minnesota had a win-loss mark of 34-10 last season. Minnesota tallied 3,787 points over the course of last season (86.1 per game) and they grabbed 34.2 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lynx shot 47.2% from the field, which was ranked 1st in the league. The Lynx committed 16.0 fouls per contest and they shot 76.0% from the charity stripe. They dished out assists 23.3 times per game (1st in basketball) and they lost possession via turnover 12.1 times per game. The Lynx were ranked 2nd in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 76.7. The Minnesota defense surrendered 33.1% on 3-pointers (345 of 1,042) and their opponents connected on 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They forced 14.0 TO's per game and allowed teams to shoot 42.3% from the floor (2nd in the WNBA). They relinquished 18.8 dimes and 33.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranked them 1st and 6th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta

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