Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 9/19/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (12.5)

The Atlanta Dream (27-14) play the Chicago Sky (15-26) at State Farm Arena on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta as 12.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 177.5.

The Chicago Sky stepped onto the hardwood against the Washington Mystics and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 110-80 in their last game. Chicago ended having earned a 43.9% FG percentage (29 out of 66) and buried 4 of 20 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Sky converted 18 of their 25 tries for a percentage of 72.0%. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they earned 29 with 3 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 18 assists in this contest as well as creating 11 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning the defense, Chicago allowed the other team to go 54.7% from the field on 41 of 75 shooting. Washington totaled 8 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Washington totaled 44 rebounds (8 offensive, 36 defensive) and had 8 blocked shots. Washington shot 73.1% when shooting free throws by knocking down 19 of 26 shots. They made 9 of their 21 tries from long range.

Courtney Vandersloot is someone who was a major factor for the matchup. She ended up finishing with 14 points on 5 of 8 shooting. She played 23 mins and snagged 3 rebounds. Vandersloot walked away from this one shooting 62.5% from the floor and also distributed 5 dimes.

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Chicago comes into this matchup with a mark of 15-26 on the year. The Sky are shooting 31.4% on shots from distance (299 of 951) and 76.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 86.5 points per outing (9th in the league) while going 44.1% from the floor. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.7 times per contest and as a group they commit 21.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Chicago is collecting 33.1 boards per game and is sitting with 875 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 4th in the league in terms of passing the rock. Defensively, the Sky are forcing their opponents into 12.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.6 fouls. They surrender 32.7% on 3-pointers while they are 11th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (90.2). The Sky defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 44.8% (525 of 803) and they surrender 37.0 boards per contest as a group. They rank 9th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 839 relinquished on the season.

For their last game, the Atlanta Dream got the victory with a final of 103-59 when they faced the Connecticut Sun. The Dream snagged 29 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in this game. They coughed up the ball 18 times, while earning 8 steals in this game. The Sun were called for 14 fouls for the game which got the Dream to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to convert 16 of those for a percentage of 76.2%. When discussing shots from distance, Atlanta made 9 of 30 tries (30.0%). When all was said and done, the Dream shot 39 out of 76 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.3%. The Dream permitted the Sun to knock down 23 out of 65 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 35.4% in this contest. They finished 15.0% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 3 out of 20 and finished the game at 10 out of 12 at the free throw line (83.3%). In relation to rebounding, Atlanta allowed Connecticut to snag 32 in total (6 offensive).

Angel Reese ended up being important for the Dream for the matchup. She knocked down 11 out of 14 in this game giving her a rate of 78.6%, and tallied 10 rebounds. Reese earned 30 points in her 25 minutes on the court and had 3 assists in this contest.

Atlanta has a record of 27-14 on the year. Atlanta has scored 3,735 points for the year (91.1 per game) and they grab 35.7 boards per game. The Dream are committing 19.6 fouls per game and they shoot 78.6% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Dream are shooting 44.1% from the floor, which is 11th in the WNBA. They are assisting teammates 21.3 times per contest (6th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest. The Dream defensively are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG given up with 85.0. They are forcing 15.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.2% from the floor (14th in basketball). The Atlanta defense gives up 36.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (339 of 941) and their opponents are knocking down 76.5% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 19.1 assists and 30.5 boards on a nightly basis, which is 3rd and 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-11.5)

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