Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 7/3/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+10.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (14-5) host the Chicago Sky (6-13) at T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Chicago opens this contest as 10.5 point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 182.5.

The Chicago Sky faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 107-99 in their last game. Chicago ended the contest having earned a 46.3% field goal percentage (37 of 80) and knocked down 9 of 24 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Sky converted 16 of their 25 shots for a rate of 64.0%. When discussing pulling down boards, they collected 32 with 6 of them being offensive. They also dished out 38 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 2 steals. In the matter of the defense, Chicago allowed the other team to shoot 52.4% from the floor on 33 out of 63 shooting. Las Vegas earned 11 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. On top of that, Las Vegas snagged 24 rebounds (11 offensive, 13 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Las Vegas ended up going 83.8% from the free throw line by making 31 of 37 tries. They made 10 out of their 25 attempts from 3-point range.

Kamilla Cardoso is one player who was a major contributor for the game. She ended up with 24 points on 10 of 15 shooting. She saw the court for 30 mins and also collected 8 rebounds. Cardoso finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor and distributed 2 assists.

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Chicago heads into this game with a record of 6-13 on the year. They are turning it over 12.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 21.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Chicago is pulling down 33.4 rebounds per contest and has tallied 395 assists on the year, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Sky are connecting on 30.7% on three-point attempts (133 of 433) and 75.2% from the free throw line. They are averaging 86.4 points per contest (9th in basketball) while connecting on 43.4% from the field. When they are on defense, the Sky are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.3 fouls. The Sky defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.6% (247 of 404) and they relinquish 38.2 rebounds per contest as a team. They are 4th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 364 surrendered on the season. They are relinquishing 31.5% on 3-pointers and they rank 11th in the league in opponents PPG (89.5).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Las Vegas Aces took home the win by a final score of 107-99 when they played the Chicago Sky. The Aces were able to collect 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Sky were called for 26 personal fouls in the game which got the Aces to the free throw line for a total of 37 tries. They were able to knock down 31 of them for a clip of 83.8%. When discussing three-point shots, Las Vegas made 10 of 25 attempts (40.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Aces went 33 for 63 from the floor which had them sitting at 52.4%. The Aces allowed the Sky to bury 37 of 80 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.3% in this game. They wrapped up this game 37.5% from beyond the perimeter by going 9 out of 24 and ended up going 16 out of 25 at the charity stripe (64.0%). Regarding team rebounding, Las Vegas permitted Chicago to snag 36 in total (11 on the offensive glass).

A'ja Wilson ended up having an impact for the Aces for this game. She buried 8 out of 14 for the game for a rate of 57.1%, and had 15 rebounds. Wilson earned 30 points in her 34 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in the matchup.

Las Vegas has a win-loss mark of 14-5 so far this season. As an offense, the Aces are connecting on 48.8% from the floor, which is ranked 1st in the WNBA. Las Vegas has accounted for 1,723 pts for the campaign (90.7 per contest) and they collect 35.3 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 22.9 times per game (1st in the WNBA) and they lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest. The Aces have committed 17.5 personal fouls per contest and they go 76.6% from the free throw line. The Aces on defense are ranked 8th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 86.4. The Las Vegas defense gives up 35.0% on shots from beyond the arc (171 of 489) and their opponents are making 79.4% of their free throw shots. They concede 19.1 assists and 32.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 6th in the league. They are forcing 11.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.9% from the floor (7th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-10.5)

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