Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 7/7/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+3.5)

The Chicago Sky (6-14) travel to Mortgage Matchup Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Phoenix Mercury (8-13). Chicago opens this game as 3.5 point underdogs. The total has been set at 173.5.

The Chicago Sky played the Las Vegas Aces and took a loss by a score of 98-90 in their last contest. Chicago finished the game with a 43.1% field goal percentage (28 out of 65) and knocked down 7 of their 20 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Sky knocked down 27 of their 31 tries for a rate of 87.1%. With respect to rebounding, they collected 32 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 20 assists for the game in addition to creating 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With respect to defending, Chicago allowed the other team to shoot 50.7% from the floor on 35 of 69 shooting. Las Vegas distributed 6 assists and had 10 steals for the contest. In addition, Las Vegas had 34 rebounds (6 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 6 rejections. Las Vegas ended up going 80.0% when shooting free throws by converting 24 of their 30 tries. They also made 4 of their 22 attempts from downtown.

Skylar Diggins is a player who was a major factor for this contest. She accumulated 19 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. She played for 34 minutes played and collected 1 rebound. Diggins went 53.8% from the field and also earned 4 dimes.

Get all of our WNBA Betting Picks

Chicago steps onto the court with a record of 6-14 this year. They average 86.6 points per outing (9th in the league) while hitting 43.4% from the field. The Sky are hitting 30.9% on 3-pointers (140 of 453) and 75.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Chicago is grabbing 33.4 boards per game and has earned 415 dimes so far this year, which is 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 12.9 times per game and as a group are committing 22.2 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Sky are able to force 13.0 turnovers per game and they draw 21.2 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 30.8% on shots from distance and they rank 12th in the WNBA in opponents points per game (90.0). The Sky are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.0% (260 of 423) and they concede 38.0 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 1st in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 381 relinquished this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Phoenix Mercury went home victorious with a score of 90-67 against the Seattle Storm. The Mercury corralled 27 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards for a total of 40 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. The Storm were called for 17 fouls in the game which took the Mercury to the free throw line for 19 attempts. They were able to make 13 of them for a rate of 68.4%. In relation to shots from distance, Phoenix made 11 of their 26 attempts (42.3%). When this game wrapped up, the Mercury ended up going 33 out of 73 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.2%. The Mercury allowed the Storm to make 26 of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.9% in this game. They went 32.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 8 of 25 and ended up shooting 7 out of 12 from the charity stripe (58.3%). When talking about cleaning up the glass, Phoenix allowed Seattle to pull down 29 overall (5 offensive).

Kahleah Copper was important for the Mercury in this matchup. She knocked down 12 of 21 for the matchup giving her a rate of 57.1%, and added 7 rebounds. Copper totaled 30 points in her 36 mins of playing time and accumulated 3 assists in this game.

Phoenix has a mark of 8-13 on the year. The Mercury are responsible for committing 18.3 fouls per game and they shoot 78.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 19.4 times per contest (11th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 12.8 times per contest. Phoenix has earned 1,769 points so far this year (84.2 per contest) and they snag 32.2 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Mercury are hitting on 43.7% from the floor, which is ranked 9th in the league. The Mercury on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 85.9. They are forcing their opponents into 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the field (10th in the WNBA). The Phoenix defense allows 36.7% from downtown (207 of 564) and their opposition knocks down 79.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 20.7 dimes and 33.3 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 12th and 8th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (-3.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.