Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/6/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+15.5)

The Connecticut Sun (4-16) head to Target Center on Monday where they'll take on the Minnesota Lynx (15-5). Connecticut opens this matchup as 15.5 point dogs. The O/U is set at 167.5.

The Connecticut Sun took the court against the Dallas Wings and went home with a loss by a final score of 86-83 in their last game. Connecticut finished with a 45.3% field goal percentage (29 of 64) and converted 3 out of their 9 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Sun made 22 of 35 attempts for a rate of 62.9%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they collected 34 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 16 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With respect to the defense, Connecticut allowed 48.5% from the floor on 33 out of 68 shooting. Dallas earned 18 assists and had 4 steals in this game. Moreover, Dallas collected 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Dallas finished the contest at 68.8% at the free throw line by converting 11 of 16 attempts. They converted 9 out of their 26 attempts from beyond the arc.

Leila Lacan is one player who was a major factor for this contest. She totaled 18 points on 5 of 14 shooting. She was on the court for 32 minutes and also grabbed 2 rebounds. Lacan finished the game shooting 35.7% from the floor and also dished out 5 dimes.

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Connecticut heads into this contest with a record of 4-16 on the year. The Sun are hitting 27.2% on three-point shots (100 of 367) and 68.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 79.5 points per contest (15th in basketball) while connecting on 43.0% from the floor. They turn it over 13.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 23.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Connecticut is collecting 33.7 boards per game and has accumulated 373 dimes for the campaign, which is 13th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. Defensively, the Sun are able to force 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.3 fouls. They are relinquishing 35.3% on three-point shots while they are 10th in the league in points per game allowed (86.6). The Sun defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 45.6% (301 of 426) and they surrender 33.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 6th in the league in allowing assists with 387 conceded on the campaign.

When they last played, the Minnesota Lynx took a loss by a score of 99-86 against the New York Liberty. The Lynx were able to pull down 15 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 for the matchup. They coughed it up 8 times, while getting 8 steals for the matchup. The Liberty were called for 13 fouls in this matchup which got the Lynx to the free throw line for a total of 9 attempts. They were able to make 8 of those for a percentage of 88.9%. Concerning three-point shots, Minnesota knocked down 10 of their 31 tries (32.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Lynx finished the game shooting 34 out of 85 from the field which had them sitting at 40.0%. The Lynx permitted the Liberty to convert 36 out of 62 tries from the field which had them sitting at 58.1% for the game. They shot 40.0% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 10 of 25 and ended up shooting 17 of 18 at the free throw line (94.4%). Concerning how they attacked the glass, Minnesota permitted New York to snag 34 in all (7 offensive).

Kayla McBride ended up being a factor for the Lynx in the matchup. She made 7 out of 16 for this game for a field goal rate of 43.8%, and had 1 rebound. McBride racked up 18 points in her 33 mins on the court and earned 1 assist for this game.

Minnesota has a mark of 15-5 for the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Lynx are shooting 48.2% from the floor, which ranks them 2nd in the WNBA. Minnesota has 1,805 pts for the year (90.3 per game) and they collect 36.7 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 21.3 times per contest (3rd in the WNBA) and they turn it over 13.4 times per game. The Lynx are responsible for committing 19.2 fouls per game and they connect on 79.3% from the charity stripe. The Lynx defensively are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG given up with 80.3. They are able to force 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 40.3% from the floor (1st in the league). The Minnesota defense concedes 31.0% on shots from distance (173 of 558) and their opposition knocks down 79.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 19.2 assists and 32.7 boards per contest, which has them ranked 4th and 5th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-15.5)

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