Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty Prediction, 7/7/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+5.5)

The New York Liberty (13-8) play the Dallas Wings (13-8) at Barclays Center on Tuesday. Dallas opens this matchup as 5.5 point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 175.5.

The Dallas Wings played the Toronto Tempo and took home the win by a score of 89-76 in their last game. Dallas ended having earned a 44.0% field goal percentage (33 of 75) and made 10 out of their 28 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Wings buried 13 of their 14 tries for a percentage of 92.9%. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they compiled 42 with 16 of them being offensive. They also recorded 16 assists in this contest in addition to creating 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. When talking about defending, Dallas allowed their opponent to shoot 38.9% from the floor on 28 of 72 shooting. Toronto earned 13 dimes and had 5 steals for this contest. On top of that, Toronto snagged 35 boards (13 offensive, 22 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Toronto finished 71.4% from the charity stripe by making 10 of 14 shots. They converted 10 out of their 29 tries from 3-point land.

Paige Bueckers is one player who was a contributor in this contest. She scored 22 points on 9 of 16 shooting. She saw the court for 31 minutes and also snagged 3 rebounds. Bueckers shot 56.3% from the field and recorded 7 assists.

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Dallas heads into this contest with a record of 13-8 so far this season. They are giving up possession 10.9 times per contest and as a unit are committing 18.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Dallas is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 458 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 2nd in the league in terms of passing. The Wings are connecting on 33.5% on shots from distance (173 of 517) and 78.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 88.3 points per contest (6th in the WNBA) while connecting on 45.9% from the field. Defensively, the Wings are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.9 personal fouls. They concede 35.7% on shots from distance and they rank 5th in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (85.0). The Wings are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.1% (278 of 375) and they surrender 34.1 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 11th in the WNBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 426 surrendered so far this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the New York Liberty took home the win by a final score of 99-86 when they played the Minnesota Lynx. The Liberty corralled 27 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 34 in the game. They also turned the ball over 15 times, while getting 8 steals for the matchup. The Lynx committed 15 fouls in this contest which got the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They were able to convert 17 of those for a percentage of 94.4%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, New York buried 10 out of their 25 tries (40.0%). In all, the Liberty finished 36 out of 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 58.1%. The Liberty allowed the Lynx to bury 34 out of their 85 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.0% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 32.3% from 3-point land by shooting 10 of 31 and ended up going 8 of 9 from the free throw line (88.9%). Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, New York allowed Minnesota to collect 31 overall (16 on the offensive glass).

Breanna Stewart pitched in for the Liberty in this contest. She made 14 out of 19 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 73.7%, and earned 7 rebounds. Stewart recorded 36 points in her 36 mins on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

New York has a win-loss record of 13-8 on the year. New York has scored 1,855 points for the year (88.3 per contest) and they average 34.5 rebounds per game. The Liberty are committing 19.2 fouls per game and they go 85.0% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Liberty are hitting on 46.5% from the field, which ranks 4th in the WNBA. They are earning an assist 20.9 times per contest (5th in the league) and they are giving up possession 14.2 times per game. The Liberty are ranked 3rd in the league in points allowed per contest with 83.6. They have allowed 20.2 assists and 31.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 9th and 4th in the WNBA. The New York defense allows 32.1% on 3-pointers (178 of 555) and opponents are making 70.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They are forcing their opponents into 10.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (5th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas (+5.5)

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