Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 7/4/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+4.5)

Gateway Center is the site where and the Atlanta Dream (12-8) will take on the Golden State Valkyries (13-7) on Saturday. Golden State opens this matchup as 4.5 point dogs. The total opens at 161.5.

The Golden State Valkyries took the court against the New York Liberty and took home the win by a score of 76-67 in their last game. Golden State finished with a 43.1% field goal percentage (28 of 65) and knocked down 7 out of their 28 shots from distance. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Valkyries made 13 of their 18 tries for a rate of 72.2%. In reference to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 30 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 20 dimes for the matchup while creating 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When discussing defense, Golden State allowed 40.4% from the field on 21 of 52 shooting. New York distributed 4 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, New York totaled 24 boards (4 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. New York shot 76.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of 21 attempts. They buried 9 of 25 attempts from 3-point land.

Kaila Charles is someone who came through in this contest. She walked away with 13 points on 6 out of 12 shooting. She played 23 minutes played and snagged 2 rebounds. Charles shot 50.0% from the floor and earned 1 assist.

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Golden State heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 13-7 this season. The Valkyries are connecting on 35.0% on shots from beyond the arc (216 of 618) and 76.2% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.8 pts per game (13th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.1% from the floor. They turn it over 10.6 times per game and as a squad are committing 19.7 fouls per contest. As a team, Golden State is grabbing 33.5 boards per contest and has accumulated 366 assists for the campaign, which ranks 14th in the league in terms of passing the ball. On defense, the Valkyries have forced 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.3 personal fouls. The Valkyries defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 42.3% (259 of 405) and they surrender 33.3 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 4th in the league in giving up assists with 371 conceded this year. They are giving up 36.5% on 3-pointers and they are 1st in the league in PPG from their opponents (77.9).

In their last game, the Atlanta Dream took a loss by a score of 81-76 when they played the Washington Mystics. The Dream were able to corral 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 26 in the game. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while recording 7 steals in the matchup. The Mystics were called for 21 personal fouls in this game which got the Dream to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They were able to make 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 61.1%. In the matter of 3-point attempts, Atlanta made 7 of 31 tries (22.6%). Overall, the Dream shot 29 for 80 from the field which had them shooting 36.3%. The Dream allowed the Mystics to convert 31 of their 56 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 55.4% for this contest. They finished 56.3% from 3-point land via 9 out of 16 and ended up going 10 of 19 at the charity stripe (52.6%). In relation to cleaning the glass, Atlanta permitted Washington to get 34 in all (8 on the offensive side).

Rhyne Howard ended up being a major contributor for the Dream for this contest. She converted 8 out of 20 for this game for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and tallied 2 rebounds. Howard accumulated 24 points in her 38 mins on the hardwood and added 3 assists for the game.

Atlanta has a mark of 12-8 this season. Atlanta has scored 1,754 pts for the campaign (87.7 per game) and they collect 34.6 boards per contest. The Dream are responsible for committing 19.3 personal fouls per contest while shooting 74.8% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Dream are connecting on 43.3% from the floor, which is 12th in the league. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 19.7 times per game (10th in the WNBA) and they lose possession via turnover 12.6 times per contest. The Dream on defense are ranked 4th in the league in points given up per game with 83.7. The Atlanta defense concedes 37.2% on shots from 3-point land (172 of 462) and their opponents are knocking down 75.8% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 19.4 assists and 30.3 rebounds per contest, which is 6th and 1st in the league. They are able to force 16.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (14th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (+4.5)

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