Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 7/10/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (-9.5)

Mohegan Sun Arena is the venue where and the Connecticut Sun (5-17) will play the Golden State Valkyries (16-7) on Friday. Golden State opens this contest as 9.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 154.5.

The Golden State Valkyries faced the Toronto Tempo and took home the win by a score of 83-75 in their last game. Golden State finished the contest having earned a 44.8% FG percentage (26 out of 58) and made 11 of 30 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Valkyries knocked down 20 of 25 tries for a percentage of 80.0%. With respect to rebounding, they earned 30 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 14 dimes for the contest while creating 14 turnovers and having 10 steals. When talking about defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 48.1% from the floor on 26 of 54 shooting. Toronto distributed 10 dimes and had 1 steal for this contest. In addition, Toronto pulled down 41 rebounds (10 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Toronto finished the contest at 94.4% from the charity stripe by burying 17 of their 18 tries. They also made 6 of their 22 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Janelle Salaun is a player who was a major contributor in the game. She left the arena with 26 points on 7 out of 10 shooting. She was on the court for 23 minutes and grabbed 6 boards. Salaun finished 70.0% from the floor and dished out 1 assist.

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Golden State heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 16-7 for the year. They currently have an average of 82.1 points per game (12th in the WNBA) while connecting on 41.2% from the field. The Valkyries are shooting 34.4% on shots from downtown (246 of 716) and 76.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Golden State is grabbing 33.1 boards per game and has accounted for 417 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 10th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 10.6 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.9 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Valkyries are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 19.9 fouls. They are giving up 34.8% on shots from distance while they are 1st in basketball in points per game allowed (76.7). The Valkyries defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 41.9% (310 of 458) and they surrender 33.3 boards per contest as a group. They rank 6th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 422 relinquished for the season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Connecticut Sun took a defeat with a final score of 86-80 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Sun were able to snag 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 32 in the game. They turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 11 steals in the matchup. The Lynx were called for 23 fouls in this game which got the Sun to the free throw line for 27 tries. They were able to convert 22 of them for a percentage of 81.5%. In the matter of shots from downtown, Connecticut converted 6 of their 23 tries (26.1%). Overall, the Sun walked away from this one shooting 26 out of 65 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.0%. The Sun allowed the Lynx to make 28 of 60 tries from the field which had them at 46.7% for the matchup. They shot 45.5% from three-point range by going 10 out of 22 and ended up shooting 20 of 27 from the free throw line (74.1%). With respect to rebounds, Connecticut permitted Minnesota to pull down 32 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Leila Lacan ended up being a factor for the Sun for the game. She made 5 out of 9 for the contest for a rate of 55.6%, and had 6 rebounds. Lacan tallied 15 points in her 29 mins on the court and tallied 6 assists in the matchup.

Connecticut has a win-loss mark of 5-17 so far this season. When it comes to offense, the Sun are connecting on 43.1% from the field, which is 12th in the WNBA. Connecticut has accumulated 1,759 points for the season (80.0 per contest) and they average 33.7 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 18.8 times per game (13th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. The Sun are committing 23.0 fouls per contest and they connect on 68.4% from the charity stripe. The Sun are ranked 10th in basketball in points allowed per game with 86.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (8th in the league). The Connecticut defense gives up 35.6% on shots from distance (190 of 534) and their opponents are knocking down 77.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 19.6 assists and 33.2 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 7th and 6th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (-9.5)

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