Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty Prediction, 5/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty

Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+6.5)

The New York Liberty (3-1) play the Golden State Valkyries (2-1) at Barclays Center on Thursday. New York opens this matchup as 6.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 169.5.

The Golden State Valkyries took the court against the Chicago Sky and went home with a loss by a final score of 69-63 in their last contest. Golden State ended having earned a 29.3% FG percentage (22 out of 75) and knocked down 7 of their 26 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Valkyries converted 12 of their 16 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In regard to rebounding, they compiled a total of 42 with 14 of them being offensive. They also recorded 10 dimes for the game while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and having 3 steals. In reference to defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 36.2% from the field on 25 out of 69 shooting. Chicago doled out 8 assists and had 7 steals in the game. On top of that, Chicago totaled 39 boards (8 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 8 rejections. Chicago finished the game shooting 61.9% from the free throw line by knocking down 13 of their 21 attempts. They also buried 6 of 20 shots from distance.

Gabby Williams is one player who was a factor for the game. She notched 18 points on 6 out of 17 shooting. She played 32 mins and grabbed 5 boards. Williams finished the game shooting 35.3% from the field and distributed 1 assist.

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Golden State comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 2-1 on the year. The Valkyries are connecting on 36.5% on shots from distance (35 of 96) and 75.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 83.0 pts per game (13th in the WNBA) while connecting on 39.8% from the floor. They are losing possession via turnover 9.7 times per game and as a unit they are committing 21.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Golden State is collecting 35.7 boards per game and has 57 assists for the season, which is 14th in the WNBA in terms of passing. On defense, the Valkyries are forcing 13.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.7 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 38.2% on three-point shots and they are 1st in the league in opponents points per game (76.0). The Valkyries defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 41.4% (77 of 186) and they concede 34.7 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are ranked 1st in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 55 conceded this season.

When they last played, the New York Liberty got the win with a final of 100-82 when they played the Portland Fire. The Liberty corralled 28 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 for this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Fire committed 22 personal fouls for this game which got the Liberty to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They were able to bury 17 of those for a percentage of 85.0%. When it comes to 3-point shots, New York converted 15 of their 38 tries (39.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Liberty ended up shooting 34 for 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.7%. The Liberty allowed the Fire to knock down 30 out of their 68 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.1% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 29.0% from downtown by going 9 of 31 and ended up going 13 out of 20 from the charity stripe (65.0%). In regard to team rebounding, New York allowed Portland to get 30 in all (7 offensive).

Breanna Stewart pitched in for the Liberty for the matchup. She converted 8 out of 14 for this game giving her a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 7 rebounds. Stewart racked up 22 points in her 28 minutes on the court and earned 1 assist in this contest.

New York has a record of 3-1 this season. New York has accounted for 400 pts this year (100.0 per contest) and they grab 33.5 boards per contest. The Liberty are committing 22.3 fouls per contest and they shoot 85.6% from the charity stripe. In terms of offensive execution, the Liberty are shooting 50.9% from the floor, which ranks them 2nd in basketball. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.0 times per contest (1st in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 15.3 times per game. The Liberty are ranked 9th in basketball in PPG given up with 87.0. They allow 20.5 assists and 32.5 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 9th and 6th in basketball. The New York defense allows 29.5% on 3-point shots (33 of 112) and opponents are connecting on 69.6% of their free throw shots. They are able to force 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (7th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (+6.5)

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