Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, 6/30/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

Date: Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (+2.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (14-5) go to Barclays Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the New York Liberty (12-8) in the Commissioner's Cup Championship. Las Vegas opens this matchup as 2.5 point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 174.5.

The Las Vegas Aces stepped onto the hardwood against the Chicago Sky and walked away with a win by a score of 107-99 in their last contest. Las Vegas wrapped up the contest having earned a 52.4% FG percentage (33 of 63) and knocked down 10 of their 25 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Aces knocked down 31 of 37 shots for a rate of 83.8%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 32 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 20 assists in the game while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 9 steals. Concerning the defense, Las Vegas allowed the other team to go 46.3% from the field on 37 out of 80 shooting. Chicago totaled 11 assists and had 8 steals for this game. Furthermore, Chicago snagged 36 rebounds (11 offensive, 25 defensive) and got 1 block. Chicago ended up going 64.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 25 shots. They also knocked down 9 out of their 24 tries from beyond the arc.

A'ja Wilson is one player who had an impact for the game. She walked away with 30 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 34 minutes played and also totaled 15 boards. Wilson finished shooting 57.1% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Las Vegas comes into this one with a win-loss record of 14-5 this season. The Aces are hitting 36.8% from downtown (161 of 437) and 76.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 90.7 points per contest (3rd in the league) on 48.8% from the field. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.4 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 17.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Las Vegas is snagging 35.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 436 dimes so far this year, which ranks 1st in basketball in terms of passing the rock. When they are on the defensive end, the Aces have forced 11.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.4 fouls. The Aces defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.9% (223 of 369) and they surrender 32.9 boards per contest as a group. They rank 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 363 surrendered so far this season. They are giving up 35.0% on shots from downtown and they rank 8th in the league in points per game allowed (86.4).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the New York Liberty took a loss by a final score of 76-67 against the Golden State Valkyries. The Liberty were able to corral 20 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 24 in this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 5 steals in this matchup. The Valkyries were called for 24 fouls in the game which took the Liberty to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They were able to bury 16 of them for a rate of 76.2%. With respect to 3-point attempts, New York made 9 of their 25 tries (36.0%). Overall, the Liberty finished 21 for 52 from the floor which had them sitting at 40.4%. The Liberty allowed the Valkyries to convert 28 out of 65 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.1% in this game. They finished shooting 25.0% from three-point range by going 7 of 28 and ended up shooting 13 of 18 at the free throw line (72.2%). Concerning rebounds, New York allowed Golden State to grab 30 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Jonquel Jones ended up having an impact for the Liberty in this contest. She buried 5 of 8 for this contest for a rate of 62.5%, and had 7 rebounds. Jones scored 21 points in her 27 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes for the matchup.

New York has a win-loss record of 12-8 so far this season. The Liberty have committed 19.6 fouls per contest and they hit 84.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 20.7 times per game (6th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.2 times per game. New York has scored 1,756 points on the campaign (87.8 per contest) and they pull in 34.6 boards per game. As an offense, the Liberty are shooting 46.0% from the field, which ranks them 4th in the league. The Liberty are ranked 3rd in basketball in points given up per game with 83.5. The New York defense gives up 32.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (168 of 524) and opponents are converting on 70.4% of their foul shots. They surrender 20.1 dimes and 31.4 boards per contest, which has them ranked 8th and 4th in basketball. They are able to force 11.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 43.8% from the field (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Las Vegas (+2.5)

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