Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 5/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics

Date: Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+2.5)

The Los Angeles Sparks (3-3) go to CareFirst Arena on Friday where they'll meet the Washington Mystics (3-3). Los Angeles opens this contest as 2.5 point dogs. The over/under opens at 169.5.

The Los Angeles Sparks faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and earned the victory with a final of 101-95 in their last game. Los Angeles finished the contest with a 55.2% field goal percentage (37 out of 67) and converted 14 of their 29 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Sparks converted 13 of 15 shots for a rate of 86.7%. In reference to pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 30 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 26 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and having 8 steals. With respect to defending, Los Angeles allowed 44.7% from the floor on 34 of 76 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 13 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Las Vegas pulled down 36 rebounds (13 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 9 rejections. Las Vegas walked away from this one shooting 81.0% at the free throw line by burying 17 of their 21 shots. They converted 10 out of their 29 tries from three-point range.

Kelsey Plum is one player who played a role for the game. She walked away with 38 points on 12 of 17 shooting. She was on the court for 37 mins and also snagged 4 rebounds. Plum finished the game at 70.6% from the floor and earned 9 assists.

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Los Angeles comes into this game with a record of 3-3 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 16.8 times per game and as a unit they commit 23.3 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Los Angeles is pulling in 27.8 boards per contest and has accumulated 125 dimes on the campaign, which is 12th in the WNBA in terms of passing. The Sparks are shooting 37.1% from downtown (56 of 151) and 80.5% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 91.5 points per contest (3rd in the WNBA) while shooting 50.3% from the field. When they are on defense, the Sparks are able to force 13.7 turnovers per game and they draw 22.5 personal fouls. The Sparks are giving up a field goal percentage of 48.3% (82 of 135) and they relinquish 30.7 rebounds per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 6th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 128 surrendered on the season. They are conceding 34.2% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 15th in the league in opponents points per game (96.0).

In their last game, the Washington Mystics got the victory with a final of 78-64 when they faced the Seattle Storm. The Mystics were able to pull down 27 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 for the matchup. They also gave up possession 12 times, while earning 4 steals in this contest. The Storm earned 21 fouls in the matchup which got the Mystics to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 93.8%. In reference to three-point shots, Washington converted 7 out of 21 tries (33.3%). Overall, the Mystics shot 28 out of 66 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.4%. The Mystics permitted the Storm to make 22 of their 63 tries from the floor which had them shooting 34.9% in this contest. They finished 21.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 5 out of 23 and ended up shooting 15 of 19 from the free throw line (78.9%). When it comes to team rebounding, Washington allowed Seattle to grab 31 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

Shakira Austin ended up being a major contributor for the Mystics in this contest. She converted 6 out of 13 for the matchup giving her a rate of 46.2%, and accumulated 13 rebounds. Austin earned 18 points in her 29 mins of playing time and had 5 assists in this matchup.

Washington has a record of 3-3 on the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Mystics are hitting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks 8th in basketball. Washington has 497 pts so far this year (82.8 per contest) and they pull in 36.7 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.5 times per game (14th in the league) and they are turning it over 15.7 times per game. The Mystics are responsible for committing 24.7 fouls per game while shooting 77.6% from the charity stripe. The Mystics on defense are ranked 8th in basketball in points given up per game with 86.3. They have forced 12.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.1% from the field (2nd in basketball). The Washington defense gives up 35.5% from downtown (60 of 169) and their opponents are knocking down 81.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 19.3 assists and 31.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is 7th and 4th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (-2.5)

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