Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction, 7/3/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)

The Minnesota Lynx (15-4) head to Barclays Center on Friday where they'll meet the New York Liberty (12-8). The spread on this matchup has Minnesota as 2.5 point favorites. The total opens at 172.5.

The Minnesota Lynx played the Dallas Wings and notched a win by a score of 85-77 in their last contest. Minnesota ended the contest with a 43.1% FG percentage (31 of 72) and converted 9 out of their 23 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Lynx buried 14 of 17 attempts for a rate of 82.4%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 36 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 19 assists for the game in addition to forcing 15 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In relation to defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 37.8% from the field on 28 out of 74 shooting. Dallas earned 11 dimes and had 7 steals in the game. In addition, Dallas totaled 38 rebounds (11 offensive, 27 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Dallas ended up shooting 93.3% at the charity stripe by converting 14 of their 15 shots. They also made 7 of 23 attempts from long range.

Natasha Howard is someone who was a factor in the matchup. She left the arena with 21 points on 9 of 17 shooting. She played for 36 minutes played and also pulled down 14 rebounds. Howard finished 52.9% from the floor and totaled 2 dimes.

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Minnesota heads into this contest with a mark of 15-4 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.7 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Minnesota is pulling in 36.9 boards per game and has racked up 404 assists on the campaign, which ranks 4th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Lynx are shooting 37.2% on three-point shots (147 of 395) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 90.5 pts per game (4th in basketball) while connecting on 48.8% from the field. When they are on defense, the Lynx are forcing 14.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.6 fouls. They rank 1st in the league in giving up assists with 358 surrendered for the campaign. The Lynx defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.4% (514 of 1,303) and they concede 32.6 boards per game as a squad. They concede 30.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 2nd in the WNBA in points per game allowed (79.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the New York Liberty took a defeat with a final score of 76-67 when they played the Golden State Valkyries. The Liberty were able to snag 20 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 in this contest. They coughed it up 11 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Valkyries committed 24 fouls in the matchup which took the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to make 16 of those for a rate of 76.2%. When it comes to shots from distance, New York knocked down 9 of their 25 attempts (36.0%). In all, the Liberty shot 21 for 52 from the floor which had them shooting 40.4%. The Liberty permitted the Valkyries to make 28 out of 65 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 43.1% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 25.0% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 7 of 28 and finished the contest at 13 out of 18 at the free throw line (72.2%). In reference to rebounding, New York allowed Golden State to grab 30 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Jonquel Jones pitched in for the Liberty for this contest. She knocked down 5 of 8 for the game giving her a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and had 7 rebounds. Jones earned 21 points in her 27 minutes of playing time and had 2 assists for this contest.

New York has a win-loss mark of 12-8 for the year. New York has scored 1,756 points on the campaign (87.8 per contest) and they average 34.6 rebounds per contest. The Liberty have committed 19.6 fouls per contest and they shoot 84.6% from the charity stripe. As an offensive team, the Liberty are hitting on 46.0% from the floor, which is 4th in the WNBA. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 20.7 times per game (6th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.2 times per game. The Liberty on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the league in points given up per game with 83.5. They concede 20.1 dimes and 31.4 total boards per game, which is ranked 8th and 4th in the league. The New York defense allows 32.1% on shots from distance (168 of 524) and their opposition makes 70.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 11.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.8% from the floor (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-2.5)

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