New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 10/7/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+3.5)

State Farm Arena is the venue where and the Atlanta Dream (30-14) will play the New York Liberty (26-18) on Wednesday in Game 2 of the WNBA Semifinals. Atlanta leads 1-0. Atlanta opens this game as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 173.5.

The New York Liberty ended up losing by a score of 92-82 in Game 1. New York ended the game having earned a 43.1% field goal percentage (28 out of 65) and knocked down 11 out of their 28 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 15 of 15 shots for a percentage of 100.0%. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they collected 34 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 17 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In relation to defense, New York allowed the other team to shoot 45.1% from the floor on 32 of 71 shooting. Atlanta dished out 9 dimes and had 14 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Atlanta snagged 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 4 rejections. Atlanta shot 78.3% when shooting free throws by making 18 of 23 shots. They also knocked down 10 out of their 26 tries from three-point range.

Sabrina Ionescu is one player who came through in the game. She ended up scoring 27 points on 10 out of 20 shooting. She played for 34 mins and also collected 4 boards. Ionescu shot 50.0% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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New York comes into this game with a mark of 26-18 so far this season. The Liberty are shooting 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc (449 of 1,290) and 84.5% from the free throw line. They average 89.6 points per game (5th in the WNBA) on 46.0% from the field. They turn it over 13.7 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.7 fouls per game. As a unit, New York is pulling in 35.5 boards per game and has accumulated 916 assists on the year, which has them ranked 7th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. When they are on the defensive end, the Liberty are forcing 11.0 turnovers per game and they draw 20.5 fouls. They are currently ranked 11th in basketball in giving up assists with 941 surrendered on the season. The Liberty are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.8% (484 of 904) and they concede 31.5 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are giving up 34.2% from 3-point land and they are 7th in basketball in points per game allowed (86.4).

In Game 1, the Dream pulled down 20 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 27 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while getting 10 steals in the game. The Liberty committed 27 personal fouls for the contest which got the Dream to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to make 18 of the free throw tries for a clip of 78.3%. When it comes to shots from 3-point land, Atlanta knocked down 10 of 26 attempts (38.5%). In all, the Dream ended up shooting 32 out of 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.1%. The Dream permitted the Liberty to convert 28 of 65 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.1% in this contest. They shot 39.3% from distance by shooting 11 out of 28 and ended up going 15 out of 15 at the free throw line (100.0%). In reference to how they rebounded, Atlanta allowed New York to collect 42 in all (12 on the offensive glass).

Jordin Canada ended up being a factor for the Dream in this game. She converted 9 of 14 for this contest for a rate of 64.3%, and had 1 rebound. Canada scored 25 points in her 32 mins on the court and accounted for 4 assists for the game.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 30-14 so far this season. Atlanta has accounted for 4,019 pts this season (91.3 per game) and they grab 35.6 boards per game. The Dream commit 19.6 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 78.6% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offense, the Dream are shooting 44.2% from the floor, which is 11th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 21.5 times per contest (6th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.6 times per contest. The Dream are ranked 4th in the league in PPG given up with 84.5. They have forced 15.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (13th in the league). The Atlanta defense surrenders 34.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (355 of 1,019) and opponents are connecting on 76.9% of their foul shots. They allow 19.2 dimes and 31.0 rebounds per contest, which is 3rd and 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+3.5)

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