New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 6/11/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+2.5)

The New York Liberty (8-4) go to Gateway Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Atlanta Dream (8-3). New York opens this matchup as 2.5 point underdogs. The total has been set at 163.5.

The New York Liberty faced the Connecticut Sun and walked away with a win by a score of 89-80 in their last game. New York ended the game with a 47.5% field goal percentage (29 of 61) and buried 6 out of their 22 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Liberty converted 25 of their 29 attempts for a percentage of 86.2%. In regard to rebounding, they compiled a total of 42 with 9 of them being offensive. They also dished out 17 dimes in the matchup while forcing 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When talking about the defense, New York let their opponent shoot 45.7% from the field on 32 out of 70 shooting. Connecticut earned 7 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Connecticut totaled 28 boards (7 offensive, 21 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Connecticut finished the game at 56.5% from the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 23 shots. They also made 3 out of their 13 shots from beyond the arc.

Breanna Stewart is a player who played a role for the game. She was able to score 28 points on 9 out of 17 shooting. She saw the court for 34 mins played and grabbed 9 rebounds. Stewart finished the game shooting 52.9% from the floor and distributed 3 assists.

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New York enters this contest with a record of 8-4 for the campaign. They turn it over 14.2 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.5 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, New York is pulling in 36.1 boards per game and is sitting with 250 dimes for the season, which ranks 4th in basketball in terms of passing. The Liberty are hitting 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc (113 of 325) and 86.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 87.3 pts per contest (7th in the WNBA) on 45.1% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 11.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.9 fouls. They give up 32.3% on shots from distance and they rank 4th in the league in points per game allowed (82.2). The Liberty defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.5% (138 of 263) and they concede 32.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are ranked 8th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 231 conceded on the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Atlanta Dream walked away with a victory by a final of 82-75 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Dream were able to snag 26 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while earning 16 steals for this contest. The Sky were called for 26 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Dream to the charity stripe for 16 attempts. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 93.8%. With respect to 3-point shots, Atlanta made 5 out of their 26 attempts (19.2%). Overall, the Dream walked away from this one shooting 31 out of 70 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.3%. The Dream permitted the Sky to bury 24 out of 53 tries from the field which had them shooting 45.3% in the game. They finished 53.3% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 of 15 and ended up shooting 19 out of 25 from the charity stripe (76.0%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, Atlanta allowed Chicago to grab 26 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Rhyne Howard ended up being a factor for the Dream in the matchup. She made 7 out of 17 in this contest giving her a rate of 41.2%, and accumulated 3 rebounds. Howard tallied 17 points in her 36 minutes on the court and added 5 dimes in the matchup.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 8-3 so far this season. Atlanta has accumulated 940 pts on the year (85.5 per game) and they average 37.0 rebounds per game. The Dream commit 17.4 fouls per game and they connect on 76.7% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offensive execution, the Dream are connecting on 43.4% from the field, which has them ranked 9th in the league. They are assisting teammates 19.5 times per contest (7th in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.1 times per game. The Dream defensively are ranked 2nd in the league in points given up per game with 78.9. They have given up 18.4 dimes and 29.1 rebounds per game, which is 2nd and 1st in the league. The Atlanta defense concedes 31.0% on 3-point shots (74 of 239) and their opponents are making 75.8% of their free throw attempts. They are able to force 15.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.5% from the floor (10th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-2.5)

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