New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings Prediction, 7/16/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings

Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+1.5)

The New York Liberty (13-11) head to College Park Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Dallas Wings (16-8). The line on this contest has Dallas as 1.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 175.5.

The New York Liberty faced off with the Toronto Tempo and went home with a loss by a final score of 93-91 in their last game. New York finished the contest with a 43.4% field goal percentage (33 out of 76) and knocked down 5 of their 26 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Liberty converted 20 of 22 attempts for a rate of 90.9%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they compiled 33 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 16 dimes for the contest as well as forcing the opposition into 23 turnovers and having 11 steals. In regard to the defense, New York allowed the other team to go 51.5% from the floor on 34 out of 66 shooting. Toronto distributed 5 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. Moreover, Toronto pulled down 30 rebounds (5 offensive, 25 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. Toronto finished the contest at 88.9% at the charity stripe by making 16 of their 18 tries. They also buried 9 of their 24 attempts from beyond the arc.

Sabrina Ionescu is someone who was a major factor for this game. She ended up walking away with 28 points on 9 out of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 33 minutes played and snagged 4 boards. Ionescu ended up shooting 50.0% from the field and also recorded 8 dimes.

Get all of our WNBA Betting Picks

New York enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 13-11 on the season. They currently have an average of 87.8 pts per contest (8th in the league) while connecting on 45.9% from the field. The Liberty are hitting 34.5% on 3-point shots (237 of 686) and 85.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, New York is pulling down 34.4 boards per game and has totaled 491 assists on the year, which ranks 4th in basketball in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 14.3 times per game and as a unit they are committing 19.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 fouls. They surrender 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 4th in the league in points per game allowed (84.5). The Liberty defense is giving up a FG percentage of 43.9% (271 of 505) and they relinquish 31.9 boards per game as a team. They are 11th in the league in giving up assists with 493 relinquished on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Dallas Wings went home victorious with a score of 96-91 against the Chicago Sky. The Wings were able to corral 26 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 33 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 5 times, while recording 4 steals in the game. The Sky earned 16 personal fouls in this contest which got the Wings to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 78.9%. In reference to shots from distance, Dallas made 9 of 25 tries (36.0%). In all, the Wings went 36 for 75 from the field which gave them a rate of 48.0%. The Wings permitted the Sky to convert 36 of 75 tries from the floor which had them shooting 48.0% for this game. They finished 31.8% from beyond the arc by going 7 of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 13 at the charity stripe (92.3%). Regarding how they rebounded, Dallas allowed Chicago to snag 36 overall (6 on the offensive side).

Paige Bueckers ended up being important for the Wings for the contest. She converted 7 of 15 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 46.7%, and totaled 6 rebounds. Bueckers recorded 22 points in her 36 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 11 assists for this game.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 16-8 so far this season. When it comes to offense, the Wings are hitting on 46.3% from the field, which ranks 4th in the WNBA. Dallas has scored 2,147 points this year (89.5 per game) and they collect 34.0 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 22.2 times per contest (2nd in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.3 times per contest. The Wings have committed 18.4 fouls per game and they shoot 79.7% from the charity stripe. The Wings on the defensive side of the court are 7th in basketball in PPG given up with 85.4. They are able to force 12.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the floor (11th in the WNBA). The Dallas defense surrenders 35.3% on shots from beyond the arc (187 of 529) and opponents are connecting on 79.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 20.1 dimes and 33.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 9th and 11th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (-1.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.