New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Prediction, 5/12/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Portland Fire

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-13.5)

The Portland Fire (0-1) play the New York Liberty (2-0) at Moda Center on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has New York as 13.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 173.5.

The New York Liberty took the court against the Washington Mystics and went home with a win by a final score of 98-93 in their last contest. New York finished the game having earned a 47.8% FG percentage (33 out of 69) and knocked down 9 of their 27 3-pointers. When they shot from the free throw line, the Liberty made 23 of their 28 attempts for a percentage of 82.1%. When discussing hauling in boards, they earned 34 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 19 assists in this contest in addition to creating 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning defending, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 42.5% from the field on 34 out of 80 shooting. Washington earned 19 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. On top of that, Washington collected 42 boards (19 offensive, 23 defensive) and earned 1 block. Washington ended up going 69.0% when shooting free throws by making 20 of their 29 attempts. They also buried 5 out of their 26 attempts from long range.

Marine Johannes is one player who had an impact for the matchup. She accumulated 25 points on 8 of 15 shooting. She saw the court for 37 mins and also grabbed 1 board. Johannes went 53.3% from the floor and totaled 2 assists.

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New York enters this game with a record of 2-0 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 15.5 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 27.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, New York is collecting 35.5 rebounds per game and has 45 assists for the year, which ranks 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing. The Liberty are hitting 32.8% on shots from distance (19 of 58) and 83.1% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 102.0 points per contest (3rd in basketball) while going 50.0% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Liberty are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game while drawing 26.0 personal fouls. They currently rank 15th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 45 relinquished this season. The Liberty defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 40.5% (29 of 52) and they relinquish 37.0 boards per contest as a basketball team. They relinquish 18.8% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 6th in the league in points per game allowed (84.0).

The last time they took the court, the Portland Fire took a loss by a final score of 98-83 against the Chicago Sky. The Fire recorded 21 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 in this contest. They turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 6 steals in this game. The Sky committed 17 personal fouls for this contest which got the Fire to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to convert 16 of them for a rate of 80.0%. Concerning three-point attempts, Portland knocked down 9 of their 29 tries (31.0%). When the game finished, the Fire shot 29 for 71 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.8%. The Fire permitted the Sky to convert 33 of 69 tries from the floor which had them shooting 47.8% for the game. They shot 35.3% from three-point range by shooting 6 of 17 and walked away from this one shooting 26 of 34 at the free throw line (76.5%). In reference to cleaning the glass, Portland allowed Chicago to snag 46 in all (14 on the offensive side).

Carla Leite pitched in for the Fire for this contest. She converted 3 out of 11 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 27.3%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. Leite accumulated 18 points in her 29 minutes of playing time and totaled 3 assists in this matchup.

Portland has a win-loss record of 0-1 on the season. Portland has tallied 83 pts this season (83.0 per game) and they pull in 24.0 boards per game. The Fire are committing 24.0 fouls per game and they go 80.0% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Fire are connecting on 40.8% from the floor, which ranks them 12th in basketball. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.0 times per game (10th in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 8.0 times per contest. The Fire on the defensive end are ranked 12th in the league in points given up per game with 98.0. They concede 22.0 dimes and 46.0 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 10th and 15th in the WNBA. The Portland defense gives up 35.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (6 of 17) and opponents are converting on 76.5% of their free throw attempts. They have forced 9.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.8% from the floor (10th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-13.5)

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