New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Prediction, 6/25/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-12.5)

The New York Liberty (12-6) head to Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Seattle Storm (3-15). New York opens this contest as 12.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 167.5.

The New York Liberty stepped onto the hardwood against the Las Vegas Aces and notched a win by a score of 87-76 in their last game. New York ended having earned a 46.2% field goal percentage (30 of 65) and converted 13 of 31 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Liberty made 14 of their 16 tries for a rate of 87.5%. When talking about grabbing boards, they compiled 38 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 23 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 7 steals. When talking about defending, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 43.1% from the floor on 31 out of 72 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 7 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. In addition, Las Vegas pulled down 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. Las Vegas finished the game at 75.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 6 of their 8 shots. They made 8 out of their 27 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Breanna Stewart is one player who was a major factor in the game. She totaled 20 points on 7 of 16 shooting. She played for 36 minutes and snagged 6 boards. Stewart finished the game at 43.8% from the floor and also totaled 4 dimes.

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New York heads into this matchup with a record of 12-6 so far this season. They are losing possession via turnover 14.4 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, New York is pulling down 35.5 boards per game and has accounted for 378 dimes this season, which ranks 3rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Liberty are shooting 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (185 of 510) and 85.8% from the free throw line. They average 88.9 pts per contest (7th in the WNBA) while going 46.3% from the floor. Defensively, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 10.9 turnovers per game and they draw 21.2 personal fouls. They rank 13th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 364 surrendered so far this year. The Liberty defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.3% (196 of 382) and they surrender 31.0 rebounds per contest as a group. They are surrendering 32.5% on shots from distance while they are 3rd in the league in points per game allowed (83.1).

When they last played, the Seattle Storm went home defeated by a final of 112-110 against the Dallas Wings. The Storm were able to collect 29 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 34 for this contest. They also turned it over 13 times, while recording 5 steals in this contest. The Wings were called for 14 fouls in this contest which took the Storm to the free throw line for 21 shots. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 90.5%. When it comes to 3-pointers, Seattle converted 13 of 29 attempts (44.8%). When this game wrapped up, the Storm shot 39 out of 77 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6%. The Storm permitted the Wings to convert 48 of 89 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.9% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 37.5% from three-point range by going 9 out of 24 and ended up shooting 7 out of 9 from the free throw line (77.8%). In reference to attacking the glass, Seattle permitted Dallas to get 34 in all (9 offensive).

Dominique Malonga ended up being important for the Storm for this contest. She converted 14 of 24 in this contest giving her a rate of 58.3%, and tallied 12 rebounds. Malonga tallied 37 points in her 38 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in the game.

Seattle has a win-loss mark of 3-15 on the season. The Storm are committing 20.1 fouls per game while shooting 80.9% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 18.6 times per game (14th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.8 times per game. Seattle has 1,418 pts for the season (78.8 per game) and they snag 31.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Storm are hitting on 41.3% from the floor, which is 13th in basketball. The Storm on the defensive side of the court are 8th in basketball in PPG allowed with 85.9. The Seattle defense allows 30.5% on three-point shots (148 of 486) and their opponents are converting on 81.4% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 20.2 dimes and 36.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks 10th and 14th in the league. They are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.8% from the field (2nd in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-12.5)

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