Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, 5/27/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+5.5)

Barclays Center is the venue where and the New York Liberty (3-4) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (2-5) on Wednesday. New York opens this matchup as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 171.5.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Atlanta Dream and took a loss by a final of 82-80 in their last game. Phoenix wrapped up the game having earned a 43.9% FG percentage (29 of 66) and converted 4 out of their 21 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Mercury converted 18 of 19 shots for a percentage of 94.7%. Regarding pulling down boards, they collected 36 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 14 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In relation to the defense, Phoenix allowed 44.1% from the field on 30 out of 68 shooting. Atlanta distributed 12 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Atlanta totaled 38 boards (12 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Atlanta went 52.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 11 of their 21 attempts. They also buried 11 of their 26 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Kahleah Copper is one player who was a factor in this game. She ended up finishing with 20 points on 6 out of 16 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 30 mins and also pulled down 3 rebounds. Copper finished shooting 37.5% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Phoenix enters this game with a win-loss mark of 2-5 on the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.3 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 33.3 rebounds per contest and has 126 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing. The Mercury are hitting 32.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (53 of 164) and 81.5% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 87.3 points per game (7th in basketball) while connecting on 43.5% from the field. Defensively, the Mercury are forcing their opponents into 13.4 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 23.0 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 12th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 140 surrendered this year. The Mercury are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.8% (94 of 161) and they relinquish 34.1 rebounds per game as a team. They surrender 38.0% on three-point shots while they are 9th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (87.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the New York Liberty walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 81-74 when they played the Portland Fire. The Liberty earned 23 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 27 for this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 19 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Fire had 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Liberty to the free throw line for 26 attempts. They were able to convert 24 of those for a rate of 92.3%. In reference to shots from downtown, New York made 8 of their 24 tries (33.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Liberty finished shooting 21 for 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.4%. The Liberty allowed the Fire to make 31 of their 75 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.3% in the matchup. They shot 34.6% from behind the 3-point line by going 9 of 26 and ended up going 10 of 14 from the free throw line (71.4%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, New York permitted Portland to get 29 in all (8 on the offensive side).

Breanna Stewart pitched in for the Liberty for the matchup. She knocked down 4 of 11 for this game giving her a field goal percentage of 36.4%, and had 7 rebounds. Stewart recorded 25 points in her 33 minutes on the court, but left the arena with no assists.

New York has a mark of 3-4 for the season. New York has totaled 620 pts for the campaign (88.6 per game) and they snag 33.1 rebounds per contest. The Liberty commit 21.3 fouls per game while shooting 85.6% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Liberty are shooting 46.6% from the floor, which ranks 4th in the league. Their rate of earning assists is at 22.6 times per contest (2nd in basketball) and they turn it over 14.7 times per contest. The Liberty on defense are ranked 7th in the WNBA in points given up per game with 86.7. The New York defense gives up 33.7% on three-point shots (70 of 208) and their opponents are knocking down 72.3% of their free throw shots. They have given up 20.0 dimes and 32.7 rebounds per game, which is ranked 9th and 7th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 11.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.9% from the field (8th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix (+5.5)

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