Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 7/14/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+1.5)

The Portland Fire (10-13) travel to Mohegan Sun Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun (5-18). The spread on this game has Connecticut as 1.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 166.5.

The Portland Fire took the court against the Atlanta Dream and earned the victory with a final of 102-92 in their last contest. Portland wrapped up the contest with a 60.0% FG percentage (36 of 60) and made 14 of their 29 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Fire buried 16 of their 19 tries for a rate of 84.2%. With respect to rebounding, they earned 26 with 2 of them being offensive. They also doled out 28 dimes in the game as well as forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In reference to the defense, Portland allowed their opponent to shoot 44.0% from the floor on 33 out of 75 shooting. Atlanta distributed 12 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Atlanta collected 32 rebounds (12 offensive, 20 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Atlanta ended up shooting 83.3% at the charity stripe by converting 20 of 24 attempts. They made 6 out of their 30 tries from 3-point land.

Megan Gustafson is a player who was a factor in this matchup. She was able to score 17 points on 7 of 11 shooting. She played for 27 minutes played and totaled 4 boards. Gustafson finished shooting 63.6% from the floor and recorded 1 assist.

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Portland comes into this matchup with a record of 10-13 for the season. The Fire are hitting 34.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (221 of 639) and 81.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 84.9 points per outing (10th in the league) while connecting on 44.3% from the field. They turn the ball over 15.0 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 22.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Portland is pulling down 29.7 rebounds per game and has tallied 466 dimes on the year, which is 8th in basketball in terms of passing. When they are on the defensive end, the Fire are forcing 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 15th in the league in giving up assists with 537 surrendered on the year. The Fire are giving up a FG percentage of 46.5% (316 of 440) and they surrender 33.7 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 34.1% from beyond the arc and they are 13th in basketball in PPG allowed (91.2).

In their last game, the Connecticut Sun took a loss by a score of 79-64 when they played the Golden State Valkyries. The Sun corralled 17 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 23 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 20 times, while recording 10 steals in this game. The Valkyries committed 21 personal fouls for this game which took the Sun to the free throw line for a total of 17 attempts. They were able to knock down 12 of those for a rate of 70.6%. In regard to 3-point attempts, Connecticut made 4 out of 16 tries (25.0%). Overall, the Sun walked away from this one shooting 24 out of 58 from the field which gave them a rate of 41.4%. The Sun permitted the Valkyries to bury 31 of their 60 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 51.7% in the matchup. They shot 44.4% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 8 of 18 and finished the contest at 9 of 13 at the free throw line (69.2%). When discussing how they rebounded, Connecticut allowed Golden State to get 30 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Diamond Miller ended up being important for the Sun in this matchup. She converted 4 out of 8 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and totaled 3 rebounds. Miller recorded 14 points in her 27 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to tally an assist.

Connecticut has a mark of 5-18 for the campaign. Connecticut has scored 1,823 points on the campaign (79.3 per contest) and they grab 33.3 boards per contest. The Sun commit 22.8 fouls per contest and they shoot 68.5% from the charity stripe. As an offensive team, the Sun are hitting on 43.1% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in basketball. They are dishing out assists 18.8 times per game (13th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.8 times per game. The Sun are ranked 9th in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 86.3. They give up 19.6 assists and 33.0 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 7th and 8th in basketball. The Connecticut defense surrenders 35.9% from downtown (198 of 552) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They have forced 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.8% from the floor (9th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Portland (+1.5)

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