Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/16/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics

Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+5.5)

The Portland Fire (10-14) travel to CareFirst Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Washington Mystics (12-10). Portland opens this game as 5.5 point dogs. The total opens at 165.5.

The Portland Fire faced the Connecticut Sun and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 90-87 in their last game. Portland wrapped up the contest with a 48.3% FG percentage (29 of 60) and buried 9 out of their 26 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Fire made 20 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 95.2%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they collected 26 with 2 of them being offensive. They also recorded 28 assists in this contest while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In regard to defending, Portland allowed 52.2% from the floor on 35 of 67 shooting. Connecticut totaled 12 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Connecticut grabbed 32 rebounds (12 offensive, 20 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Connecticut walked away from this one shooting 85.0% from the charity stripe by burying 17 of 20 shots. They buried 3 out of their 14 attempts from distance.

Carla Leite is someone who came through for the matchup. She was able to score 18 points on 6 of 11 shooting. She was on the court for 33 mins and totaled 1 board. Leite shot 54.5% from the field and also recorded 6 assists.

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Portland steps onto the court with a record of 10-14 for the season. They are losing possession via turnover 15.0 times per game and as a group are committing 22.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Portland is pulling down 29.5 boards per contest and is sitting with 485 assists on the year, which ranks 5th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Fire are hitting 34.6% on shots from distance (230 of 665) and 81.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 85.0 points per game (10th in the league) while going 44.4% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Fire are forcing 13.8 turnovers per game and they draw 19.2 fouls. They currently rank 15th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 565 relinquished this season. The Fire defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.8% (330 of 461) and they relinquish 33.5 rebounds per contest as a squad. They relinquish 33.8% on three-point shots while they are 13th in the league in points per game allowed (91.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Washington Mystics took home the win by a final score of 79-62 against the Toronto Tempo. The Mystics recorded 29 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards totaling 47 for this game. They also coughed it up 11 times, while getting 3 steals for the matchup. The Tempo earned 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Mystics to the charity stripe for 19 attempts. They were able to bury 15 of them for a percentage of 78.9%. In regard to 3-pointers, Washington knocked down 4 out of 23 attempts (17.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Mystics went 30 out of 75 from the floor which had them sitting at 40.0%. The Mystics permitted the Tempo to bury 23 of their 65 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 35.4% in this game. They went 26.9% from three-point range via 7 out of 26 and ended up shooting 9 out of 10 from the free throw line (90.0%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Washington allowed Toronto to collect 26 overall (5 on the offensive glass).

Kiki Iriafen ended up being a major contributor for the Mystics in this matchup. She knocked down 9 out of 14 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 64.3%, and tallied 14 rebounds. Iriafen recorded 25 points in her 28 mins of playing time and totaled 1 assist in this contest.

Washington has a mark of 12-10 for the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Mystics are connecting on 43.6% from the field, which ranks them 10th in basketball. Washington has scored 1,785 pts this season (81.1 per game) and they pull in 36.8 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 19.3 times per game (12th in the league) and they are turning it over 16.2 times per game. The Mystics are committing 21.0 fouls per game while shooting 73.0% from the charity stripe. The Mystics on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the league in points given up per game with 83.2. They are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 42.2% from the floor (3rd in the WNBA). The Washington defense surrenders 31.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (183 of 573) and their opponents are converting on 78.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 19.2 dimes and 31.3 boards per game, which is ranked 3rd and 3rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Portland (+5.5)

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