NFL Picks: Green Bay vs. Washington Betting Odds and Sunday Predictions
by Robert Ferringo - 10/8/2010
If going against the public is something in your NFL betting wheelhouse, then this week should leave you with plenty of action.
There are currently four games in which one side is taking at least 83 percent of the wagers. San Diego, New Orleans and Atlanta are all heavy public plays this week. But one team takes the crown, with over 85 percent of all best on one side, and that would be the Pack from Green Bay.
The Packers head to Washington to face the Redskins at 1 p.m. this Sunday. Green Bay, a team that has been pegged as a Super Bowl favorite, is installed as a road favorite and is taking heavy action as one of the “easiest” wins on the board.
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Green Bay enters this game 3-1 off a closer-than-expected 28-26 home win over feeble Detroit last week. They have won and covered the last four meetings, but their last trip to Washington was in 2004 and the last matchup was in 2007. They are No. 5 in the league in points scored and their passing attack, led by triggerman Aaron Rodgers, is one of the most explosive in the league.
The Redskins are just 2-2 on the season and this is the third time in three home games that they have been posted as a home underdog. They won their opener against Dallas and then blew a 17-point second half lead to Houston before losing (and taking a ‘push’ at the window) in overtime. They are coming off an emotional road win over Philadelphia last week in quarterback Donovan McNabb’s return to his former stomping grounds.
The Packers enter this game down two defensive starters. They lost linebacker Nick Collins and safety Morgan Burnett for the season. And part-time starter Brandon Chillar is out for the next month, at least, with a shoulder injury.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins Football Betting Odds
This is one of the few games on the Week 5 card that features a road favorite. The Las Vegas Sports Consultants (originator of the Las Vegas NFL point spread) released this game as a ‘pick’ but it was quickly bet up to Green Bay -2.5. This is the third straight home game this year where Washington has been a dog. The total on this game is a firm 44.0.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins Preview: Betting Trends
Packers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games.
Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins NFL Picks and Sunday Predictions
I have a rated play on the side in this game so I don’t want to tip my hand as to which team that I like. But one play that is worth considering is on the total in this one. Washington has alternated under-over-under-over all season long and I actually can see that pattern continuing and for this one to find its way ‘over’ the 44 points posted on the board.
Green Bay’s defense has been shaky all season, and that was before losing three key cogs. Besides Charles Woodson they are suspect in the secondary and I don’t feel as if they hold up well to power running games. Detroit was able to move the ball seemingly at will last week and they lack the same manpower that Washington brings to the table. For the Redskins, their switch to a 3-4 defense has gone, how do you say, awful. They are No. 31 in total defense and after one of their best outings of the year in Philadelphia I think that the Skins defense could be a prime letdown spot.
The Packers and Redskins are ranked No. 21 and No. 25, respectively, in rushing attempts. With two teams that throw the ball as much as they do that means a lot of big plays and a lot of clock stoppages. It will take all four quarters but I can see this one sneaking ‘over’.
Robert Ferringo is a writer and a professional college football and NFL handicapper for Doc’s Sports. So far this year he has banked $5,000 in profit for his clients after back-to-back weeks of over $2,000 in profit. He has brought in nearly $10,000 in overall profit in all sports over the last two-plus months. He has a College Football Game of the Year on the card this week and he’s looking for more today. You can sign up for his college football and NFL picks and get more information here.
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