Betting props in MLB regular-season games can sometimes be a great way to supplement your straight up picks given the value in some of the numbers. I turned to My Bookie's MLB team props for Monday night games to come up with three top plays. After digging deep into all the facts, stats and betting trends for these team props, I have uncovered my trio of picks for total runs that stand out as having the best chance to pay off.
Total Milwaukee Brewers Runs: 3.5 (-125 Over & -105 Under)
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The Brewers have posted just two wins in their last 12 games, and during this slide they have scored a grand total of 25 runs. They will play host to the San Diego Padres this Monday night with the hope of snapping a five-game losing streak in which they have not scored more than three runs in any of the five games.
To further compound its scoring woes, Milwaukee was a seller heading into last Friday's MLB trade deadline by parting ways with Gerardo Parra and Aramis Ramirez to take a sizable chunk offense out of this lineup. The Brewers will face San Diego starter Tyson Ross in the series opener. The right-hander as a 3.38 ERA through 22 previous starts this season. I just do not see this lineup turning things around in this game, which sets up perfectly for a play on the "under" 3.5 for this team prop.
Total Tampa Bay Rays Runs: 3.5 (-105 Over & -125 Under)
The Rays snapped a three-game losing streak with Sunday's 4-3 victory against Boston as +104 road underdogs. They still managed to score a total of 13 runs in those three losses after allowing a total of 20 runs. They are just 6-9 since the all-star break. However, this lineup still has been able to score four or more runs in five of its last six games.
Tampa Bay heads on the road to Chicago this week to face the White Sox. Jose Quintana will get the start for Chicago on Monday night. The left-hander has been in good form his last two outings by allowing a total of just two earned runs in 15 1/3 innings, but this followed a two-game stretch in which he allowed seven earned runs in 12 2/3 innings of work. I not sure that the Rays win this game as +113 road underdogs, but I do like their chances to score at least four runs for sixth time in their last seven games.
Total Houston Astros: 4.5 (-105 Over & -125 Under)
Houston was just 3-8 in its first 11 games in the month of July, but it has straightened things out to return to form with 11 victories in its last 14 games. The Astros hammered out 17 runs in this past weekend's 2-1 series win against Arizona, and they have averaged six runs a game over the last six contests. This remains one of the more productive lineups in the American League with an average of 4.5 runs a game.
The Astros will be on the road this week in an in-state battle against Texas. They have been listed as -105 road favorites for Monday's series opener. They will face Colby Lewis on Monday night. The right-hander has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season with an 11-4 record through 21 starts. His current form is also pretty solid with three straight wins in which he did not allow more than two earned runs in any of the three games. Houston's bats have been banging in runs recently, but I think I am still safe with the "under" 4.5 play for Monday night with the Astros playing on the road where they are 22-28.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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