2025 Chicago White Sox Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks
The Chicago White Sox made history last season in the worst way possible. They posted a 41-121 record last season, which is the worst record, in a 162-game regular season, ever. They finished 51.5 games behind the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central Division and 45 games out of the final wild card spot. They finished with a league worst -306 run differential. They finished four games worse than their expected record of 45-117.
Chicago scored just 507 runs last season, which was good for dead last in the league rankings and 97 runs behind 29th ranked Tampa Bay. The White Sox also finished last in the league in homeruns (133), OPS (.618), and hits (1187). Andrew Benintendi was the lone player to eclipse the 20-homerun mark on this roster. Despite playing in only 100 games, Luis Robert Jr. led the White Sox with a 1.4 WAR. He also led the team with 23 stolen bases. Andrew Vaughn was the lone White Sox player to play in more than 140 games, and he led the team with 70 RBIs.
Despite all the turnovers and inconsistencies in their lineup, the White Sox did have four pitchers record more than 120 innings. Garrett Crochet was the main threat for the White Sox, as the ace recorded a 3.58 ERA and a 4.1 WAR through 32 starts. He led the team with 209 strikeouts and finished with a 1.07 WHIP. Despite his strong numbers, it was Erick Fedde who led the team with a 4.7 WAR. Fedde finished with a 3.11 ERA, and he gave up just 14 homeruns in 121.2 innings with the White Sox. As a team, the White Sox ranked 28th in ERA with a 4.67 mark and they ranked 29th in WHIP.
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Chicago White Sox Key Additions/Losses
As they are fully embracing the rebuild, the White Sox lost Mike Clevinger, Chris Flexen, Michael Soroka, and Dominic Leone to free agency. The team also declined the options on Yoan Moncada and Max Stassi, while they also non-tendered Gavin Sheets and Enyel De Los Santos. However, there was no bigger loss for the White Sox than their trade of Garrett Crochet, sending the future star to Boston.
The team added some veteran presence in reliever Penn Murfee and outfielders Austin Slater and Mike Tauchman. They also signed starting pitchers Bryse Wilson and Martin Perez while also taking fliers on the likes of Michael A. Taylor, Joey Gallo, Brandon Drury, and James Karinchak. They did bring in top prospects in catcher Kyle Teel and outfielder Brandon Montgomery.
Chicago White Sox Prospect Outlook
Despite the poor state of their MLB roster, the Chicago White Sox have the second ranked farm system in the MLB. They have six Top 100 prospects, with left-handed pitcher Noah Schultz leading the way as the White Sox top prospect and the 16th rated prospect in the league. Teel comes in from Boston and is currently rated as the second rated prospect for the White Sox and the 32nd prospect overall. Left hander Hagen Smith and shortstop Colson Montgomery are rated 34th and 39th overall, and Brandon Montgomery comes over from the Red Sox and is the fifth highest rated prospect in the system and 55th overall. Catcher Edgar Quero rounds out the list of White Sox prospects featured on the 2025 MLB Top 100 Prospects rankings.
Chicago White Sox X-Factors
The Next Five Years- Chicago is nowhere close to competing in this league and their roster has gotten worse on paper after trading away Crochet. They got a nice haul for their former southpaw, but there are a lot of holes to fill. The White Sox will be entertaining offers for Robert Jr., who could bring in a good return, while veterans Benintendi, Vaughn, and Perez could all be shipped at the deadline to a contender if they can build up their trade value over the course of the first half of the season. It is all about bringing in diamonds in the rough and developing their prospects and young players. However, it will likely be three to five years before they return to relevancy.
Chicago White Sox Expectations
There are none. The expectation for the South Siders is another down year and one that rivals their record setting woes from a season ago. Outside of Perez, this rotation is unproven and not scaring anyone. As for the lineup, Robert Jr. is the only legitimate bat. There is some talent on the way, but the White Sox are just a club pieced together by veteran trade bait for future playoff teams. They should find themselves in the basement once again after another bad year.
Chicago White Sox Notable Odds:
Win Total: 52.5
World Series Champions- +50000
Pennant Winners- +20000
Division Winners- +25000
AL Rookie of the Year- Colson Montgomery +2600
AL Rookie of the Year- Edgar Quero +4200
2025 Chicago White Sox Predictions
Colson Montgomery has solid value as a dark horse candidate to win the AL Rookie of the Year. The White Sox have no shortstops that can rival the upside of Montgomery. And if he has a solid spring, he will find himself as the White Sox starting shortstop on Opening Day. However, his path to winning the award is much different than that of Jasson Dominguez or Roman Anthony as they have a lot more protection in their respective lineups and therefore should have better numbers than Montgomery.
As for the win total, I am taking the under. They enter this season without Crochet and Fedde in their rotation and will likely not have Robert Jr. in a White Sox uniform for much longer. They will pawn off a lot of their veteran pieces if they are somewhat productive to teams willing to pay a prospect or two to complete their rosters ahead of the playoffs. This White Sox team is worse on paper than it was last season when they set the record for the worst regular season record. Under all the way.
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