2021 Detroit Tigers Predictions and Odds to Win the World Series
For a team with two World Series appearances since 2006, you’d think they would be a bit better than what they’ve shown of late. That is, in fact, not the case as the Tigers have gone from a World Series berth in 2006 and four-straight division titles between 2011-2014 to a team that has been one of the worst teams in baseball over the last six seasons. Since 2015, the Tigers have finished above .500 just once. In 2019, they won a grand total of 47 games, which means they lost 114. The two years prior, they had 98 losses each, and the lineup they’ve been trotting out is not even close to respectable.
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Last season, the Tigers finished with a record of 23-38, which was good enough for dead last in the Central. The Tigers simply don’t have the players to be competitive. They have no Major Leaguers that are worth anything, nor do they have any up-and-coming prospects that might be able to change the direction of the team. It’s going to be a long season once again in Mo-Town.
The Tigers will open the regular season on April 1 with a six-game homestand that will see the Indians and Twins roll through Comerica Park for three games apiece. From there the Tigers travel to Cleveland, Houston, and Oakland for an extended road trip. The Tigers come into this season as extreme outsiders for the World Series as they check in at +15000. They are +8000 to win the AL Pennant and +7000 to win the AL Central. Their win total has been set at 68.5.
Tigers 2021 Projected Lineup
One quick look at the Tigers batting order, and you’ll quickly see why they are projected to finish near the bottom of the MLB standings. Their projected lineup for opening day looks like this:
- Robbie Grossman
- Jeimer Candelario
- Willi Castro
- Miguel Cabrera
- Jonathan Schoop
- Nomar Mazara
- Wilson Ramos
- Victor Reyes
- JaCoby Jones
The Tigers batting order is one of the worst lineups I’ve seen in my 30 team previews for the 2021 season. The ever-present Miguel Cabrera is still donning the uniform, but his production has taken a major nosedive since the 2016 season. He hasn’t hit more than 20 homeruns in a full season since 2016, and he’s coming off a year in which he managed just 10 longballs with a .250 average. For 60 games, that’s not the worst. However, when you’re getting paid the big bucks and the team relies on you to win ball games, those numbers just won’t cut it. The projections for Cabrera are mediocre as he’s slated for 21 longballs and a .261.
What’s sad about that is that he’s projected to be among the team leaders in homeruns with only Schoop projected to hit more (25). Schoop is coming off a season in which just eight longballs while batting .278. He’s more known for his ability to hit for average as opposed to hitting for power. However, with a lineup that’s void of any real power hitters, Schoop will need to provide the goods.
Tigers 2021 Projected Rotation & Closer
The Tigers pitching staff was once a vaunted unit featuring several CY Young winners. Nowadays, the pitching rotation is a work in progress and is generally the weak link on the team.
Matthew Boyd is the centerpiece of the rotation. However, when you’ve never posted a winning record or an ERA under 4.00, it’s hard to be excited about what the pitcher could become. Last season, Boyd finished with a 3-7 record in 12 starts with an ERA of 6.71. The projections for this season are more of the same – a losing record with an ERA north of 4.40.
Beyond him, Julio Teheran, Tarik Skubal, Jose Urena and Casey Miz are all pitchers looking to have bounce-back seasons. Each one of these pitchers had an ERA north of 5.40, with Urena coming in at that mark. Teheran is the newest addition from the Los Angeles Angels, and the Tigers are expecting him to be better than the 0-4, 10.05 ERA record he pitched to last year.
As for the bullpen, Gregory Soto is expected to get the nod to close ball games early in the year. He’s projected to save around 16 games. However, with a team as bad as the Tigers, that would be on the high end. Bryan Garcia and Buck Farmer are the setup men, with Derek Holland joining the bullpen from Pittsburgh.
Tigers 2021 Predictions
FanGraphs projects the Tigers to finish with a record of 71-91, which would put them dead last in the AL Central and have them miss the playoffs for the seventh straight year. That would also give them the fourth-worst record in all of baseball. And after the year the Lions had and Wings are having, the Tigers will be yet another rain cloud on the Detroit sports scene.
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