2021 Kentucky Wildcats Football Predictions: Season Win Total Picks
2020 Record: 5-6
2021 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.5*
2021 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: ‘Under’
Look, Mark Stoops has done a nice little job here transitioning this Kentucky program from a laughingstock to one of baseline competence. But let’s be real here. The Wildcats are 56-67 straight up over the last 10 years. They’ve finished the season ranked once this century and just twice in the last 40 years.
So when a not particularly deep and not particularly talented Kentucky squad is considered a contender in a college football division, it would be safe to say that college football division kind of sucked.
Such is the case in the SEC East this year.
Doc’s Sports offers college football expert picks for every game on our college football predictions page.
The Wildcats flipped and flopped their way to a 4-6 regular season last year with dazzling wins over the likes of Vanderbilt and South Carolina. Kentucky salvaged a little pride by beating N.C. State in a bowl game, but all in all it wasn’t exactly a great season in Lexington.
Kentucky has only 12 returning starters back from last season. If Penn State transfer (and banana peel eater) Will Levis can stabilize the quarterback position, this offense should be even better than last year’s group. The Wildcats were No. 115 in total offense and No. 107 in scoring last year thanks to a passing attack that produced a pathetic 120 yards per game.
Thanks in part to that plodding offense, Kentucky was actually outscored by an average of four points per game last year.
The Wildcats defense saw its points allowed per game creep up for the second straight season. Just five returning starters are back. Three-year starters Josh Paschal and Yusuf Corker give the Wildcats a pair of all-league talents to build around. They will need plenty of help.
Kentucky has the benefit of three straight home games to start the season. Five of their first six will take place in Lexington with the lone road trip at lowly South Carolina. Kentucky has gimme wins against ULM, Chattanooga and New Mexico State. They get Missouri and Tennessee at home and have road trips at South Carolina and at Vanderbilt. I can see Kentucky winning six of those seven games. That’s not a stretch.
However, it is a stretch to find two more wins on the slate. Even if they are consistent enough to go 6-1 against those seven soft opponents (not a given for a third-tier program like this), they would still need to pull upset road wins at Mississippi State and at Louisville.
Are the Wildcats going to win eight of those games? Hell no. They also aren’t going to beat any of the few top tier teams on the schedule (Florida, LSU and Georgia). So, Kentucky has nine winnable games. Will they get eight of them? No chance. This is an easy ‘under’ call, and I can see them slinking to 6-6 and a garbage bowl game. Typical Kentucky football.
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