2025 San Francisco Giants Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks
Last season resulted in another down year for the San Francisco Giants. They finished two games under .500 and 18 games behind the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers. Their 80-82 record put them in fourth place in the division, and they finished nine games out of the final wild card spot. The Giants have now extended their playoff drought to three years.
Matt Chapman reemerged as one of the best hitters in the game last season for the Giants. He finished with a 7.1 WAR after recording 27 homeruns, 78 RBIs, 98 runs, and 15 stolen bases. He led the team in all those categories except stolen bases, where he finished second behind Tyler Fitzgerald (17), and Chapman’s .790 OPS was third behind Fitzgerald (.831) and Heliot Ramos (.792). Fitzgerald finished second on the team with a 2.8 WAR despite playing in just 96 games. He recorded 15 homeruns and 17 stolen bases, and he finished with a .497 SLG%. Ramos finished third on the team with a 2.3 WAR, as he tallied 22 homeruns and 72 RBIs in just 121 games. Mike Yastrzemski and Lamonte Wade Jr. both finished with WARs of 2.1, rounding out the top Giants hitters. The Giants finished 17th in runs, 16th in homeruns, 19th in OPS, and 29th in stolen bases.
The pitching staff ranked 19th in the league in ERA and 22nd in the league OPS. However, they did allow the third fewest homeruns in the league. Logan Webb continues to be one of the most consistent pitchers in the MLB. He finished the season with a 3.7 WAR after recording 20 quality starts and posting a 3.47 ERA across 204.2 innings of work. Kyle Harrison finished second on the team with 124.1 innings, but he struggled all season long and finished with a 4.56 ERA. Jordan Hicks and Blake Snell both finished with more than 100 innings pitched, but Hicks finished with a 4.10 ERA and Snell was limited to just 20 starts. Ryan Walker finished second on the team with a 2.8 WAR. Walker recorded 10 saves, 21 holds, and finished the season with a 1.91 ERA across 80 innings last season.
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San Francisco Giants Key Additions/Losses
The losses continued to pile up for the Giants in the offseason. After the season concluded, they lost Mark Canha, Curt Casali, Snell, Donovan Wilson, and Michael Conforto to free agency. Snell and Conforto would end up signing with the rival Dodgers, making those losses sting a little more. San Francisco would later trade Blake Sabol and Taylor Rogers in separate deals this offseason.
The biggest offseason addition for the Giants was shortstop Willy Adames, who signed a seven-year deal. The Giants would also bring in Justin Verlander on a one-year deal while also claiming catcher Sam Huff off of waivers from the Texas Rangers. Outside of that, the Giants took fliers on Miguel Diaz, Enny Romero, Lou Trivino, and Joey Lucchesi to aid the pitching staff while also adding catcher Max Stassi and utilityman Jake Lamb.
San Francisco Giants Prospect Outlook
The San Francisco Giants have one of the weaker rated farm systems in the league. Similarly to the Atlanta Braves, their low ranking isn’t due to lack of young talent, they just have had a lot of their high ceiling prospects crack the big leagues. The Giants currently have the 29th rated farm system in the MLB, with just one prospect making it onto the MLB’s Top 100 Prospects Rankings. First baseman Bryce Eldridge has elite power potential and will soon be slotted in the middle of the Giants lineup. His glove is an issue, but Eldridge projects to be one of the most exciting bats that will soon be introduced to the MLB level.
San Francisco Giants X-Factors
The Front Office- The Giants pitching staff took a huge step back when they lost Snell. They still have a lot of veteran pieces they could build around, but the front office has to decide whether or not they have enough to compete with the Dodgers and for a wild card spot. They could decide to ship off some of their veteran pieces like Verlander, Jung Hoo Lee, Yastrzemski, and others to try and restock their talent in the farm system, but if they have a strong start to the season, the front office could decide to be heavy buyers and thin out their minor league resources even more. The Giants are one of the few teams that are truly teetering on being buyers or sellers, so the only significant X-Factor is how the front office decides to approach the season.
San Francisco Giants Expectations
The external expectation is that the Giants playoff drought will extend another year. Internally, the Giants still have to figure out what direction they want to go. There is a solid foundation in place to compete for a wild card, but the rotation is highly questionable behind Webb. And their lineup as a whole is a bit of a wild card, with guys like Yastrzemski, Hoo Lee, and Chapman who are all capable of producing at an above average level but have had shaky production numbers over their careers. In the rotation, Verlander and Robbie Ray both have produced at elite levels, but are both well past their primes. It remains to be seen what direction they decide to go. And until their record reflects otherwise, the Giants will believe they are in contention for one of the wild card spots this season.
San Francisco Giants Notable Odds:
Win Total: 79.5
World Series Champions- +9000
Pennant Winners- +4500
Division Winners- +3700
NL MVP- Willy Adames +9000
NL Cy Young- Logan Webb +3000
NL Cy Young- Kyle Harrison +20000
NL Cy Young- Justin Verlander +20000
NL Rookie of the Year- Grant McCray +7000
2025 San Francisco Giants Predictions
There are no player futures worth following for the Giants, as their lineup and rotation lacks true star power. Webb could potentially be in the Cy Young mix, but his strikeout numbers are not as high as some of the other Cy Young capable starters like Zach Wheeler or Paul Skenes. As for the team futures, I don’t expect the Giants to see the postseason this year, and they took a step back from where they were last year. With their regression and the improvements of the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, I am taking the under on the Giants win total this season.
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