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2026 Texas Rangers Predictions with Odds to Win World Series and Futures Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/20/2026

Texas Rangers predictions Corey Seager

With a new bench leader, the Texas Rangers will look to return to the playoffs again this season. Skip Schumaker will look to lead a veteran pitching staff that has the potential to rival some of the best rotations in the league. The lineup will also look different now that Marcus Semien has been shipped to New York, and Brandon Nimmo is taking residence in the Rangers outfield. If Jacob deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi stay healthy, and MacKenzie Gore’s upside pays off, the Rangers have a lethal top three that is capable of upending any team in the playoffs.

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Summary of Last Season

Last season was not the best for Rangers players or fans. Despite finishing with a +79-run differential, they finished with a low 81-81 record. They went 21-29 in one run games and ended the season finishing 10 games below their expected record of 91-71. The Rangers were terrible on the road as well, going 33-48 away from home.

Texas underperformed at the plate last season. They ranked 22nd in runs scored, 26th in OPS, 18th in homeruns, 21st in walks, 24th in hits. Despite only playing 102 games, Corey Seager led the team with a 6.1 WAR. He hit .271 in 380 at bats, finishing second on the team with 21 homeruns, and tallying 50 RBIs. Wyatt Langford finished second on the team with a 5.6 WAR after hitting a team best 22 homeruns, stealing a team best 22 bases, and recording a team best .775 OPS. Josh Smith had himself a year as well. He finished with a 3.0 WAR after hitting 10 homeruns and stealing 12 bases. Adolis Garcia finished third on the team with 19 homeruns, though he managed a mere .227 AVG.

As for the pitching staff, the Rangers led the league with a 3.47 ERA. They also ranked 13th in quality starts, sixth in shutouts, ninth in homeruns allowed, and first in WHIP. Eovaldi was limited to just 22 starts last season, but he recorded a 4.2 WAR while posting an 11-3 record with 14 quality starts. His 1.73 ERA and 0.85 WHIP led the rotation. deGrom posted a dominant season as well, leading the team in innings pitched, recording 14 quality starts, posting a rotation best 9.6 K/9 ratio, and a 2.9 WAR. Tyler Mahle was another pitched limited by injuries, though he dominated when he was on the mound. He posted a 2.18 ERA and a 2.1 WAR across 16 starts, seven of which were quality starts. The Rangers closer by committee approach was interesting to follow last season. Luke Jackson, Shawn Armstrong, and Robert Garcia were tied for a team’s best nine saves.

Key Additions/Losses

Once the season ended the Rangers had a mass exodus of free agents depart from last year’s roster. Pitchers Merrill Kelly, Shawn Armstrong, Danny Coulombe, Patrick Corbin, Hoby Milner, Jon Gray, Phil Maton, and Mahle all became free agents. Infielder Donovan Solano, utility man Dylan Moore, and first baseman Rowdy Tellez also became available. As the offseason progressed Texas made a surprising decision to non-tender Garcia as well as Jacob Webb and Jonah Heim. The final significant subtraction from last year’s roster was dealing Semien to the Mets.

In exchange for Semien, the Rangers acquired Nimmo. The team also signed catcher Danny Jansen, reliever Alexis Diaz, pitcher Tyler Alexander, starter Jakob Junis, starter Jordan Montgomery, outfielder Mark Canha, and reliever Patrick Murphy. The biggest move of the offseason was their trade with the Washington Nationals, when they acquired Gore for a handful of prospects.

Prospect Outlook

After the deal for Gore, the farm system has thinned out for Texas. Their minor league prospect pool ranks 22nd in the league, with just one prospect ranking in the Top 100. Shortstop Sebastian Walcott is their highest rated prospect, coming in seventh on the list. He has an incredible arm and has the potential to add some pop to the Rangers lineup.

X-Factors

Rotation Health- It is no secret that Eovaldi, deGrom, and Montgomery have had their fair share of injury issues over their careers. deGrom really needs to stay healthy as his arm elevates this rotation from good to great. Adding Gore helps, as the southpaw is a tremendous innings eater and he has the upside to push the top of the rotation to another level. However, an injury to any of these arms and the rotation, and the season, could go down quickly. The Rangers are in desperate need of consistency and dominance from their pitching staff in order to balance out their sub-par run scoring ability.

Corey Seager- Another player whose career has been shaken by injuries is Seager, whose health can take this lineup a big step further. The now 31-year-old has managed to play in at least 100 games in his four-year stint with Texas, but he has yet to play in more than 123 games since 2022. Even in his limited action he has produced a WAR of at least 5.0. There is no denying how talented he is, and if his career wasn’t limited by injuries that we would be witnessing another Hall of Fame shortstop. For this season, he needs to be in the lineup and producing to keep Texas’ playoff chase alive.

2026 Texas Rangers Notable Odds:

Win Total: 83.5

World Series Champions- +2200

Pennant Winners- +1000

Division Winners- +310

AL MVP- Corey Seager +3000

AL MVP- Wyatt Langford +5000

AL Cy Young- Jacob deGrom +1000

AL Cy Young- Nathan Eovaldi +3500

AL Cy Young- MacKenzie Gore +3500

AL Rookie of the Year- Sebastian Walcott +7500

2026 Texas Rangers Predictions:

At +3000, there is some value to like for Seager winning the AL MVP. Yes, Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh are both in the American League, but Seager has the potential to steal the award if he can remain healthy. While that “if” is a big one, he is worth some couch change with those odds. As for everything else, the Rangers will finish behind the Mariners in the AL West, but there is still a chance for them to snag a wild card. Take the over on the win total, and expect them to finish closer to 90 wins.

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