We now have two full weeks between football games - no, the Pro Bowl doesn't count as a game. Fourteen days until one game. That means we have all the time we could possibly need to examine the Super Bowl from every possible angle as we seek to find an edge. To help you in that pursuit here is a collection of Super Bowl betting trends. Who knows - the key to your massive profits could lie somewhere within the next 700 or so words. Enjoy:
The Panthers have to be very happy with the setting of this game - or at least the field the game will be played on. They are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games played on grass, including 11-2 ATS this season. That is fairly consistent with their recent overall trend - they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 13-5 ATS on the season. They were a strong 3-1 ATS against AFC foes this season and 5-3 ATS away from home.
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The Panthers have gone further in the playoffs this year than in a long time, but they have been a very strong bet in the playoffs throughout - they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 playoff games. Their dominating win over Arizona is a good omen, too - they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
The Panthers have gone "over" the total in their last four playoff games and in four of their last five games both overall and on grass. The over has gone a highly profitable 20-7-1 in their last 28 games against teams with winning records. They have maintained scoring momentum well, too - the over is 5-2 in their last seven games following a game in which they scored at least 30 points.
Recent form is strong for the Panthers as they have covered each of their last three games and they have gone over in each of the games.
There is good news and bad here. The good news is that the team is a strong 4-1-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record this year. They are also 5-0 ATS in the five games in which they were underdogs this season - as they are very likely to be in this game at kickoff. And now the bad - the team is a dismal 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win such as they had over the Patriots in the AFC Championship and just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight playoff games.
The Broncos are as inclined to go "under" the total as the Panthers are to go over. They have gone under in five of their last seven both on grass and overall. They have also gone under in five of seven following an ATS win. There is only one trend to suggest that the Broncos could be likely to go over in this game - the over is 60-28-2 in their last 90 games following a game in which they allowed at least 250 passing yards. Tom Brady had 310 yards in his losing effort last week.
Recent form has not been as strong for the Broncos as the Panthers - their cover against the Patriots was their first in four games.
There is very little to draw from here. These teams have met only four times since the Panthers joined the league. The most recent came in November of 2012 when Denver overwhelmed the Panthers 36-14 as 3.5-point favorites. Peyton Manning passed for 301 yards that day - almost certainly more than he will have this time around. Cam Newton threw for two touchdowns but also had two picks and only rushed for seven yards. The teams previously played in 2008, 2004 and 1997. Each team is 2-2 ATS, and two of the four games have gone under the total - not that this fact is at all relevant to this game.
Super Bowl history
The Broncos are making their eighth appearance in the Super Bowl. They lost their first four - first in 1978 then three of four starting in 1987 - before winning their only two in 1998 and 1999. Then came their last appearance two years back against the Seahawks - a truly humiliating experience that every player wishes they could forget. They were favored by 1.5 in that game and lost by five touchdowns. Overall they are just 2-5 ATS in their seven Super Bowl appearances.
The Panthers are making their second Super Bowl appearance. They lost to the Patriots on a last-second field goal in 2004 but covered the spread as seven-point underdogs.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham
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