Tips for Betting Super Bowl Props 2020
Prop betting on the Super Bowl gets bigger and bigger every year. As I am writing this, it is less than 48 hours after the championship games ended, and already there are more props - and more creativity around those picks - than we have seen before. And we have only just begun. It's going to be a wild ride, and there will be plenty of opportunities available to bet with some pretty serious value. But there will also be some horrifyingly stupid bets available . And you need to be prepared so that you can find more of the former and less of the latter. To help you get ready for all of the excitement, here are three tips for betting Super Bowl props:
Be sure to visit our popular NFL Picks page at Doc's Sports.
First, imagine the game: Before you look at a single prop bet, you need to sit down and think about what you expect the game to look like. I'm not just talking about who you think will win, either. The more detail, the better. Will this be a high-scoring shootout, or will defense set the tone? Will the Chiefs get off to a slow start again, or will they finally show up at the kickoff? Will the Niners remember how to throw the ball again? Can the San Francisco secondary hold up to the massive challenge of facing Patrick Maholmes? Which coach will get more creative in more ways that work? You need to paint a picture of how you see the game turning out. Or, maybe, a couple of potential scenarios depending on a couple of forks in the road that could come up in the game. Once you have that, then you can look for prop bets that fit within your scenario and reject the ones that don't fit. By doing this, you are able to sort through a lot of props in a hurry. And, more importantly, you are able to make sure that you are making consistent bets. When you are betting a lot of prop bets, it can be too easy to make bets that cancel themselves out - having one bet that can only win if another bet you make loses, or at least a situation in which it is unlikely that both can win. Imagining how the game is going to turn out is like giving yourself a map to get through the jungle of prop bets options, and everyone knows that your chances of getting to your preferred destination are much greater if you have a map.
Shop around: Once you find some prop bets that are interesting to you, you need to shop around to find the best prices you can. Different sports books can have very different prices on offer for the same basic prop bets - especially for the more obscure bets . If you are betting a lot of prop bets, then shopping around could easily give you the difference between profitability and suffering a loss. It might not seem like it is worth the effort to shop around, and if you are only betting a few dollars and looking to have fun it might not be. But if you are planning on making a sizeable dent in your bankroll on this day, then shopping around to find an extra 10 percent of potential return - and you can easily find that much extra return or more - is absolutely going to be worth it.
Check your math: Once you have isolated a few prop bets that you are interested in - or perhaps more than a few - you need to take the time to make sure that they make sense mathematically. You have to make sure you aren't making a sucker bet, which is very easy to do when betting props. The example I always use to illustrate this is the coin toss prop . You can bet on whether the coin will come up heads or tails. We know with absolute certainty that over the long term the chance of heads coming up is exactly 50 percent - the same as tails. But, depending on where you bet, you can pay between -105 or -120 for the right to pick a side. So, you know that you expect to win half of the time, and you will get less than twice your money back when you do win. That means that you are absolutely guaranteed to lose money over the long term, and no amount of skill can overcome that. It's an incredibly stupid and totally indefensible bet. That's an extreme example, but there are plenty of prop bets that are similarly difficult to turn into a profit. By understanding what a prop is actually asking, what is involved in winning, and what the price of the bet is, you can understand if it's a bet worth making. There are plenty of juicy props available every year. By picking as many of those as you can - and avoiding as many bad ones as you can - you can give yourself the best chance at success.
Want free NFL Super Bowl picks? Doc's has you covered. New clients can take advantage of this great offer of $60 in free Doc's Sports members' picks for any handicapper on Doc's Expert Handicapper list. Just check out these guys' pages and see what great work they have done making money for themselves and their clients over the years. Get $60 worth of premium members' picks free .
Most Recent Super Bowl Betting
- 2020 Super Bowl Handicapping by Expert NFL Handicapper
- 2020 First Touchdown Scored Super Bowl Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
- Super Bowl Betting Money Management
- Free Super Bowl Props Predictions 2020
- Super Bowl Coin Toss History and Statistics
- 2020 Super Bowl Trivia Questions and Answers
- Betting on the Super Bowl Coin Toss
- Super Bowl Prop Bets - Super Bowl Props for 2020 Super Bowl 54
- 2020 Super Bowl Betting Tips and Advice
- 2020 Super Bowl Cross Sport Props: Predictions and Analysis