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2026 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds and Best Bets

by Spencer Toth - 1/20/2026

Super Bowl predictions Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks

The Super Bowl is just two weeks away, as there are just three games left in the NFL season. The pinnacle of the NFL playoffs is always a bittersweet moment, as we will have to wait another long seven months until the return of football. One thing that will sweeten the NFL finale is a winning Super Bowl ticket in your pocket. There are just four teams left competing for the Lombardi Trophy, all of which still have plus money odds to prevail. You won’t retire your bloodline with these relatively short odds, but a plus-money ticket in your fist in a few Sundays from now will still be a very prized possession. Here are the remaining Super Bowl contenders broken down, with a value rating attached to their current odds. 

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Super Bowl Odds:
Seattle Seahawks: +150

Los Angeles Rams: +215

New England Patriots: +240

Denver Broncos: +1250

Seattle Seahawks: +150

Conference Round Odds: -150

Implied Super Bowl Odds: -190

The Seattle Seahawks have been the outright Super Bowl favorites since they claimed the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and nothing has changed since then. They took the Wild Card round off to rest before annihilating the San Francisco 49ers 41-6 in the Divisional round. Injury concerns for Sam Darnold are still present, but the Seahawks were able to keep him out of harm’s way with only 17 pass attempts in their one-sided win last week. That is unlikely to be the case against the high-flying Rams in the NFC Championship game, as Los Angeles has operated a consistent offense all year long. Seattle’s defense will face its toughest test yet, and the NFL world could be in for a treat if we see a similar 38-37 scoreline from their Week 16 meeting. 

However, I don’t expect that to be the case. Seattle’s defense fell apart in the first half of that matchup, but it has been rock solid since. They have allowed 7.3 PPG in their last six games (excluding that Rams meeting), as they have been truly dominant. They have been able to effectively pressure the quarterback with a four-man rush, which has allowed them to leave their linebackers in the middle of the field to stuff the run or drop into coverage. The secondary has been just as stout, as the lack of explosive plays allowed down the field has been the real difference maker. Seattle doesn’t have the same pass rush as we saw from the Texans or Broncos, but they have been just as effective at slowing teams down. The Los Angeles Rams and a likely meeting against the New England Patriots both feature MVP candidates, but even that shouldn’t be a problem for Seattle. There are questions around the health and confidence of Sam Darnold, but the reality is that even Darnold is good enough to score more than the 7.3 PPG Seattle has been allowing. Unless we see a complete meltdown from Darnold, Seattle has an incredibly well-rounded roster that is capable of going all the way. It is hard to say there is much value at +150, but I do like Seattle to knock off the Rams at home. With that in mind, if the Broncos do upset the Patriots with Jarrett Stidham, Seattle is a -350 favorite in the lookahead lines. You won’t lose much value if New England does prevail, so if you think Seattle beats Los Angeles, you might as well grab the +150 Super Bowl odds. 

Value Rating: 3.5/5

Los Angeles Rams: +215

Conference Round Odds: +125

Implied Super Bowl Odds: -275

There is a lot to like about the Rams, but this is where their season ends. On paper, Los Angeles has the second-best offense and the 16th-best defense in the NFL. While a strong offense run by Matthew Stafford can offset a mediocre defense, the Rams' stats are being uplifted by a strong start to the year. In reality, Los Angeles has looked more like the 10th-ranked offense since Week 9, and still has a mediocre defense on the other side of the ball. This team used to blow teams out in the early stages of the season, but they closed out the regular season 3-3, and won in the final minute of a one-score game against both the Bears and Panthers in the playoffs. Seattle is a serious step up in competition, and I find it hard to imagine Los Angeles breaking down that daunting defense. 

The duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams is enough to make any quarterback’s mouth water, and once you mix in a solid run game, it is no surprise to see this offense thriving. However, football is played on both sides of the ball, and we saw this Rams defense let them down the last time these two teams met. While we can’t expect a 38-37 scoreline again, I find it much more possible that Seattle has another good game on offense than the Rams will. The star power names on Los Angeles are artificially inflating this line for casual bettors, as a +215 price tag is absurd for a team that is +125 in the NFC Championship game. That implies the Rams will have -275 odds in the Super Bowl, which is nothing close to the lookahead lines against the Patriots. There is always the chance that the Broncos upset New England, and this price ages nicely, but you are better off taking the Rams moneyline and the Broncos moneyline in the championship round if you think that will happen. This +215 Super Bowl price tag is impossible to justify, making the Rams an easy fade. 

Value Rating: 0.5/5

New England Patriots: +240

Conference Round Odds: -245

Implied Super Bowl Odds: +145

The Patriots will be an underdog against either the lRams or Seahawks in the Super Bowl, but taking advantage of these +240 odds is still the best bet to make at this stage of the season. I know the Denver defense is impressive, but Jarrett Stidham outdueling MVP candidate Drake Maye is a very tall task. New England has looked great on both sides of the ball, and they should be much closer to 50/50 odds in a Super Bowl matchup against either the Rams or Seahawks. Maye just navigated past two of the strongest defenses in the league, the Chargers and Texans, so I have very little concern that he will not be able to put up 25+ against the Broncos. Turnovers were a concern against Houston last week, but the reality is that Maye did enough with the ball to overcome those mistakes. 

On the other side of the ball, New England is criminally underrated. Their dominant offense took some of the spotlight off their defense, but this unit is one of the best in the league. Mike Vrabel is a very experienced head coach, and the Patriots have allowed just 19 points through two playoff games so far. With Jarrett Stidham at the helm, the Broncos' offense is even worse than the Texans and Chargers, and I see no reason why the AFC Championship game won’t be another one-sided affair. In the Super Bowl, the odds will be stacked against New England, but not by a wide margin. Their offense is better than Seattle’s, and their defense is better than Los Angeles’. New England is the only Super Bowl pick I am running to the window to take, as they are underrated in both the AFC Championship and the Super Bowl based on their current odds. 

Value Rating: 5/5

Denver Broncos: +1250

Conference Round Odds: +200

Implied Super Bowl Odds: +360

I was ready to fade the Broncos with Bo Nix at the helm, and I am a little bit disappointed that his season-ending injury robbed us of that opportunity. There isn’t much money to be made fading Denver, and I do see some value at +1250 to win the Super Bowl. While I firmly believe Denver will lose to New England, their +360 Super Bowl odds are disrespectful. Assuming they beat the Patriots on the back of a stellar defensive performance and a surprisingly solid showing from Jarrett Stidham, there is no reason they can’t do it again in the Super Bowl. The Broncos' pass rush is daunting enough to disrupt any offense in the league, and this +1250 set of Super Bowl odds are longer than their +900 odds before their matchup with the Bills. Throwing in a backup quarterback at this stage of the season is obviously a huge factor, but the public has overreacted to this news. It is not as if Bo Nix was in the MVP race, and Stidham could prove to be only a minor downgrade. Either way, I expect New England to win, but can’t fully rule out this price tag having some value. 

Value Rating: 2/5

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