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Last Week's Expert College Football Picks From Our Handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous college football pick released with analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
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Doc's Sports
2 Unit Play. Take #143 Michigan Wolverines -13 over Maryland Terrapins (1p.m., Saturday, November 22 BTN) Maryland has fallen apart this season losing 6 straight games and I do not see them competing against a physical Michigan team in this game. Michigan is still playing for a playoff berth if they can win out. They do have Ohio State next week, but I do not expect them to just go through the motions in this game. Michigan is 11-1 straight up against Maryland. The Terrapins are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games versus ranked opponents.8 Unit Play. Take #149 Nebraska Cornhuskers +8.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (7p.m., Saturday, November 22 NBC) BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR This is a lot of points to be laying for a 4-6 team that is without their starting quarterback and fired their head coach. Nebraska is also playing at backup quarterback but he looked decent when playing and they have beaten Penn State 5 of the last 6 meetings. Nebraska is off of a bye and they have a chance to win 9 games if they win out. Just expect this game to go down to the wire and we will grab the points.
5 Unit Play. Take #191 Illinois Fighting Illini -7.5 over Wisconsin Badgers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 22 BTN) Wisconsin got a win two weeks ago but still is running a high school offense with a quarterback that is not ready for Big 10 Football. Illinois is coming off back to back wins and for the most part they have destroyed the lesser teams in the conference. Wisconsin but they will eventually wear down and they are not good enough to withstand their terrible offense. Illinois has a solid quarterback in Luke Altmyer, as he has thrown for over 2,400 yards with a 21-5 touchdown to interception ratio. He will have his moments in this game and I expect him to make with his arm and his legs.
Wisconsin will need help to stay in this game, as their offense has not shown they are good enough to score enough points to win games. Illinois will stack the line of scrimmage and make Wisconsin beat them over the top, something we have yet to see from freshman quarterback Carter Smith. He has a quarterback rating of 30.5. Finally, I cannot overlook the Bret Bielema effect in this game. He was the former coach at Wisconsin and was upset with a play from the 2023 meetings that he deemed unfair (think USC – Northwestern). The last time he was in Madison, Wisconsin fired their coach the next day. If he gets a chance to run it up, he will do so in this game.
Robert Ferringo
FRIDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTION1-Unit Play. Take #115 Florida State (-5.5) over N.C. State (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 21)
Both teams are 5-5. But to me there is no doubt who the better team is. FSU beat Alabama and played tight with Miami. They have sucked on the road, but losses at Virginia and at Clemson aren’t terrible. N.C. State has gotten wrecked by any good team – save Virginia early and Georgia Tech – that they have played this season.
1-Unit Play. Take #117 Hawaii (+3) over UNLV (10:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 21)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 64.5 Hawaii at UNLV (10:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 21)
This Hawaii team is no joke. They have won six of the last eight games and their two losses were both games that came down to the final minutes. UNLV is not as good as its record suggests. They have won a ton of one-score games and have feasted on a weak schedule. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and I don’t know that they are going to be able to slow down this Hawaii offense on turf. Hawaii has won four of the last seven games and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I think they can turn this one into a shootout and fire past these overrated Rebels.
SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
1-Unit Play. Take #119 Rutgers (+31.5) over Ohio State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 55.0 Rutgers at Ohio State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 22)
I don’t see any reason why Ohio State will be motivated to lay the wood to Rutgers here. Ohio State is definitely looking past this game to their rivalry game with Michigan next week and the Buckeyes have the Big Ten Championship the week after that (followed by the playoffs). Ohiio State has some key players that are banged up that will likely rest this week. Greg Schiano is a guy that has a lot of pride and I think he can keep his team from getting humiliated here.
7-Unit Play. Take #122 Florida Atlantic (+7) over Connecticut (3 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
I think that this is a great spot for a home underdog that isn’t on anyone’s radar. Connecticut is having a great season. They are also in a letdown spot here after three straight home games. Two weeks ago they upset Duke as home underdogs in their last game against an ACC opponent this year (a big deal for the independent Huskies). They followed that against another ‘name’ opponent in Air Force, a team they also beat mainly because the Falcons quarterback got hurt and they had to put a converted fullback under center. Now, after three straight home games, the Huskies have to make a long trip to Boca Raton. Air Forced rushed the ball 58 times for nearly 300 yards last week and the Huskies faced a physical Duke front the week prior to that. What does the UConn defense have left in the tank? FAU has the No. 1 passing offense in the country and an attack that scores over 30 points and produces over 430 yards per game. I don’t think Connecticut will have enough to stop them. The Huskies have struggled on the road this year. They lost at Syracuse, they lost at Delaware (as an 8.5-point favorite), they barely beat Buffalo and they lost at Rice (as a 10-point favorite). Florida Atlantic has been improving as this season has gone on. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and this team needs two more wins to get to a bowl game. They outgained Tulane in a loss last week and they will also want revenge for an ugly 48-14 loss to Connecticut last season. I think the Owls will go down fighting and I think they have a chance to pull the upset here.
1-Unit Play. Take #124 Temple (+8) over Tulane (3:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take #133 Delaware (+17.5) over Wake Forest (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 22)
I think Delaware will put up a fight in this game. They only lost by 24 at Colorado earlier in the year and this team just needs one more game to clinch at least a .500 record in their first year in D-I. (They are ineligible for a bowl game.) They’ve only lost by more than 13 points twice this season and I don’t know what Wake Forest’s motivation will be. The Demon Deacons just beat one in-state rival (UNC) and have another on deck (Duke). This is not a very good offense (No. 90 total, No. 98 scoring) and they are facing a Delaware passing attack (No. 5) that can move the ball. I think this one is going to be a snooze fest and I can see Wake winning it somewhere around 24-10.
2-Unit Play. Take #139 Washington State (+14) over James Madison (1 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
Washington State got off to a horrific start to the year, getting pasted at North Texas and at Washington. Since then, they have been a different, much tougher team. Wazzou is on a 5-1 ATS run and they are 3-3 SU in those games. Those three losses have come by 3 (at Ole Miss), by 3 (at Virginia the following week) and by 3 (at Oregon State). James Madison has won eight straight and they have the pressure of trying to impress the selection committee and try to make the college playoffs. They have played a bunch of weak sisters in the Sun Belt and this is a step up in class for them. They also have bigger games on deck (Coastal Carolina, Sun Belt Championship) so I don’t know that they are just going to roll out of bed and hammer a Washington State team that’s been trending in the right direction.
4-Unit Play. Take #144 Maryland (+14) over Michigan (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
We are going to find out everything we need to know about Mike Locksley in this game. The Maryland AD announced that Locksley will definitely be back next season. If his players like him and are happy about that then I think they will play hard in this game. I, personally, think Locksley is a dud. And if they made the wrong decision I think his team rolls over and gets rolled this week. I’m going with the former here. Maryland actually played Washington and Nebraska very tough at home earlier this season; they probably should’ve won both games. They have three losses by four points or less during this losing streak and after 18- and 15-point losses I think they are due. Maryland needs to win its last two games to make a bowl so they are ready to max out. Michigan hasn’t been good on the road. They barely beat Northwestern last week, got hammered at USC and Oklahoma, and their three road wins have come by 2, 11 and 3 points. They also only beat Purdue by five at home and have just one win over a power conference team by more than 14 points. Michigan just lost its stud running back and they are definitely looking ahead to next week’s date with Ohio State. Throw in that the last two games with Maryland have been decided by just a touchdown apiece and I think the Wolverines are on upset alert this weekend.
2-Unit Play. Take #146 North Carolina (+7) over Duke (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
I’ll take the motivated home underdog in this one. Duke had a chance to control its own destiny and play its way into the ACC title game. Then they got blown out and were not competitive at home against Virginia. Duke has lost three of their last four games and the lone win (against Clemson) was one directly impacted by horrible officiating. This Duke team isn’t very good and they have not played well over the last month. North Carolina isn’t very good. But, again, they are at home, catching points, motivated to upset their rivals, and motivated to win their final two games and get to a bowl. Carolina has won two of three games. They also should’ve beaten Virginia and Cal, losing by a combined four points in the final seconds of both. I’ll take the points with these two teams going in opposite directions.
3-Unit Play. Take #149 Nebraska (+8.5) over Penn State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
This line is awful thick for a Penn State team that has lost six of its last seven and seen its season go into a ditch. What is Penn State’s motivation here? To get to the Mayo Bowl? They were supposed to be competing for a national title! This team lost to UCLA and Northwestern so they aren’t beyond losing this game outright. Nebraska has been OK without Dylan Raiola. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game and to get their new quarterback ready. The Huskers have only lost by more than eight points twice in their last 23 games and just six times in their last 47 games.
1-Unit Play. Take #162 Boise State (-16.5) over Colorado State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
Boise State has lost back-to-back games. I think they are going to be in a foul mood. No, this team isn’t as good as we are used to from Boise. But Colorado State has been routinely blown out this season. They are reaching the end of a lost season and have an interim coach. They’ve lost by 32 at home and by 28 at Wyoming just in the last few weeks. I think Boise State takes out some frustration here.
1-Unit Play. Take #164 Utah (-17.5) over Kansas State (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
Kansas State hasn’t played good football over the last two seasons. They got whitewashed by Texas Tech and then barely beat a horrific Oklahoma State team. The Avery Johnson Experience wasn’t what the Wildcats expected and I think they could get run here. Chris Klieman is normally a great underdog. K-State has never played in Utah, though, and the Utes are a wagon right now, winning by 46, 31 and 27 points the last three weeks. Throw in other conference wins by 32 and 34 and I don’t think Kansas State is going to hold up.
3-Unit Play. Take #170 Arizona (-6.5) over Baylor (1 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
I have liked what I’ve seen from this Arizona team. They could’ve beaten Houston – losing on a field goal at the buzzer – and they should’ve beaten BYU. Those are two Top 25 teams and if Arizona had won those games they would be 9-1 and on a six-game roll. They are playing good football and we cashed in with them last week when they upset Cincinnati. Baylor is a sinking ship. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 and Dave Aranda is out the door. Baylor got smoked 55-28 last week at home against Utah and have lost three of four. I’m going with the hot hand.
4-Unit Play. Take #173 Arkansas (+9) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
You really have to wonder where Texas’ heads are at. Last week they had their playoff dreams crushed in a blowout loss at Georgia. That was a huge game for the Longhorns and I can see them having a bit of a hangover from that third loss. The reality is that Texas hasn’t played well in any game this year, save that win over Oklahoma. The Longhorns lost to a bad Florida team and they barely won games against Kentucky (by 3, in OT), Mississippi State (lucky win in OT) and Vanderbilt (by 3). They also only beat UTEP by 17 as a 40-point favorite. Arkansas is as good of a 2-8 team as we’ve seen this century in college football. They have closes losses at LSU (by 1), to Miss State (by 3), to Texas A&M (by 3), at Tennessee (by 3), at Memphis (by 1) and at Ole Miss (by 6). That is six losses to teams that have all been in the Top 25 by a combined 17 points. That’s insane. Now that James Franklin is going to Virginia Tech, Bobby Petrino is even more motivated to prove that he deserves this head coaching job. Petrino has always been a good underdog and I think he could have his Razorbacks competitive here against a dazed and disinterested Texas team that is looking ahead to the A&M game next week.
1-Unit Play. Take #178 San Diego State (-12.5) over San Jose State (10:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #181 USC (+10) over Oregon (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
USC is not as good as people want them to be. They have also sucked on the road under Lincoln Riley. And Oregon is a bear in Autzen. Those are the reasons not to like these Trojans. That’s it, though, and this feels like too many points. The more you look at Oregon’s resume this year the more you have to question how good this team really is. They are good! There is no doubt about it. But close wins over Iowa (3) and Penn State (6 in OT) and a loss to Indiana are really the only three teams they have played. USC was able to hang within 10 points of Notre Dame in a true road game and with that offense I think that they have enough to put some pressure on the Ducks here and keep this one tight.
2-Unit Play. Take #194 Rice (+18) over North Texas (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
North Texas has played and beaten a bunch of schlub-ass teams this year. We really have no idea how good they really are. This team only beat Army by 7 and Western Michigan by 3 on the road. Rice runs the option and that always makes them a dangerous dog. They lost by 24 to Memphis but were done in by turnovers. Rice just needs one more win for a rare bowl appearances and I think they are going to be going all out in this one. They won’t win, but I think they can stay within 17 in a high-scoring game where the backdoor should be open the entire second half. I’ll call it 41-26.
2-Unit Play. Take #203 Michigan State (+17) over Iowa (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
This Michigan State team sucks and they have yet to win a game in Big Ten play. I still think they can be competitive here. Iowa has had back-to-back heartbreaking games, losing 18-16 to Oregon and then 26-21 to USC. They are already bowl-eligible so what is their motivation here? Michigan State has dumped seven straight. Only two of those losses have come by more than 18 points, and one was a 25-point loss at Indiana. The Spartans have won four of the last six meetings and they’ve only lost to Iowa by more than two touchdowns twice since 2008. I think the Spartans keep it relatively competitive in a typical ugly Iowa win.
2-Unit Play. Take #206 UT-San Antonio (+2.5) over East Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
UT-San Antonio has been dominating at home under Jeff Traylor, going 33-4 SU in the home stomps. East Carolina is in a clear letdown spot. They had a huge comeback win last week over Memphis that included a field storming at the buzzer. Tough to get back up after that one here on the road. This spread is practically begging you to take ECU. UTSA hammered Tulane at home and they will want revenge for a 10-point road loss last year at Carolina in a game they outplayed the Pirates.
2-Unit Play. Take #207 Kentucky (+9.5) over Vanderbilt (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
I absolutely hate betting against my homeboy Diego Pavia. He’s awesome. But all the pressure is on Vanderbilt in this one. They are just on the outside looking in at a playoff bid. They are a Top 15 team and they have the public on their side. Kentucky is playing much better lately, winning three straight and covering four of five. They are a tough team to blowout just by virtue of their deliberate style of play. Kentucky has also won seven of nine in this series and haven’t lost to the Commodores by more than a touchdown in over a decade. The underdog is 6-3 ATS in this series and Vandy only has one SEC by more than a touchdown (USC back on Sept. 13).
1-Unit Play. Take #218 Notre Dame (-35.5) over Syracuse (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
Syracuse is a pile. Notre Dame needs to win, and win big, in order to secure their spot in the playoffs. Syracuse can’t stop the run and Notre Dame could win this game by 50 if they wanted.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 51.5 Mercer at Auburn (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
This one can be found under Added Games or Extra Games.
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #138 Florida (+11) over Tennessee (7:30 p.m.) AND Take #146 North Carolina (+14) over Duke (3:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #155 Missouri (+14.5) over Oklahoma (Noon) AND Take #144 Maryland (+21) over Michigan (4 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #122 Florida Atlantic (+14) over Connecticut (3 p.m.) AND Take #149 Nebraska (+15.5) over Penn State (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #164 Utah (-10.5) over Kansas State (4 p.m.) AND Take #203 Michigan State (+24) over Iowa (3:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #124 Temple (+8) over Tulane (3:45 p.m.) AND Take #221 Utah State (+10) over Fresno State (10:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 7-POINT TEASER: Take #206 UT-San Antonio (+2.5) over East Carolina (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #172 Stanford (+10) over California (7:30 p.m.)
Craig Trapp
NCAAF2-Unit Play. Take #116 NC State (+5.5) Over Florida State (8 p.m., Friday, November 21)
On the road this year, FSU has been downright terrible. Seminoles are 0-3 straight up and ATS on the road. We actually think NC State should be a -1 point favorite and we would have taken them at this number too. NC State had a big let down last week after upsetting undefeated GT two weeks ago. This week NC State gets bowl eligible with a win. Take Wolfpack to cover the spread on Friday.
4-Unit Play. Take #121 UCONN (-7) Over FAU (3 p.m., Saturday, November 22)
This Huskies team has been money lately - 3 wins in 3 weeks and even more important, UCONN has covered in each of these wins. Only a letdown will give FAU a chance. We don’t see that happening. Nine wins sounds really good for the once bad Huskies group. Take UCONN to win and cover this week.
7-Unit Play. Take #193 Over (55.5) North Texas vs Rice (7:30 p.m., Saturday, November 22)
This North Texas team is the 9-1 team that no one is paying any attention to. This seems to be really motivating Mean Green to put up big offensive outputs. North Texas is averaging 45 points per game and comes close this week to getting this total on their own. Take the over in North Texas vs Rice game.
3-Unit Play. Take #171 CAL (-3) Over Stanford (7:30 p.m., Saturday, November 22)
The only reason we didn’t make this a Top Level play this week is because rivalry home underdogs always concern us. The problem for Stanford is talent-wise, they just don’t match-up and we can’t see CAL not dominating in this one. Take CAL to win and cover the spread.
2-Unit Play. Take 7 Point Teaser: Army (-3) Over Tulsa & USC (+17) over Oregon (Saturday, November 22)
We have both these teams covering without the teaser but much safer using the 7 point teaser Saturday.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach
******NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 26 TO ACCOMMODATE THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.******3-Unit Play. Take #113 'Over' 53.5 in Arkansas State vs UL Lafayette (7:30 p.m., Thu, Nov. 20)
Two very bad defenses and I expect plenty of points here. Both teams are off bye weeks and Arkansas State has scored 30 points or more in 3 of 4 home games this season prior to the disappointing 27-21 home loss to Southern Miss before the bye. UL Lafayette suddenly has bowl hopes with a bad UL Monroe team on deck. The Ragin Cajuns off B2B wins and scored 73 points in the two victories but I don't trust their defense. Certainly the offense will be going all out as they have hopes of 6 wins! 3* OVER 53.5 in Arkansas State
3-Unit Play. Take #115 Florida State (-5.5) at NC State (8:00 p.m., Fri, Nov. 21)
Key game in terms of bowl aspirations. I know the Seminoles have struggled on the road but they are the much better team right now in comparison with NC State as the latter is off a devastating loss where they go destroyed. Florida State has shown flashes this season and I know they have been up and down but this Wolfpack team has allowed an average of over 40 ppg last 4 games and I am going to ride with the much stronger defense in this one. The Noles have allowed an average of just 16 ppg in their last 4 games. 3^ FLORIDA STATE -5.5
4-Unit Play. Take #174 Texas (-8.5) vs Arkansas (3:30 p.m., Sat, Nov. 22)
An opportunity for Texas to get back on track at home after the game at Georgia got away from them late. Arkansas is 0-6 in SEC games and I do recognize that all the losses were one-possession defeats. However, they did get blasted by Notre Dame this season and the Longhorns wins in the state of Texas, including the Red River Rivalry game against Oklahoma, have all been wins by 17 points or more except for the Vandy game. This is just the 2nd SEC home game in Austin for the Longhorns this season and remember they had a 34-10 lead over Vandy before the Commodores scored the final 3 TDs of the game to make the final margin just 3 points. Texas rolls here and, unlike the Vanderbilt game, there will be no late game backdoor cover for the visitors this time! 4* TEXAS -8.5
4-Unit Play. Take #141 Pittsburgh (+2.5) at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m., Sat, Nov. 22)
This line looks interesting with Georgia Tech at home and having the better record and yet they are laying less than a field goal. This one caught my attention and I like having the better defense in this one as the Panthers have been better in that regard in recent ACC games while the Yellow Jackets are giving up piles of yardage. Not only that, Georgia Tech has allowed an average of 41 points in their last two games. I know the Panthers are coming off an ugly loss but it was in non-conference action. They truly were more concerned about their two remaining ACC games and that key stretch begins now. My money is on the better defense that seems to be peaking at the right time. Look for the GT defense to again struggle badly here and the Panthers get a big win to keep ACC title hopes alive. 4* PITTSBURGH +2.5
7-Unit Play. Take #182 Oregon (-9.5) vs USC (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
The Ducks and Trojans both possess very efficient offenses but the Oregon defense is much more impressive statistically compared to the USC defense. Of course another key here is the Ducks being at home but I also like the fact that when the Trojans faced the Hawkeyes last week, plus it was at Southern Cal, the Trojans were outgained on the ground 183 to 106 by the Hawkeyes! When the Ducks faced the Hawkeyes it was in Iowa and yet Oregon still dominated the ground game battle 261 to 101. We are getting to crunch time in the season and teams that can win the ground game battles win these kinds of games and you see my point there about how those teams performed against the Hawkeyes on the ground. It was a big difference. Long-term this series has a pattern, 2023 a rare exception, that the team that wins the game also wins ATS as well. I am confident Oregon wins here and, based on that little ATS nugget too, the odds favor that they win by double digits and cover this one. This line moved immediately Sunday night on this game from 7.5 to 9.5 and I had some notes on that which I am also including here. The Ducks are so strong at home. Other than the loss to Indiana, the Ducks have demolished teams that have visited Oregon this season. The Trojans road wins were at Purdue and Nebraska. They lost at both Illinois and Notre Dame. In summary, I trust the Ducks defense at home much more than the USC defense on the road. In particular the ground game aspect is going to play a key role here because the Trojans are likely to find the passing game will also not come so easy at Oregon as it has in other stadiums for USC this season. With 6 of 10 games so far at home this season the Trojans have had a rather home-friendly schedule too. This is a very tough match-up for them on the road and the Ducks pull away for a big margin victory as this game goes on. 7* OREGON -9.5
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
******NOTE FROM DOC'S SPORTS: NEXT WEEK'S FOOTBALL PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AND AVAILABLE AT 6 P.M. EST ON WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 26 TO ACCOMMODATE THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.******7-Unit Play. #213. Take Southern Miss Money-Line (-120) over South Alabama (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
We roll with Southern Miss here. Great spot for us to take Coach Huff's team. This team is 7-3 and they are facing a 3-7 team here in South Alabama. I know much is epected from South Alabama, but I think it will take them a year to come around with Major Applewhite. We love that Southern Miss got clobbered 14-41 against Texas State last game and for this team to basically put up a season low in points in 14 points and give up a season high in points at the same time of 41 points to a sub .500 team in Texas State will motivate them. Remember, this team only lost to Miss State by 17 points, this team was down 0-27 at the half and has never beat South Alabama in their entire program and you get South Alabama coming off its biggest win of the year over UL Monroe since its opening week and we think it's a classic let down spot for them.
4-Unit Play. #191. Take Illiinois -8.5 over Wisconsin (Saturday @ 7:30pm est)
Illinios lost two years ago to Wisconsin and we think Coach B will remember that of Illinois. We like that Wisconsin comes off 3 straight covers here but Illinios is incredibly talented when it comes to stopping the run and this will be a boring game but Illinois was outscored 18-0 in the 4th quarter the last time these two teams met and there is no doubt that Coach B wants to eliminate that thought from his mind and we like a blowout win here.
4-Unit Play. #204. Take Iowa -17 over Michigan State (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
Iowa will be motivated here. They lost to Michigan State by 12 last year, they gave up 32 points to them last year, Michigan State is 3-7 and going nowhere whereas Iowa is 6-4 and a win here is important to get them to 7 wins as they have a tough battle with Nebraska next. Iowa is off tight back to back losses to USC and Oregon, games they could have won and we think they take their frustration out here on Michigan State.
4-Unit Play. #187. Take Louisville +2.5 over SMU (Saturday @ 12pm est)
Louisville comes off back to back losses, they lost to SMU last year and this team is the same team that went into Miami and won outright when it mattered most. With a tight loss to Cal as -18.5 point favorites as they looked ahead to Clemson, who they lost to, because Clemson lost to them at home last year so Clemson got revenge, Louisville has all the anger to do well here in this contest on the road on this great public fade.
4-Uhnit Play. #185. Take Liberty +1 over Louisiana Tech (Saturday @ 3pm est)
Liberty has lost back to back games to Louisiana Tech and Missouri State, two teams that are decent and this is the same team that rocked Delaware 59-30, beat New Mexico State 30-27 and only lost to a very good Old Dominion team 7-21 and even played James Madison tough. We love them to avoid losing 3 straight here.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK #133 Unit Play. Take #142 Georgia Tech -2.5 over Pittsburgh (7:00p.m., Saturday November 22)
Last week the Pittsburgh Panthers hosted Notre Dame and College Gameday and lost badly 37-15 and now travel to Bobby Dodd Stadium to play the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is perfect at home 5-0 and 4-1 ATS and if the Panthers couldn’t stop the Irish run game they will struggle Saturday night with the Yellow Jackets run game. With the Yellow Jackets ACC Championships hopes in the balance I see them coming out strong and taking care of business early. Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS when playing as the underdog and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 10-2-1 ATS at home.
4 Unit Play. Take #178 Under 51 San Jose St at San Diego St (10:30p.m., Saturday November 22)
I know the San Jose St Spartans defense is horrendous as of late, but this total is a bit too high for what the Aztecs can do on the D-Side. The Aztecs last two home games not one of those conference teams scored more than 7-points. The last 9 games the Aztecs have played the total wasn’t higher then 47.5 and their 10 games this season the ‘Under’ has cashed 7 times. The last 11 meetings between these two teams 8 of them have gone ‘Under’ the total and the Aztecs last 9 games as a favorite 7 of them have gone ‘Under’.
7 Unit Play. Take #222 Fresno St -2.5 over Utah St (10:30p.m., Saturday November 22)
The Utah St Aggies travel to ‘The Valley’ to face off the Fresno St Bulldogs and this Mountain West Conference battle will be a fun one to watch. The Aggies are .500 squad this season (5-5) but an 8-2 ATS and their road game has a ZERO next to the win column. Last week Utah St lost to UNLV by 3-points but covered but their last 4 road games they lost by double-digits. I’m a little shocked that we are laying such a small number at the Valley as the Bulldogs have covered 6 out of their last 8 home games and the home crowd will be packed. The Utah St Aggies have lost each of their last 15 games as a road underdog and the Aggies are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. The Bulldogs have won 17 out of their last 21 home games. Give me the Bulldogs laying less than a field goal late Saturday night.
Tony George
College FootballFriday 11/21/25
3 Units
Take #117 Hawaii (+3) over UNLV
*10:30 EST
I like Hawaii off a bye week after waxing MW Conference leader SD State in their last game and it was not even close. Hawaii’s QB Alejedo can tear apart a weak pass defense and UNLV has one, and indoors on a fast track, Hawaii can score. They have 4 upset wins this year none bigger than their last one and they have had an extra week of prep here. They also have the better defense. UNLV at 8-2 under Dan Mullen, but not as good as their record in my opinion. They are off a double OT against Utah State where they flat out should have lost as USU handed them game with mistakes and special teams blunders, and that was a team Hawaii pounded 44-26. This is an elimination for the Title game in the Mountain West, I am going against the home team here.
College Football
Saturday 11/22/25
3 Units
Take #135 BYU (-2.5) over Cincinnati *8 EST
The Bearcats have been exposed by Zona and Utah. AS a matter of fact, Utah pounded Cincy 45-14, and bear in min BYU beat Utah. BYU’s only loss was to a Texas Tech team who is the best team in the Big 12, and if they win out they may get to face them again in the Big 12 title game. Not sold on Cincy despite getting back some WR’s this week, their QB is way overrated. Less than a FG with a 1 loss team who has the better QB and coach? I will take them.
4 Units
Take #123 Tulane (-8.5) over Temple
*3:45 EST
Tulane in the Playoff talk, and why not, they are a good team who is well coached and I do not think they have or will take their eyes off the prize against lowly Temple, who got blasted by Tulane 52-6 last year. How much ground has Temple made up, even at home to cover this number? Not near enough as Tulane is rolling. Temples last home game they got destroyed by East Carolina 45-14. Tulane beat ECU by a TD and covered a -6 spread in that game.
Vernon Croy
NO CFB PLAYS THIS WEEKScott Spreitzer
3-Unit Play: Take 117 Hawaii +3 over UNLV (10:30 p.m., Friday, November 21)UNLV’s 8-2 on the season with five of their wins coming by one score. Last week, Utah State had plenty of chances to beat the Rebels but their PK, who hadn’t missed a FG all season, missed three in Las Vegas including the would-be game winner at the end of regulation and again with a chance to win in OT. We do give the Rebels credit for finding ways to win games they should have lost but I’m betting it catches up to them tonight. UNLV’s defense is bad, ranked 115th against the run, 120th against the pass, and 130th in total yards allowed per game. Hawaii was off last week and their offense has been on fire. They’re 4-1 in their last 5 and have covered five of six. QB Michael Alejado has tossed 3 TD passes in each of his last five games and has a 15-3 TD-INT mark in those games. He might throw the ball 40+ times on Friday and I’m betting they’ll be too much for the Rebels. I’m taking the points with Hawaii. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
1-Unit Play: Take 157 Charlotte +44 over Georgia (12:45 p.m., Sat., Nov. 22)
The Georgia Bulldogs are off a big fourth quarter and win over Texas last weekend and they have a date with 9-1 Georgia Tech up next. After facing Texas, Mississippi State, Florida, Ole Miss, and Auburn, they draw what is basically a glorified practice this week against Charlotte. This is the kind of game where Georgia obviously wins but doesn't go full bore for four quarters. As reported, the Bulldogs are on an 14-0 SU run when laying at least 38 points but they're 0-13-1 ATS. Georgia will cruise in this one of course. Charlotte isn’t a good football team but that’s baked into this number. I'm betting Georgia falls short of the big number again. I’m taking the points with Charlotte. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
7-Unit Play: Take 210 LSU -21.5 over W. Kentucky (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
If we had any thought LSU would mail it in after Brian Kelly was fired, it was extinguished when the Tigers fought back from a 14-0 deficit to beat Arkansas last week. QB Garrett Nussmeier is probably not going to play again this week but Michael Van Buren played well in the win over the Razorbacks. Van Buren can run out of trouble and Berry & Durham ran for a combined 5.1 yards per carry last week. Western Kentucky’s defense is terrible against the run and bad overall. Meanwhile, the LSU defense has been strong all season and will face a one-dimensional offense this week. WKU’s schedule has been extremely soft and in games against teams who’re currently at .500 or better, they beat Louisiana Tech (5-5) by one point in OT, lost by 19 points to FIU (5-5), escaped Delaware (5-5) and Missouri State (7-3) by three points and five points, and lost 45-21 to Toledo (6-4). Finally, WKU has bigger fish to fry next week playing for a potential trip to the C-USA championship game. LSU should be pumped and motivated in this, their final home game of the season. I’m laying the points with LSU. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
2-Unit Play: Take 219 New Mexico -3.5 over Air Force (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
New Mexico has won four in a row and seven of nine since a season-opening loss to Michigan. They have a shot at playing in the MWC title game but almost blew it last week with four fumbles that kept Colorado State in the game before the Lobos wrapped-up a 20-17 non-covering win. Air Force lost starting QB Liam Szarka to a season ending injury during last week’s game at UConn. This is huge for this game. Szarka brought a legitimate passing threat to the Falcons’ option offense and backup QB Kemper Hodges is not a threat through the air as we saw last week. UNM’s defense is top-20 against the run and should shut it down. The UNM passing game matches up well against AFA’s pass defense which is last in CFB in success rate allowed. And as reported elsewhere, UNM will run at a Falcons’ defense ranked last in yards before contact. I’m laying the points with New Mexico. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
6-Unit Play - (155) Missouri +7.5 -110 over Oklahoma (11/22 | 12:00PM EST) This price is inflated above the key number of seven after Oklahoma won huge back to back games on the road at Tennessee and Alabama. However, Missouri are 7-3 SU, and are coming in to this one after one of their better performances of the season with the 49-27 ass-kicking of Mississippi State. Oklahoma have been in some hard, hard fought games as of late and that can take its toll. It's also possible we see QB Beau Pribula making his return, and if that does happen; this price will look phenomenal. Either way, we love the value here.Strike Point Sports
2-Unit Play. Take #157 Charlotte (+44) over Georgia (12:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)Kirby Smart has not done well ATS in this role and is 0-13 ATS as a favorite of 40 or more points. Kirby will clear his bench in this one.
3-Unit Play. Take #149 Nebraska (+8) over Penn State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
This is just too many points. Yes, I see Penn State winning this game as they have a new found momentum to their season after it was left for dead, but they should not be laying more than a touchdown to a “decent” Nebraska team. The ‘Huskers are Bowl bound and are absolutely good enough to cover this number. Nebraska just plays close games. Outside of their embarrassing loss to Minnesota, they have played every team close regardless of the venue. Give me the points here.
3-Unit Play. Take #181 USC (+9.5) over Oregon (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 22)
This game is similar to the Nebraska/Penn State game. This is just too many points. I do believe that Oregon wins here, but I don’t like them laying nearly double-figures to this USC offense. The Trojans defense will struggle to stop Oregon, but it will be the same the other way. Oregon’s defense has been lights out since their loss to Indiana, but this is an offense filled with weapons and absolutely good enough to stay within this number. USC has only been an underdog once this season and they covered the line versus Notre Dame. The Ducks have only played a few good teams this season, and all of those games were either a loss, or a one-possession win.
7-Unit Play. Take #188 SMU (-2.5) over Louisville (noon, Saturday, Nov. 22)
I like SMU against ACC teams, and I like them even better at home. The one time I went against SMU (the Wake Forest win), I was correct in my assessment, but I came right back to the Mustangs for a 7-Unit win over Miami. This team just doesn’t lose to ACC foes, and they aren’t going to lose this weekend to Louisville. The Mustangs are 4-2 ATS versus their conference this season while Louisville is 3-4 ATS. The Cardinals were 7-1 straight up, and had aspirations of winning the ACC. Louisville followed that hot start up with two straight loses to California and Clemson, and now are just hoping they get asked to a mid-tier Bowl Game that features the 7th place ACC team versus the fifth place Big 12 team. Lay the small number.
Jason Sharpe
CFB-Saturday November 22nd 2025-
5 Unit Play Take #138 Florida +4 over Tennessee (7:30pm est):
Florida has won 17 of their last 20 games versus Tennessee including a perfect 10-0 at home in this series. That success at home is nothing new either as Florida has posted the best ATS conference home record over the past decade. Even more impressive is the fact they've won 9 of those 13 games straight-up as a home dog and two of those four losses were by 3 points or less as well. The Gators are well tested as well having faced the hardest schedule in all of college football this year so far. On the other side of things I think this Tennessee team has been overrated all year long as they've covered the point spread just once in their last eight games coming into this one.
Take Florida plus the points.
3 Unit Play Take #181 USC +10 over Oregon (3:30pm est):
USC has very quietly had a solid 8-2 season overall coming into this one. The Trojans very easily could be undefeated in Big Ten play if not for their heartbreaking 2 point loss at the end of regulation on the road to Illinois back in late September. I think they have the firepower to not only keep this one close but also can get in thru a backdoor cover as well if things start to get out of hand.
Play USC plus the points.
Griffin Murphy
7 Unit Play - Take #218 Notre Dame (-35.5) Over Syracuse. (3:30p.m, Saturday, November 22nd)Alright, so Syracuse comes into this game 3-7 on the season and coming off a not-so-bad loss to Miami, FL, last week in a 38-10 final. That game was in Miami, who happens to be 8-2 on the season and ranked 18th in the country. Notre Dame just beat Pitt on the road last week in a 37-15 final, which gives us some incentive. Never easy playing at Pitt first off. Second off, Notre Dame’s defense just does not allow points. This team allowed 15 against Pitt, 10 against Navy, 10 against Boston College, 7 against N.C. State, and 7 against Boise State. So I am explaining, mid-tier-bad teams cannot hang with this Notre Dame defense. Now a Syracuse team that is 3-7 on the year, looking from a public standpoint, is coming off a solid loss to Miami, FL, and is now catching a massive 35.5 points in this game. Feed the public the trap, because we are not buying it. Syracuse should not have any offensive efficiency here, and Notre Dame is beyond poised to blow teams out for the CFB playoffs. Let’s roll with the Fighting Irish to cover this massive 35.5-point spread!
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take #136 Cincinnati Bearcats (+2.5) Over BYU Cougars. (8:00p.m, Saturday, November 22nd)
BYU comes into this game with a stout 9-1 on the year and definitely a powerful win last week over TCU, which resulted in a 44-13 final. We love this because this will most definitely apply buying power from the public on BYU here. This is also an 8:00PM game, so we can definitely expect tons of public money flooded on this due to the public chase. Cincinnati just got beat by a surging Arizona team last week at home in a 24-30 final. This will cause massive hesitation and scarcity from the public, and this is where our psychology becomes dominant and separates us from the public. The total in this game is sitting at 54.5, which tells us points are going to be scored. TCU came into BYU with a 6-3 record and the 14th-best passing team in the nation, yet only managed to score 13 points. This is such a confluence stacker against the public. Now, situational market play comes here. This BYU Cougars team comes into this game again 9-1 on the season, and the market is offering the public -135 on the moneyline for BYU to win this game outright. Cincinnati is led by a very good QB in Sorsby. They have a dynamic rush attack, and last week’s loss, in our opinion, was suffered with a confluence of coming off a bye week against a red-hot opponent after the out had occurred. We believe Cincinnati comes into this game well prepared on the defensive side, rips offensively, and covers our 2.5-point heavily trapped differential. Let’s roll, Bearcats!
Griffin Murphy
Nick Menken
7 Unit – Take #169 Baylor (+6.5) over Arizona (-105) (1:00p.m, Saturday, November 22th)We head to Tucson, Arizona, where the Wildcats will host the Baylor Bears on Saturday. Arizona enters this matchup at 7–3 after grinding out a 30–24 road win over Cincinnati last week. Baylor, meanwhile, sits at 5–5 and is coming off an embarrassing 55–28 home loss to Utah on their own turf. Both offenses can move the ball, but Baylor quietly has one of the more explosive units in the country ranking 15th in total offense and averaging 465 yards per game. The challenge for them comes on the other side of the ball, where Arizona’s defense has been rock-solid, allowing just 309 yards per game, good for 19th in the nation. Baylor is one win away from becoming bowl-eligible, and with Houston on deck next week, they know this is their shot to steal one. Meanwhile, Arizona could very well be in a classic sandwich spot after last week’s emotional road win. Baylor is going to throw everything they’ve got into this game, and I expect this matchup to be much tighter than most people think. Look for Baylor QB Sawyer Robertson to use his legs early to keep Arizona honest and open up a passing attack that ranks 2nd nationally. With the Bears fighting for postseason life and Arizona potentially overlooking a weaker opponent, I love having the points in my pocket here.
Take #169 Baylor (+6.5) over Arizona (-105)
Nick Menken
4 Unit Play - Take #201 Minnesota (+4) Over Northwestern. (12:00p.m, Saturday, November 22nd)
Minnesota comes into this game with a strong 6-4 record on the season and has actually performed much better than we expected overall. We love the vulnerability spot here as the market is feeding a trap. Minnesota played Oregon last week and got torched in a 42-13 final. This will cause massive selling power in Minnesota in this sequence and cause buying power in Northwestern. The Wildcats dealt with Michigan last week at home and went toe-to-toe with them in a 24-22 final. Minnesota got torched against Oregon by 29 points, and Northwestern nearly beat an 8-2 team who’s ranked 18th in the country. Now the market is giving Minnesota just +4 points here when they are on back-to-back road games, while Northwestern is on back-to-back home games. The public can feed off of this all they want, but we won't. We are riding the public fade here and taking the Golden Gophers +4 with an expectation of a potential outright upset.
Take #201 Minnesota (+4) Over Northwestern (-110)
Nick Menken
1 Unit – Take #144 Maryland (+14) over Michigan (-110) (4:00p.m, Saturday, November 22th)
We’ve got a Big Ten matchup on deck as Michigan travels to face Maryland on Saturday. Michigan is coming off a narrow escape against Northwestern at Wrigley Field, pulling out a 24–22 come-from-behind win. This team hasn’t exactly been dominant the past two weeks, and they’ve been flirting with danger. Maryland, meanwhile, is returning home after a tough trip to Illinois, where they managed only six points in a 24–6 loss. The offense has been the issue; inconsistency has plagued them all season, averaging just 340 yards per game. But defensively, this Maryland team has shown up. They’ve made timely stops, forced turnovers, and kept them competitive even when the offense stalls. And that’s important here because Michigan’s offense has not been putting teams away. They haven’t blown out anyone recently and have been fortunate to escape with wins the past two weeks. With Ohio State looming next week, the biggest rivalry game of their season every year, this is a classic lookahead spot for Michigan. Maryland can move the ball at home, and their defense is more than capable of making Michigan work for everything. This is set up as a game where Michigan plays down to the competition, especially considering their recent form. I expect this one to be closer than people think.
Take #144 Maryland (+14) over Michigan (-110)
Nick Menken
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