Good Bet/Bad Bet: Taking a Closer Look at the Memphis Grizzlies
by George Monroy - 3/19/2013
The Memphis Grizzlies are in the middle of another fantastic, yet under-the-radar season. The team is from one of the smaller NBA markets and rarely gets the national attention it deserves from the sports media, fans, and bettors. The team is currently the fourth seed in the Western Conference and only trails the Los Angeles Clippers by half a game for the third spot. The Grizzlies play great down low and present a huge mismatch in the post with their two seven-footers in Marc Gasol and Zack Randolph. Memphis also has a reliable scorer in Mike Conley and a defensive stopper in Tony Allen.
The Grizzlies have the tools to make another deep playoff run, and are a team that gamblers should think about wagering on before the season ends. Let’s take a closer look at the best way to wager on the Memphis Grizzlies in this edition of good bet, bad bet.
Good bet: Road favorite
The Grizzlies have the second best record as a road ATS favorite in the league. The team is currently 15-4 as a road favorite and is covering 79 percent of their spreads. The Grizzlies are making sports bettors $57 for every $100 bet on them this season, and they are an excellent value bet for a bettor looking for a low-risk investment. The team still has a handful of road games left in the season and maybe a few more in the playoffs.
Bad bet: Underdog
The Grizzlies have only been an underdog 20 percent of the time this season, and they have an ATS record of 7-7. The team is not horrible as an underdog, but only covering 50 percent of your spreads is still a losing proposition in the sports betting world. Overall, taking Memphis as an underdog is really just a toss-up, and there is no reason to bet them, especially when they are so good in a few other betting situations.
Good bet: “Under”
Memphis is the second best under team in the league and only trails the Washington Wizards for that distinction. The team has gone under in 38 of their 66 games this season for a 58 percent mark. The Grizzlies have been making gamblers $14 for every $100 bet on them and have stayed under their total by an average of 4.6 points per game. Taking the Grizzlies to go under will not make you a ton of money, but there is a solid chance that they will win your bet.
Bad bet: After two to three days rest
This situation seems a bit counterintuitive. The Grizzlies are one of the best ATS teams in the league, so it would make sense to assume that they would do well against the spread after a few days of rest. However, the Grizzlies only have a 4-8-1 ATS record when playing after two to three days of rest. The team is only covering 33 percent of those spreads and is currently costing gamblers $37 for every $100 bet on them. The team has only played 13 games in this situation, so there is not enough information to really classify this situation as a trend. Your best bet is to simply be aware the Memphis has trouble covering spreads after a few days off and add that thought process into your pre-wager analysis.
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Read more articles by George Monroy
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