One of the most underrated ways of wagering on a baseball game is with a runline wager, which can be an intimating bet because of the heavy juice and 1.5-run spread. The runline, however, can be an excellent way to make a profit and another tool for bettors to throw into their sports betting bag of tricks. Let's take a closer look at the best and worst run line teams through the beginning part of the 2015 MLB season and figure out which squads might continue winning and which might not.
Best Run Line Teams
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Kansas City Royals : Run line record: 27-15; 64 percent: Kansas City has been red-hot to start the 2015 season, and the team currently has the best run line record in both leagues. The defending American League champions just finished off a five-game win streak while also earning eight victories during eight their last 10 matchups The Royals are sitting on a 27-15 runline record, a 64.3 win rate and 1.7-run margin of victory. Kansas City will close out the month with five straight road games against the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs-the team hasn't been great against the run line on the road with an 11-8 record, but it still covers more often than not.
Minnesota Twins : RL record: 26-16; 61.9 percent: Minnesota has been the surprise of the AL through the first portion of the season after racking up 24-18 record. The team has been even better against the run line, where it currently sits on a 26-16 mark with a 61.9 win rate. The Twins have been a favorite in just seven matchups this season, yet they continue to win games outright or at least keep them close enough to cover the run line. Expect Minnesota to be underrated all season and keep covering games. The team will close out the month with six straight home games where it will probably be the underdog for most of them and present bettors with a ton of value.
Worst Run Line Teams
Chicago White Sox : RL record: 14-26: 35 percent: Chicago is sitting on a 19-22 straight up record but struggles to cover run line as either a favorite or underdog. The squad is a horrendous 4-15 when faced with a -1.5-point spread and 10-11 (the worst mark in the league) when faced with a +1.5-point line. In short, the White Sox are either winning by a little or losing by a lot, and that fact opens up many options for bettors to fade the team knowing that it will probably struggle against the run line. Chicago closes off the month with seven straight road games.
Seattle Mariners : RL record: 16-26: 38.1 percent: Seattle is nearly a .500 team with a 20-23 record through the first 43 games. The club's problem, for bettors at least, is that it cannot win a game by more than one run. The Mariners currently have a 7-21 record when facing a 1.5 runline and only cover those games at a 25 percent rate, which is among the worst bets in all of baseball. Seattle, on the other hand, has been solid against +1.5 runlines, and it actually has a positive 9-6 record in those situations. This group seems to be a favorite more often than it should be, so bettors might want to stay away from those -1.5-run spots but instead look for Seattle to keep games close as an underdog.
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Read more articles by George Monroy
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