NCAA Football Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
We’ve made fun of the Big 12 for their high-scoring games. The Big 12 was always known for having no defense, while the SEC was the conference where you’d get the top defenses and low-scoring games.
2020 has been different. COVID has absolutely played a role in this as teams weren’t able to prepare as much as they would’ve liked due to different protocols.
Sure, there were opt outs from many defenses throughout the offseason, and that also hasn’t helped defenses prepare. But this isn’t normal for the SEC.
Going into Week 7, Georgia is the only team in the SEC with a defense in the Top 10 nationally. Not even Alabama is sitting in the Top 10. LSU, Florida and Mississippi are three of the six worst defenses in college football right now.
That will change when other leagues like the Big Ten, MAC, and Pac-12 start playing. Again, things have gone off the rails.
They’ve gone off the rails so much that fans are calling for Florida’s defensive coordinator Todd Grantham to be fired after Texas A&M dropped 543 yards on the defense in their loss.
Meanwhile, LSU fans are showing their displeasure with Bo Pelini after two terrible showings on defense against Mississippi State and Mizzou. Those were two games that LSU had to win, and yet they lost those games coming off a National Championship.
In LSU’s defense, they’ve lost most of their roster to the NFL, but it’s still inexcusable.
Alabama allowed 48 points against Ole Miss in Week 6 and still won by 15 points. Florida has allowed 24 or more points in their first three seasons, while LSU is just getting blitzed by any team in the SEC not named Vanderbilt.
Currently, Texas A&M is allowing 6.75 yards per play, which is on pace to be the most in school history. LSU and Vanderbilt are in the 7’s when it comes to yards per play.
It’s a new era in the SEC with new offensive gurus as head coaches. But if you look at the big picture, nationally, FBS teams are averaging 30.5 points per game. This season is going to be all offense. Fire away on the over… until the number reaches 80. Then I wouldn’t advise!
Auburn at South Carolina (+3, 49): When was the last time we’ve seen Auburn as just three-point favorites against South Carolina? When we all expected Bo Nix to improve and get better, he’s kind of gotten worse. He has just four passing touchdowns in three games and just 597 yards passing. No other SEC quarterback is having trouble passing in the SEC, that I can assure you. Auburn is coming off a game where they should’ve lost to Arkansas, but there was a poor call that went against Arkansas where Bo Nix spiked the ball backwards. It was called incomplete at first and not ruled a fumble. Upon further review, the ruling was a fumble but it was said that no team had a clear recovery, although the Razorbacks recovered it… clearly. Auburn needs to regroup and as small favorites against South Carolina, they should do just that. Pick: Auburn
LSU at Florida (+13, 73): It’s an LSU/Florida game, and the over/under is sitting at 73. This is wild but clearly expected. Both defenses have been miserable this season, while both offenses seem to be clicking. Myles Brennan is showing off his arm strength, while Kyle Trask is proving to be the right decision for Florida after allowing Feleipe Franks to transfer to Arkansas. Florida has so many weapons on offense, but their defense is struggling. LSU also has plenty of weapons, but probably not “as good” weapons as Florida. They’re still getting the job done. Look at the line, LSU probably shouldn’t be a 13-point underdog. This game should be a back-and-forth game between both teams. Pick: LSU.
Georgia at Alabama (-6, 59): The game of the SEC season is here. Georgia against Alabama. In Georgia and Alabama games we are used to seeing low-scoring games. Nick Saban is not about giving up points, and Kirby Smart doesn’t like shootouts either. Yet, how can you argue against a high amount of points in this game? We know what’s at stake here. The SEC and the Playoff are just a couple things at stake in this game. You’d have to imagine more defense will be played. Georgia is averaging just 12.3 points allowed per game, while Alabama is scoring 51 points per game. Georgia will get their points against Alabama, but I’m not quite sure Alabama gets their points on Georgia. Pick: Georgia.
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