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NCAA Football Predictions: Week 10 Report, Best Bets and Picks

by Christopher Delgado - 11/1/2022

NCAA football predictions Week 10 opening line report Kedon Slovis

Let’s start by giving a small recap on our picks from last week. We had an even split as TCU and Ole Miss covered. Sadly, South Carolina and USC couldn’t get the job done. It was embarrassing for South Carolina, as Missouri had their way with them on the field. Not only did they fail to cover, but they were upset by 13 points. College Football can be so unpredictable sometimes, and that was one of those moments.

This week we have some underdog picks that have some insane value. I would pay close attention to the market as we could potentially catch even better lines throughout the week. I’m taking all these games as of today but will take them again later on in the week if a better position presents itself. Let’s take a look:

Doc’s Sports offers college football picks for every game on our college football predictions page.

Game 1: Syracuse vs Pittsburgh

Opening Line: Pittsburgh -3.5 O/U 50.5

Both of these programs have been struggling as of late. Pitt has lost three of its last four, while Syracuse has lost back-to-back games. Syracuse, however, played Notre Dame and Clemson, who are two tough matchups. Pitt has underperformed with Kedon Slovis at quarterback. Slovis holds a 69.7 passer rating. This is going to be a tough matchup for him, as Syracuse has one of the best secondaries in the ACC. Syracuse allows just over 6 yards per passing attempt, which is amongst one of the best in the country. If this turns into a passing game script, Pitt will be in trouble. We are taking Syracuse here to cover as the underdog as we are getting just over a field goal.

Pick: Syracuse +3.5

Game 2: New Mexico vs Utah State

Opening Line: Utah State -16.5 O/U 43.5

New Mexico is in a good spot here to cover this large spread. Yes, this team isn’t very good, and they have a weak passing game. One thing that New Mexico is good at is running the ball. This is too large of a spread for this game. New Mexico doesn’t give up a huge amount of points on defense. They have only been crushed by high-level power schools. Expect this game to have a slow pace as the oddsmakers have placed the over at 43.5. There won’t be a lot of offense in this game. Therefore, if New Mexico can put up 10-14 points, this will be a smooth cover. They have allowed more than 31 points only twice this season. Look for them to cover this large spread by just playing mediocre offense as Utah State allows 19.1 points per game.

Pick: New Mexico +16.5

Game 3: Kentucky vs Missouri

Opening Line: Kentucky -2.5 O/U 44.5

This is going to be an exciting conference matchup. Both teams hold a 2-3 record in the SEC. I really like Kentucky here, as they are in the perfect bounce-back spot after losing three of their last four games. They faced a really good Tennessee team last week that most likely knocked them out of the conference championship game. This matchup will determine who will hold the second seed in the SEC East. This is important just in case Tennessee has a complete falloff and goes into a slump. It makes sense to back Kentucky in this game because they are truly the better team. They have gotten into unlucky situations that could’ve been season-changing if the outcome was flipped. They have a better offense and a way better red-zone efficiency rating. All the signs here point to Kentucky. The Public agrees as they have received 95% of the money and 65% of the bets.

Pick: Kentucky -2.5

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