Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

Hot and Cold NBA Betting Teams ATS and Over Under 3/28/2024

by Spencer Toth - 3/28/2024

NBA hot and cold betting teams ATS and Over Under Kawhi Leonard LA Clippers

There are just 10 games left in the regular season, as the playoff hopefuls look to burst into the postseason with momentum behind them. Over the past few weeks, some teams have consistently covered the spread, while others have been falling short. Here are the hottest and coldest teams ATS, with the highest and lowest scorers.

Doc’s Sports offers NBA picks for every game on our NBA predictions page.

The Hot:

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have been unable to bring Luka Doncic any postseason success, but the hot streak they are on entering the final weeks of the season is a promising sign of what’s to come. They’ve gone 9-1 straight up in their last 10 games, while going 9-1 ATS in the process. They’ve held their opponents to 110 or fewer points in eight of those 10 games, as their solid effort on both ends of the court has led to temporary safety outside the play-in tournament positions. Their defensive work has led to five straight wins, with five straight Unders. And even if Doncic and Kyrie Irving are not dropping 40+ points, the Mavericks will not be bothered as long as the wins keep coming. They only have one game left against a team in the top 6 in either conference, and they will be confident that they can keep this hot streak going right into the playoffs.

Houston Rockets

The Houston Rockets have won 10 straight games, going 9-1 ATS in the process. Just a few weeks ago, meaningful late season basketball felt like little more than a pipe dream for the Rockets. However, they are now just one game back of the Golden State Warriors for the final play-in tournament position, and that dream has become a reality. A young Rockets team were double-digit favorites against the Trail Blazers, Wizards, and Jazz, easily winning and covering in all three of those matchups. Their young nature ensures they refuse to take their foot off the gas down the stretch, and there is no shortage of belief that the Rockets can keep their momentum all the way to tangible success.

The Cold:
Toronto Raptors

The Raptors have lost 11 straight games and have just two covers in that span to show for it. The Raptors were always going to be longshots to make the playoffs. However, after shipping away their stars, and seeing the rest of their team get injured, it’s no surprise to see them more concerned with the draft lottery than winning games. A starting lineup with Gary Trent Jr, Gradey Dick, and Kelly Olynyk as the best players will never be competitive in the NBA, and it’s no surprise to see them plummeting down the standings. Despite this, they’ve only been 12+ point underdogs in three of their last 10, despite consistently falling short on the offensive end. Against a competent team, the Raptors should not be touched unless the spread is in the high teens.

LA Clippers

The Clippers have been ice cold heading into the postseason. Their 2-8 ATS record is the league worst over the last 10 games, and they only have a marginally better 4-6 straight up record over that span. Their four superstars have not been able to consistently pull the team away from inferior opposition, and the Clippers have found themselves in far more tight games than they’d have hoped. To be fair, they’ve had a difficult schedule in recent weeks, but that doesn’t excuse a lack of effort on the defensive end and a sense of complacency against low tier teams. The Clippers have the skill to win. However, until they start ruthlessly piling on the points, they will not be a safe option with large spreads in their favor.

High Scorers:

LA Lakers

The Lakers have been consistently hitting Overs in the last couple weeks, going 8-2 to the Over. Their consistency of the offensive end has allowed them to go 7-3 in that span, and they are suddenly knocking on the door of a top 8 seed in the West. They haven’t seen a total close Under 225 points since December, but the Lakers keep pushing the pace and finding ways to consistently cash the Over. Whether or not LeBron James and Anthony Davis can stay hot down the stretch will go a long way in determining the Lakers trajectory, but it doesn’t appear as though this Over streak will be ending anytime soon. As long as the Lakers keep getting totals in the 230 range, their elite offense will ensure the Overs keep cashing.

LA Clippers 

The Clippers have been dropping games, but it hasn’t been for a lack of offense. They’ve won just 4 of their last 10 games, and it’s no coincidence that the Over has cashed in 8 of their last 10 in that span. They have been getting consistently hit with sub 220 totals yet have been sailing over that mark all season long. What was once a competent defense is now a bottom half unit. And if they can’t get stops on the defensive end, it won’t really matter what their perennial All-Stars do on offense. The Clippers are getting cold at the worst possible time. And with just 10 games to go in the regular season, time is running out to right the ship. A unified defensive overhaul is needed for LA. And until that happens, or the bookies start adjusting the totals accordingly, the Overs will not be slowing down.

Low Scorers:

Sacramento Kings

The Kings have hit the Under in 9 of their last 10 games and have a 6-4 record to show for it. Their defense has been able to stifle teams down the stretch, which will be very promising for the franchise, who were bounced last season after poor defense cost them in the playoffs. Sacramento’s offensive reputation has seen them keep their high totals despite their defensive revitalization, allowing the Under to keep cashing. Unlike others in this column, this isn’t a trend I expect to continue. The Kings have been falling just short of the totals and have been unusually cold on the offensive end. With several high scorers on the horizon, the Kings will be back to cashing Overs in no time.

Miami Heat 

The Heat have been successful thanks to their defensive presence in recent seasons, and that shows no signs of slowing down. Miami will need to be elite on the defensive end to compete with the league’s best, and they’re hitting their stride late in the season, cashing eight Unders in the last 10 games. While they’d like to have more than four wins in that span to show for it, offensive injuries to players like Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson have significantly hindered their offense. They haven’t seen a total higher than 220 in their last eight games, yet their slow pace of play ensures they keep staying Under. The Heat will need to be evaluated on a game-by-game basis. However, any time they have an even average total, the Under is usually a good look.

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NBA Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers