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Hot and Cold NBA Betting Teams ATS and Over Under 11/25/2025

by Spencer Toth - 11/25/2025

NBA hot and cold ATS and over under Anthony Edwards Minnesota Timberwolves

The first month of the NBA season is now behind us, and the standings have begun to take shape as teams begin to pull away and fall behind. While there have certainly been some surprises, some teams have turned things around in the last two weeks. Monitoring against the spread trends, as well as consistently high and low scoring teams, can be a great way to profit in the NBA. Here are the highest and lowest scorers, in addition to the hottest and coldest teams against the spread in the last two weeks. 

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The Hot:

Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns were expected to struggle this season after losing Kevin Durant, but they have been red-hot in the last two weeks. They have gone 8-2 straight up and against the spread in their last ten games, surging up to 6th in the West after their 3-5 start. They won outright as an underdog in three of those victories, while all their wins in the favorite role came by at least nine points. Devin Booker has led the way in Durant’s absence, and he has yet to miss a game this season, which has been crucial to the Suns sustained success. While Phoenix may not have the strongest roster, injuries are on the rise, and the best ability is availability. Booker has been exceptional in all aspects of the offensive game, and his ability to keep this team not only competitive but also collecting wins and covers has been remarkable. The Suns will continue this hot streak against injured teams as they flex their depth on a nightly basis. A home game against the Pelicans was the Suns’ largest spread of the season, but a -8.5 spread is still nothing crazy. As long as the Suns keep getting favorable numbers, they will be lining the pockets of sports bettors. 

Detroit Pistons

There isn’t a hotter team in the league right now. Detroit has won 13 straight games to sit on top of the Eastern Conference after starting the year 0-2. Not only are they winning, but the Pistons have also covered the spread in 11 of those 13 wins. They have closed as the favorite in 11 of the last 12, with four of those spreads coming in at double digits. However, the Pistons' offense refuses to relent, and this team has shown it is capable of beating anyone on any given night. Cade Cunningham’s continued development has taken center stage, as he leads the team in PPG (27.1) and assists (9.6) by a wide margin. Jalen Duren has been excellent on the inside, and there is no reason to expect this trend to change anytime soon. Nagging injuries have prevented the Pistons' spreads from becoming truly inflated, and the oddsmakers will undoubtedly be trying to judge whether or not this team is a real contender. 

The Cold:
Milwaukee Bucks 

The Bucks started the season strong, winning and covering in four of their first five contests. However, things have fallen off a cliff in Milwaukee, as they have gone 2-11 against the spread since, and have won just four games in that span. Losing Giannis Antetokounmpo to injury certainly plays a role, but the oddsmakers' unwillingness to put the Bucks in the underdog role has been surprising. Milwaukee is also without Taurean Prince and Kevin Porter Jr. due to injury, and it is not as if their bench is bursting with young talent ready to break out. The Bucks continue to prove they are a one-man team around Antetokounmpo, and when the Greek Freak doesn’t play, they are a below-average team. Antetokounmpo is still out for at least one more week, making the Bucks an instant fade in the favorite role. 

Cleveland Cavaliers 

The Cleveland Cavaliers came into the season as odds-on favorites to win the Eastern Conference, and they are still dealing with those high expectations. Despite missing key players such as Darius Garland and Max Strus from their lineup, the Cavaliers keep finding themselves in the favorite role. They have gone 3-7 against the spread in their last ten games, despite going a respectable 6-4 in that span. They have been a favorite or a 1.5 point underdog in nine of those ten games, with six of those contests featuring a 7.5 point or greater spread in their favor. Donovan Mitchell has proven he can lead an offense, but an ever-changing starting five hasn’t been reflected in their recent spreads. A full-strength Cleveland is a team to fear, but the shorthanded version of the Cavaliers will continue to be a fade with inflated spreads. 

High Scorers:

Utah Jazz

The Utah Jazz have been consistently cashing overs in the last two weeks, going 7-3 on the total. However, that hasn’t been due to an explosive offense, but rather consistently falling short on the defensive end of the floor. The Jazz are 3-7 straight up in that span, with several ugly losses. They have allowed at least 120 points in 8 of their last 9 games, with 140+ points allowed in three of those contests. Utah’s inability to defend has led to consistent overs, even though the closing total has been 233 points or more in each of their 14 games. Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George are the only two scorers with more than 10 PPG this season, and it is truly remarkable that this team is still putting up triple digits on a nightly basis. The totals keep flying up for Utah, but this could be the chance we need to start taking the under. While their defense won’t be getting much better, the Jazz’s hot shooting from behind the arc will not continue. When the Jazz stop contributing on offense, even 120 points allowed won’t be enough to cash their lofty totals. 

Orlando Magic

The Magic have been one of the most defensive teams in the league over the last few seasons, but things are changing in Orlando. A young crop of scorers has allowed the Magic to change their identity, and they are suddenly an electric offense with a mediocre defense. Totals in the 220s certainly have contributed to them cashing 7 of the last 10 Overs, but the Magic’s inflated scoring is also a contributing factor. Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are a lethal duo, and adding in Desmond Bane has turned them into a legitimate threat in the East. The Magic’s defensive identity has been sticky for oddsmakers and bettors alike, but this team has been one of the most consistent Overs in the league. 

Low Scorers:
Sacramento Kings

The Kings are ready to blow up their team, and who can blame them? They have gone 2-8 in their last ten games, and have gone 3-7 to the total in that span. Their offense has completely evaporated, as the Kings continue to fall well short of expectations. Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan are having the worst year of their respective careers, and things only got worse when Domantas Sabonis was ruled out due to injury. While the Kings' suspect defense has kept the totals high, it is hard to justify consistent 230-240 point totals for this team. The lowest closing total of the last ten games for Sacramento was 229.5 points, with nearly half of those games closing at 240+. This team simply isn’t scoring; they aren’t generating second-chance points without Sabonis, and constant trade talk can’t be good for the team chemistry. The Kings have been an under machine in recent weeks, and as long as their totals keep staying above 230 points, there is no reason to expect this trend to change anytime soon. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have always been known for their defensive presence, and they are looking like their old selves in recent weeks. The Timberwolves have stayed under the total in seven of the last ten games, and have secured a respectable 6-4 record in that span. In fact, they have gone under the total in seven straight games, but the oddsmakers refuse to relent. The Timberwolves' totals have stayed at or above 231 points in that seven-game under streak, while the Timberwolves consistently find a way to clamp down on their opponents. Rudy Gobert is still one of the best defenders in the league, and a brief absence for Anthony Edwards shook up their offense on the other end of the court. While the under streak has been good for bettors, this isn’t one we can bank on continuing. The Timberwolves combined for 229 or more points in five of their last seven games, and have only finished a basket or two under the total. That margin of success isn’t wide enough where we can expect it to keep falling on one side of the line, and it may actually be time to jump ship and get on the over train in Minnesota. 

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