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2025-26 Phoenix Suns Predictions and Odds to Win NBA Finals

by Spencer Toth - 10/10/2025

Phoenix Suns predictions Devin Booker

The Phoenix Suns hit the reset button this offseason as they look to start fresh with a new core of young players. Trading away a superstar like Kevin Durant is not an easy decision, but the Suns got an offer they couldn’t refuse for their disgruntled superstar. The immediate future for Phoenix is looking bleak, but a strong showing this year could vault them back into contention the following season. Do the Suns still have enough talent to contend in the West, or will they be watching the draft lottery over playoff scenarios at the season’s end?

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Phoenix Suns Offseason Recap

The Suns had a very busy offseason, and it all started with their league-altering Kevin Durant trade. Durant was the primary piece in a seven-team deal in July, as he now calls Houston home. The Suns losing their leading scorer and future Hall of Famer will always be a tough pill to swallow, but they can take joy from their heaping return of assets. Jalen Green is a great piece to build around in Phoenix, as the 23-year-old is looking like a future superstar. Green has been steadily improving over his three-year NBA career and has developed his game into more than just a pure scoring machine. He is distributing the basketball more and playing better defense, and another season of growth in Phoenix could develop him even further. 

The Rockets also acquired Dillon Brooks and a trio of 2025 draft picks, including the 10th overall selection. Brooks is a great leader for this rapidly changing roster, and his backcourt partnership with Devin Booker will decide how the season goes in Phoenix. The Suns used their incoming 10th overall pick to select Khaman Maluach out of Duke. Maluach is a strong rim protector on defense and has the mobility to keep opponents guessing on the other end of the court. He will be hard-pressed for playing time at center, but is more of a long-term project for the Suns rather than a draft pick that will slot straight into the starting lineup. 

The Suns weren’t done there, as they also scooped up Mark Williams from the Hornets for a pair of late first-round picks. Williams was a target of the Lakers at the trade deadline last year, but the deal fell through after a failed physical. Williams has been steadily improving in all areas of his game since joining the league. He scored 15.3 PPG with 10.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists last season, all of which were career highs. His paint presence in Phoenix will give the Suns the stability they have been looking for since moving on from DeAndre Ayton a few seasons ago. 

The Suns also decided to part ways with Bradley Beal. The departure of Beal truly signifies the end of an era in Phoenix. The trio of Booker-Durant-Beal was expected to challenge for championships, but never made it past the second round. Beal was a big contract the Suns were happy to get rid of, and his departure allowed the Suns to be so active in the offseason. 

Phoenix Suns Season Expectations

The expectations are low in Phoenix after finishing 36-46 last season and losing Kevin Durant. Devin Booker is still an elite superstar capable of generating his own offense, but a playoff spot in the competitive Western Conference feels like too much to ask. The Suns have been one of the oldest teams in the league over the last few years, so their new youth is a refreshing new look for the fanbase and front office alike. 

If this team is going to stay relevant in the second half of the season, Booker will need to be at his best. His 25.6 PPG on 46.1% from the floor and 33.2% from deep were all his lowest totals in the last 4-5 seasons. Booker started to turn into a playmaker with a career-high 7.1 assists, but abandoned that strategy later in the season. If Booker can share the rock with his new teammates without forcing up shots himself, the Suns could have an effective offensive unit heading into the new year. 

Phoenix Suns Schedule Breakdown

There aren’t many easy matchups in the West this season, and the Suns find that out early with a trio of games against the Kings, Clippers, and Nuggets to kick off the season. One highlight will be Durant’s return to Phoenix, and the fans don’t have to wait long as the Rockets visit Phoenix on November 24th. The Suns will be spending the holidays away from home with a four-game road trip to close out 2026 that kicks off a stretch of 12 of their next 16 away from home. Finally, if the Suns are miraculously in playoff contention in the final weeks of the season, getting over the line will be incredibly difficult. Phoenix has a six-game road trip, a four-game road trip, and a pair of road games against the Lakers and Thunder in the final month of the regular season. 

Phoenix Suns Odds

The Suns are expected to be one of the worst teams in the NBA with a win total of just 31.5 this season. They have eclipsed that mark in six straight years, but it is understandable to expect a steep dropoff in form after their offseason. Regarding the playoffs, the Suns have +330 odds to qualify for the play-in tournament, and +640 odds to turn that into a playoff berth. Stranger things have happened, but the oddsmakers are quite confident the Suns will be struggling this season. They have +2900 odds to finish last in the Western Conference, and +225 odds to finish in the bottom two. 

 

It doesn’t get any easier in the NBA Cup either, as Phoenix is in a group with the Thunder, Timberwolves, Kings, and Jazz. They have +1200 odds to top the group and +10000 odds to win the NBA Cup. 

2025-26 Phoenix Suns Season Predictions and Best Bets

This is going to be a miserable season for the Suns. It is difficult to go from an underperforming championship-caliber team to a lottery participant overnight. Losing Kevin Durant is a massive blow, and the Suns simply don’t have the proven star talent to compete in the West. The first bet we will be making is under 31.5 wins at -110 odds. This total is too high for a team that will be incentivized to lose games in the second half of the season. Phoenix lacks the playmakers outside of Booker to succeed, and an incredibly shallow bench will hurt them even more. While the -110 odds are good, it is always better to hunt for a plus-money price when tying up your bankroll for an entire season. While the Jazz will probably finish last in the West, the Suns are a great candidate to finish in the bottom two at +225 odds. The Pelicans are the Suns' biggest threat for the 14th seed, but they have gotten better in the offseason, while the Suns have gotten worse. The wins will be few and far between for Phoenix, and this is the best way to get better odds, considering alternative unders are often not available. 

Pick: Phoenix Suns Under 31.5 Wins -110

Top Pick: Phoenix Suns to Finish in the Bottom Two in the Western Conference +225

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