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2026 Drake Maye Super Bowl Props Odds with Expert Betting Predictions

by Joey House - 1/31/2026

Drake Maye Super Bowl props predictions

In a season that has reshaped the identity of the New England Patriots, second-year quarterback Drake Maye has become the driving force behind one of the NFL's most dramatic turnarounds. Drafted third overall in 2024 out of North Carolina, he endured a turbulent rookie season before erupting in 2025 with a breakout campaign that pushed New England to a 14–3 record, an AFC East title, and a trip to Super Bowl LX against the Seattle Seahawks. His regular-season production was elite across every major category. He completed 354 of 492 passes for a league-best 72 percent, threw for 4,394 yards with 31 touchdowns and only eight interceptions, and added 450 rushing yards and four scores. Those numbers earned him the NFL's top passer rating at 113.5, a Pro Bowl selection, and recognition as one of the league's fastest rising stars.

Maye's development under head coach Mike Vrabel and the offensive staff has been striking. He evolved into a high-efficiency, dual-threat quarterback capable of winning from the pocket or on the move. In the postseason, he navigated difficult matchups against the Chargers, Texans, and Broncos, leaning more on his legs in weather-affected games and pressure situations. Now he faces a Seattle defense known for its pass rush, discipline, and ability to contain mobile quarterbacks. With the Patriots entering as underdogs at Levi's Stadium on February 8, prop bets tied to Maye offer compelling angles. Below is a breakdown of the key markets and how his profile fits each one.

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Passing Yards: Over/Under 221.5

Maye averaged 258.5 passing yards per game during the regular season, clearing this number in most of his outings. His playoff yardage dipped into the 177–180 range due to weather and defensive strength, but the controlled environment of the Super Bowl removes those factors. Seattle's defense often forces shorter throws but allows volume, primarily because its opponents often trail. With Maye's accuracy and quick release, he should accumulate steady yardage through checkdowns, crossers, and intermediate routes to targets like DeMario Douglas and Hunter Henry. Many projections place him near the 220–227 range, but a pass-leaning script gives him a path to exceed that.

Pick: Over 221.5 yards (-112)

Rushing Yards: Over/Under 37.5

Maye averaged 26.5 rushing yards per game in the regular season and saw spikes in the playoffs through scrambles and designed runs. This matchup, however, tilts against him on the ground. Seattle ranks among the league's best at containing mobile quarterbacks, using disciplined linebackers and spy looks to close escape lanes. Maye has taken heavy pressure on top defenses, averaging 5 sacks per playoff game, often forcing quicker decisions rather than extended scrambles. With Rhamondre Stevenson expected to handle the bulk of the rushing workload, Maye's legs may be less of a focal point.

Pick: Under 38.5 yards (-115)

Passing Touchdowns: Over/Under 1.5

Maye threw 31 touchdowns in the regular season and frequently delivered multi-touchdown games in favorable matchups. He distributes the ball well in the red zone, where his timing and efficiency stand out. Seattle's defense can be vulnerable inside the 20, and if New England plays from behind, Maye will be forced to push the ball aggressively. His ability to improvise under pressure creates additional scoring chances, and a higher volume passing script increases the likelihood of multiple touchdown throws. Pick: Over 1.5 TD passes (+115)

Completions: Over/Under 20.5

Seattle's defensive structure often funnels offenses into shorter throws, limiting explosive plays but increasing completion totals. Maye surpassed 20 completions in many regular-season games thanks to his accuracy and rhythm-based approach. As an underdog, New England may rely on quick passing to sustain drives and neutralize Seattle's pass rush. If the Patriots are forced into a higher-tempo, pass-heavy script, Maye should have ample opportunities to reach the low 20s in completions.

Pick: Over 20.5 completions (-105)

Interceptions: Over/Under 0.5

Maye's ball security improved dramatically in 2025. His interception rate dropped, and he showed poise in high-pressure situations throughout the season and into the playoffs. Seattle generates turnovers primarily through pressure rather than baiting quarterbacks into mistakes, and Maye's quick release helps reduce risk. Projections lean toward a clean game from him, especially if New England leans on shorter, timing-based throws.

Pick: Under 0.5 Interceptions (+110)

As Super Bowl LX approaches, Drake Maye has a chance to cement his rapid ascent with a defining performance on the sport's biggest stage. His blend of arm talent, mobility, and year-over-year growth has already transformed the Patriots' offense and revived the franchise's trajectory. With New England entering as an underdog, these prop markets highlight where Maye can thrive and where Seattle may challenge him. Bettors should monitor injury updates and line movement, but Maye's upside and usage make him one of the most compelling players to analyze heading into the championship.

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