Docs Website

54 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

Expert Super Bowl Props Predictions Involving New England Patriots Run Game

by Joey House - 2/2/2026

Expert Super Bowl props predictions New England running game Rhamondre Stevenson

The New England Patriots' rushing attack became a true backbone of their surprising 2025 run, powering a 14-3 season, an AFC East title, and a trip to Super Bowl LX against the Seattle Seahawks. Ranked sixth in the league at 128.9 rushing yards per game with a 4.4-yard team average, the ground game thrived on a disciplined committee approach that kept defenses guessing and protected Drake Maye for high-leverage moments. TreVeyon Henderson set the tone with 911 yards on 180 carries at 5.1 per rush and nine touchdowns, flashing the perimeter speed that produced multiple 50-yard breakaways. Rhamondre Stevenson supplied the bruising complement, adding 603 yards on 130 attempts at 4.6 per carry and seven scores while serving as a reliable outlet in the passing game. Maye's mobility added another layer, contributing 450 yards and four touchdowns on 103 attempts through scrambles, designed keepers, and timely third-down conversions that froze linebackers. Antonio Gibson rounded out the rotation with short-yardage strength and change-of-pace juice, allowing New England to stay fresh and balanced without overloading any single runner.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

The formula held in the postseason, where the Patriots averaged about 98 rushing yards per win against the Chargers, Texans, and Broncos, leaning on ball security and tempo control in tight, often weather-affected matchups. Josh McDaniels mixed inside zone, counters, traps, stretch runs, and misdirection to manufacture creases, frequently using Maye's movement to manipulate second-level defenders and open cutback lanes. That ground threat also fueled a productive play-action game. Now they face Seattle's elite run defense, which ranked third in yards allowed at 91.9 per game, held opponents to 3.7 yards per carry, and gave up the fewest runs of 20 yards or more. The Seahawks' front seven is disciplined, fast, and rarely out of position, so New England must be precise. Even so, the Patriots' depth, physicality, and ability to vary tempo could wear down Seattle if they sustain drives into the late stages of games. As +4.5 underdogs at Levi's Stadium on February 8, 2026, their ability to run the ball will determine whether they control possession, limit Seattle's offensive opportunities, and keep the game within reach. Early forecasts call for mild mid-60s temperatures with a slight chance of light rain, conditions that may affect footing on the natural grass but should not force major adjustments. With that context, several rushing-related props offer intriguing value.

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards: Over/Under 49.5 yards (-112)

Stevenson has been the dependable grinder, averaging solid yardage in starts and shining in short-yardage situations with his ability to break tackles. His playoff carries stayed steady despite stacked boxes, and Seattle has given physical backs moderate production when drives continue. His vision on counters and skills as a receiver can pull linebackers and open space.

Pick: Over 49.5 yards (-112)

TreVeyon Henderson Rushing Yards: Over (-108)/Under (-118) 18.5 yards

Henderson's speed and big-play ability (5.1 yards per carry, multiple long runs) create home-run potential. Seattle does an excellent job of containing explosive plays, but TreVeyon's quickness can take advantage of edges on stretch plays or misdirection. As the change-of-pace option, he should receive 8 to 13 touches, giving him ample opportunity to cash this over.

Pick: Over 18.5 yards (-108)

Drake Maye Rushing Yards: Over/Under 37.5 yards (-112)

Maye has been a consistent dual-threat contributor, averaging about 26.5 rushing yards per regular-season game with spikes in the playoffs (including 65 yards vs. Broncos) through scrambles and designed runs. Seattle ranks highly in containing mobile quarterbacks with disciplined linebackers and spy looks that close escape lanes. Maye has faced heavy pressure against top defenses (averaging 5 sacks per playoff game), which often forces quicker decisions rather than extended runs. With Stevenson handling the bulk of designed carries, Maye's rushes may be limited to escapes or read-options, but his recent playoff usage pushes him toward this line in competitive spots.

Pick: Over 37.5 yards (-112)

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Attempts: Over (-108)/Under (-118) 14.5 carries

Stevenson has seen his carry count rise in games where New England controls possession or needs to grind out yards. He averaged around 9-10 carries in some regular-season spots but pushed higher in recent weeks and playoffs as the lead back. As underdogs, the Patriots are likely to lean on him early to establish balance and limit Seattle's explosive offense. His durability makes him the primary ball carrier, and if the game stays close, coaches could feed him 15+ times to chew clock.

Pick: Over 14.5 attempts (-108)

TreVeyon Henderson Rushing+Receiving Yards: Over/Under 26.5 (-113)

Henderson's explosive profile extends beyond rushes, with receiving work adding value in screens or checkdowns. Seattle limits big plays but allows backs to gain yardage in space. As a change-of-pace back with speed, he could see 8-10 total touches (rushes plus catches), and projections favor him clearing this combined line if New England uses him for mismatches or to exploit edges.

Pick: Over 26.5 rush+rec yards (-113)

Drake Maye Longest Rush: Over (-125)/Under (-105) 13.5 yards

Maye's mobility has produced several runs of 15+ yards this season and in the playoffs, often on scrambles or designed keepers. Seattle's spies and pursuit can limit him, but his athleticism creates opportunities for one solid gain if pressure forces him out of the pocket or a read-option opens up. In high-pressure games, he has cleared similar lines multiple times.

Pick: Over 13.5 yards (-125)

Rhamondre Stevenson Longest Rush: Over (-125)/Under (-105) 11.5 yards

Stevenson has the power to break one tackle and turn short gains into moderate chunk plays, with several 12+ yard runs in recent games. Seattle's containment is stout, but his vision and burst on counters could produce at least one solid carry if the line creates a crease. Projections lean toward him hitting this in a physical matchup.

Pick: Over 11.5 yards (-125)

As Super Bowl LX approaches, the Patriots' rushing attack remains their best chance of controlling the game against Seattle's elite defense. Henderson's explosiveness, Stevenson's toughness, Maye's mobility, and a well‑designed scheme can force adjustments and create openings across the offense. These prop markets highlight where the ground game can generate sustained success or where it may meet resistance against one of the league's best fronts. Bettors should monitor Stevenson's ankle and any late line movement, but this balanced rushing unit is central to New England's blueprint for a championship run.

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent Super Bowl Betting

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers