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2026 Stefon Diggs Super Bowl Props Odds with Expert Betting Predictions

by Joey House - 2/4/2026

Stefon Diggs Super Bowl props predictions

Stefon Diggs has delivered a strong veteran campaign for the New England Patriots in 2025, helping drive their 14-3 finish, AFC East title, and Super Bowl LX berth against the Seattle Seahawks. Signed as a free agent from Houston on a three-year deal in March 2025, the 32-year-old wide receiver started all 17 regular-season games and finished with 85 receptions on 102 targets for 1,013 yards (11.9 per catch) and 4 touchdowns. He ranked in the top 20 among wideouts in receptions and receiving yards, serving as a reliable chain-mover for second-year quarterback Drake Maye. Diggs' precise route-running, 83.3 percent catch rate, and ability to win contested balls on third downs made him a dependable option in Josh McDaniels' system. His yards-after-catch production (4.9 per reception) added steady value, and he elevated New England's passing game while sharing opportunities with younger targets like DeMario Douglas and Kayshon Boutte. The performance earned him his seventh career 1,000-yard season.

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In the playoffs, Diggs production dropped in difficult matchups with poor weather, posting 11 receptions for 73 yards and 1 touchdown across three games, including 5 catches for 17 yards in the AFC Championship win over Denver. He averaged 6.6 yards per catch in the postseason, often serving as a safety valve against pressure while drawing coverage that opened space for teammates. His experience showed in route adjustments and leadership during key drives. Now facing Seattle's elite secondary at open-air Levi's Stadium on February 8, 2026, as +4.5 underdogs with a total around 45.5, Diggs enters a challenging but manageable matchup. The Seahawks led the NFL in pass DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) with physical corners like Devon Witherspoon, but they have allowed veteran route-runners to produce respectable numbers. Mild mid-60s temperatures with a low chance of rain should suit Diggs' sharp cuts on natural grass. With New England likely needing sustained drives or playing from behind, Diggs' props carry value.

Receiving Yards: Over/Under 43.5

Diggs averaged 59.6 receiving yards per game in the regular season but often posted more modest totals against top-tier secondaries, typically in the 40-to-60-yard range when defenses limited his deep shots and YAC. In the playoffs, he averaged around 24 yards per game in tougher matchups, though he continued to convert key downs. Seattle excels at contesting routes and capping explosive plays, frequently forcing shorter underneath work. As +4.5 underdogs, New England may need to throw to stay competitive, but Seattle's man coverage and pursuit could restrict Diggs' ceiling.

Pick: Over 43.5 yards (-115)

Receptions: Over/Under 4.5

Diggs averaged 5 catches per game in the regular season and consistently hit 5 or more when Maye leaned on him on quick routes and third downs. In the playoffs, he averaged 3.67 receptions against elite fronts but still provided reliable hands. Seattle allows about 5.2 catches per game to primary receivers, but tightens up in man coverage against veterans. If New England needs to extend drives or chase points, short and intermediate throws should push his volume above this line.

Pick: Over 4.5 receptions (-120)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Diggs scored 4 touchdowns in the regular season and added 1 more in the playoffs, showing solid red-zone efficiency with sharp stems and back-shoulder timing. Seattle allows receiver scores at a moderate rate but can be beaten by precise route-runners in tight coverage. As underdogs likely to generate red-zone chances, Maye may look to Diggs rather than settle for field goals.

Pick: Yes-Anytime TD Scorer (+260)

Most Receptions

Diggs led the Patriots in targets in 12 of 16 regular-season starts and finished with a team-high 85 receptions. He recorded the most catches in 9 games and remained Maye's most trusted option on third downs, quick-game concepts, and red-zone looks. He tied or led the team in receptions in two of three playoff games. Seattle's secondary limits high-volume outings, but opposing WR1s have still led their teams in catches when offenses rely on underneath throws to sustain drives. As +4.5 underdogs likely needing to throw often, Diggs is well-positioned to outpace Douglas and Boutte in raw receptions.

Pick: Stefon Diggs Most Receptions (+400)

As Super Bowl LX approaches, Diggs has a chance to add a signature moment to his decorated career. His route savvy and chemistry with Maye give New England a dependable option against Seattle's physical secondary. With the Patriots entering as underdogs, these props highlight where Diggs can deliver meaningful production in a high-stakes matchup.

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