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2026 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl Props Odds with Expert Betting Predictions

by Joey House - 2/4/2026

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl props predictions

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has emerged as a dynamic playmaker for the Seattle Seahawks in 2025, evolving from a promising rookie into a cornerstone of their passing attack during a 14-3 season that secured the NFC West and the top seed. The 23-year-old wide receiver, drafted 20th overall out of Ohio State in 2023, overcame early injuries to post career highs across the board. He started all 17 regular-season games, recording 119 receptions for 1,793 yards (15.1 per catch) and 10 touchdowns, placing him in the top 15 in both yards and receptions league-wide. JSN's route-running precision and yards-after-catch ability made him an ideal fit in Klint Kubiak's motion-heavy scheme, where he lined up in the slot on 65 percent of snaps to exploit mismatches. His chemistry with quarterback Sam Darnold showed up in explosive plays, including three receptions of 50 yards or more, and he added value on jet sweeps with 85 rushing yards on 12 carries. The production earned him his first Pro Bowl selection and helped Seattle finish with a top-8 passing offense alongside Cooper Kupp and DK Metcalf.

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In the playoffs, JSN maintained his momentum, posting 13 catches for 172 yards and 2 touchdowns across two wins. That included a 153-yard, 1-TD performance in the NFC Championship against the Rams, where he repeatedly found soft spots in zone coverage. He averaged 13.2 yards per reception in the postseason and consistently moved the chains on third downs with slants, digs, and screens designed to counter blitz pressure. Now, as Seattle prepares for Super Bowl LX against the New England Patriots at open-air Levi's Stadium on February 8, 2026, as 4.5-point favorites with a total around 45.5, JSN's matchup becomes a focal point. The Patriots' secondary ranks in the top 12 in pass DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) and features strong man coverage from their defensive backs. Still, they have allowed slot receivers moderate production, averaging 6.2 catches for 72 yards per game. Early forecasts call for mid-60s temperatures with a slight chance of light rain, conditions that could slick the natural grass but still favor JSN's quick-cut ability if footing remains stable. With Seattle likely to attack mismatches and maintain tempo, JSN's prop market offers substantial value.

Receiving Yards: Over (-115)/Under 94.5 (-110)

JSN averaged 105.5 receiving yards per game in the regular season and regularly pushed over 100 yards when his target volume climbed, eclipsing the century mark in 9 regular season games and in the NFC Championship. In the playoffs, he jumped to 86 yards per game, consistently winning on crossers and intermediate routes. New England's top-12 pass defense limits explosives but has still allowed slot receivers to clear 90 yards in several matchups, especially against quick separators who thrive underneath. As 4.5‑point favorites, Seattle should sustain drives and feed JSN 8 to 10 targets, leaning on his route precision and YAC ability. With mild conditions expected at Levi's Stadium, his quick-cut game should translate cleanly, making this prop tough to pass up.

Pick: Over 94.5 yards (-115)

Receptions: Over (-140)/Under 6.5 (+110)

JSN averaged 6.5 catches per game in the regular season but reached 7 or more in 12 starts, thriving in rhythm-based passing scripts. The Patriots allow 5.8 receptions per game to slot receivers and often concede underneath routes to prevent explosives. If Darnold faces pressure, JSN's short-area quickness should draw checkdowns, slants, and screens.

Pick: Over 6.5 receptions (-140)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-110)

JSN scored 9 receiving touchdowns in the regular season, finding the end zone in 8 games and converting 60 percent of his red-zone targets. He added 2 more touchdowns in the playoffs, using sharp routes to create separation near the pylon. New England allows 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game and has struggled with quick separators in man coverage. As favorites, Seattle should generate red-zone opportunities where JSN's slot alignment creates natural leverage.

Pick: Yes (Anytime TD Scorer) (-110)

Longest Reception: Over/Under 22.5 (-115)

JSN recorded receptions of 25 yards or more in 9 regular-season games, including three plays of 50 yards or longer. He continued to produce chunk gains in the playoffs, clearing 20 yards on multiple catches against aggressive safety rotations. Seattle's play-action game creates vertical opportunities, and New England's man coverage can be beaten if corners press too aggressively.

Pick: Over 22.5 yards (-115)

As Super Bowl LX approaches, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned to shine on the biggest stage. His route savvy, separation skills, and YAC ability challenge New England's disciplined secondary and give Seattle a versatile weapon who can tilt the matchup. With Seattle favored and JSN entering fully healthy, these potentially lucrative props highlight where he can break the game open.

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