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2026 Super Bowl Defensive Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/2/2026

Super Bowl defensive props odds and predictions Christian Gonzalez New England Patriots

The Super Bowl is less than a week away, and now there is no better time to analyze some defensive player props. In what is forecasted to be a thrilling defensive showing, this year’s Super Bowl provides us with a lot of fun and interesting props to follow leading up to the big game. We have seen these two teams take very different paths to reach the Super Bowl, but one thing they have in common is their stout defenses that like to bully their opponents.

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The New England Patriots have allowed just 8.7 PPG during the postseason, though that number may be influenced by the ailing, turnover-happy C.J. Stroud, and the fact that they faced a backup quarterback, in a blizzard, in the AFC Conference Championship game. Their defense has also held the opposition to just 209.7 YPG, while limiting the opposing run game to just 71.3 YPG.

As for Seattle, they allowed San Francisco to score just six points, while the Los Angeles Rams scored 27 in the NFC Conference Championship game. The 16.5 PPG allowed in the postseason is right in line with their NFL leading 17.2 PPG allowed during the regular season. Their matchup against the Rams has swelled their defensive numbers, making them appear less dominant that New England’s.

No matter what the numbers are telling us, we still have a game to play. Let’s dive into some defensive props to follow ahead of this year’s Super Bowl.

Christian Gonzalez – To Record an Interception: +650

Christian Gonzalez will no doubt have his hands full with Jaxon Smith-Njigba in this one. With that being said, he will likely have the most opportunities to record an interception thanks to the heavily targeted WR1. While Cooper Kupp is also present, Sam Darnold had favored Smith-Njigba all year. Smith-Njigba has been targeted on 32% of Darnold’s passes in the postseason, and nearly 36% of his passes during the regular season. Gonzalez has not recorded a lot of interceptions (four) in his three years in the NFL, but there is no denying his lockdown ability. It also helps his cause that his defensive line will be rattling Darnold all game, further increasing the likelihood of a poorly thrown heave in Smith-Njigba’s direction. At +650, this is worth some couch change.

Ernest Jones IV – Under 8.5 Total Tackles: +109

Ernest Jones IV has been everywhere for Seattle’s defense this season. He led the team in tackles (126), interceptions (five), while also recording four TFL’s and seven pass deflections during the regular season. That same stat-sheet filling tendency has followed him into the postseason as he has recorded 14 total tackles, while also forcing a fumble, breaking up a pass, and recording an interception. Despite the dominant numbers, I am taking the south side of his tackle total here. In the postseason, Jones has averaged just seven tackles per game, and he averaged 8.4 tackles per game during the regular season. With the number set at 8.5, there is no statistical significance in assuming an over here. Take the under at plus money.

Christian Elliss – Over 5.5 Total Tackles: -148

On the other side, we have Christian Elliss who has been all over the field for New England’s defense. He set a career high in tackles this year, finishing second on the team with 94 tackles during the regular season. In the postseason, he has recorded 16 total tackles in New England’s three games. Seattle runs the ball frequently, and even with a weaker running back room, they should continue to try and take the pressure off of Darnold. With that being said, in a defensive minded game, both sides will look to control time of possession. Expect this game to have a slower pace, especially early as both sides try and insert their run game. Elliss should get a lot of chances to record tackles here and may even reach the total in the first half.

New England Patriots – Most Sacks: +170

Darnold has been sacked five times in two postseason games and was sacked 27 times during the regular season. New England has recorded 12 sacks in the postseason and had 35 in the regular season. Seattle’s offensive line, while improved from last season, still ranks near the middle to lower half of the league in most major categories. Now, you could argue that Drake Maye has been sacked five times per game in the postseason. However, the Patriots have faced three of the Top Five defenses in the league ahead of this one here. With +170 odds, there is some value for the Patriots to be the sack leader in this game.  

K’Lavon Chaisson – Over 0.25 Sacks: +137

In 88 career regular season games, K’Lavon Chaisson has recorded 17.5 sacks. However, he has recorded three sacks in three postseason games for New England. He has been making big plays for the Patriots throughout the postseason, recording two sacks and a forced fumble against the Chargers, picking up a sack and a pass deflection against the Texans, and recording five tackles and a stuff against Denver. While the Seahawks will be focused on the run game, it is hard not to like a sack per game average. New England has averaged four sacks per game in the postseason, expect Chaisson to get his at some point in this one.

DeMarcus Lawrence – Over 0.25 Sacks: -104

To round out our over-heavy prop list, we have Demarcus Lawrence recording over 0.25 sacks, at -104. Lawrence has been dominant throughout his entire career, and sacking the quarterback is nothing new to him. In his first year with Seattle, Lawrence had six sacks in 16 games, boosting the stout defensive front for the Seahawks. He has continued his dominance in the postseason. Lawrence has recorded a sack in each of the Seahawks’ playoff games, while also recording three forced fumbles. The Patriots line may have some hiccups early on, before ultimately digging in and wearing out the defensive line and expect the veteran edge rusher to be ready to make a statement in his first Super Bowl appearance.

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