Super Bowl Halftime Betting 2019
For most people, halftime in the Super Bowl is time to grab a fresh beer and some snacks, hit the bathroom, and settle in to watch the halftime show. For some bettors, though, the time can be used more profitably. Super Bowl halftime betting is available in all NFL games, but it can be more attractive in the Super Bowl than other spots.
Halftime betting is just what it sounds like. You bet at halftime about what is going to happen in the second half. Books set these lines and totals heading into the break, and you have the time of the intermission to bet them. Books set Super Bowl props for the second half, too. There is one big reason a lot of people are drawn to halftime betting - you don't have to bet the second half until you have watched the first half. Nothing is more important in sports betting than information, and by watching how the first half plays out, you have the most current information you can have, You see how teams match up, how players and coaches are reacting to each other, and so on.
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There are three good reasons why halftime betting is more attractive in the Super Bowl than in other games:
Your eyes: There is a whole lot of noise surrounding this game. Everyone has an opinion, and they are everywhere. For example, I write almost as much about this one game as I do about all the games in the regular season combined - and it's not like I don't write about the NFL regularly. Multiply that boost in content by every media outlet that covers the sport regularly, and add in all the outlets that only jump on the bandwagon one time to year, and there are a whole lot of opinions and 'insight' to wade through. It can be overwhelming. When you do halftime betting, though, none of that matters. You can rely on what you have seen in the first half with your own eyes. It's about what you think and see, not everything else.
More equal access: when you are betting regular lines for games you aren't getting a fair look at them. By the time you are able to bet them, the sharp bettors have had plenty of access, and they have been able to bet any of the early value out of them. With these lines, though, there isn't as much time, so you get to bet much closer to a fresh line. It's a little more democratic.
The endless halftime: Halftimes in regular season games aren't actually very long, so you aren't left with a lot of time to handicap what you have seen in the game and make your decision about what you expect going forward. Because of the halftime show and the need to show lots of expensive commercials, though, the Super Bowl halftime goes on forever. I feel like I have lived through whole days that have gone by faster than some Super Bowl halftimes. If you are a deliberate handicapper who doesn't like to rush into decisions, then the extra time can be your friend.
When you consider betting the halftime lines, there are three factors to consider above most others:
Experience: Remember when we talked about how the Pats were slow out of the gate the last three times they have been in the gate? Well, they have had a lot more experience with this game than any of their opponents and know much more about what to expect and how to deal with the unique challenges of this game. So what else do those three games all have in common? They have won all three second halves - emphatically against the Falcons, and by two points against Philadelphia and four against the Seahawks. They know how to stay fresher, to adjust better, and to be readier. That may not be the case here, but there is no denying that they have dramatically more experience with this game than their opponents - on the field and among the coaches. The Patriots have coaches who have won seven and five Super Bowl rings. The Rams don't have seven Super Bowl appearances, never mind wins, among their coaching staff combined.
Same or different?: We know that the second half of the Super Bowl rarely looks the same as the first for either team. Adjustments happen in this game and often more in this one than any other. So, we can't expect that what we have seen in the first half will be what we see in the second. What we can do, though, is look at how similar the first half has looked to the recent games. To generalize, the Rams come into this game with some offensive issues that they have been able to overcome to make it this far. The Patriots, meanwhile, have been as good offensively in the playoffs as we have seen them this year. What I'll be looking to see, then, is if the teams look pretty much the same in the first half as they have up to this point. If so then it is easier to look back at the two playoffs to see what happen and then to apply that here. But if one or both teams look significantly different, then the handicapping challenge is bigger.
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