2023 Super Bowl Props to Avoid - Beware the Sucker Bet
The Super Bowl offers a variety of props, but not all of them should be wagered on. You can bet on almost anything, from the length of the National Anthem, to the Gatorade color showered on the victor’s coach, to the infamous coin toss. Oh, and of course you can bet on the actual football game too.
The sheer number of props available can be overwhelming, and navigating which ones are worth playing, and where to stay away, is critical to preserving your bankroll. The complicated theatrics the Super Bowl brings with it seems to grow bigger and bigger as the years go on, and the unofficial national holiday looks to attract more than hundreds of millions of viewers throughout the game. The bookies will try to take advantage of the newbies entering the betting world, and avoiding these traps is of the utmost importance.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
The Coin Toss:
Let’s not beat around the bush here, there can be arguments (weak ones) made about any of the other props, such as an insider tip around the Gatorade import, but the biggest crapshoot of them all is the coin toss. No NFL or Super Bowl expert can give sound advice on the flip of a coin. And what makes matters worse is that the books themselves profit on this show. Odds of -105 to -115 are very common on a 50/50 event, ensuring the books make money before a ball is kicked. Betting on the coin toss can be a fun way to start the Super Bowl, but wagering anything more than a few dollars is ridiculous. I’m personally riding a 3-year win streak on the coin toss (Pick is Heads this year btw), but I’m betting $2 on the flip. Don’t convince yourself this event is anything other than a 50/50 and keep the bills in your wallet for the actual game.
While they may not be as random as a coin toss, laying any serious cash on what song Rihanna will sing first or any other non-football prop should be avoided. These odds are created by the bookies in an attempt to induce you to sway away from betting on the actual game. I’ve heard countless strategies on getting tips on these bets, none of which work. Videos have been released of the National Anthem singer belting out a 3-minute anthem, just for her to speed up and undercut it by 45 seconds on gameday. Employees have tried to sneak a peek at the Gatorade color hours before the game, only for their attempts to be futile. Unless you're first-cousins with Rihanna and she explicitly told you what she’s going to be singing first, I’d stick to football.
Kickoff Return for a TD:
The sportsbooks offer football related props such as these, that would never be touched during regular season play. There were only 5 games with a kickoff returned for a touchdown in the regular season, equivalent to just 1.8% of games. Odds of +1200 imply the percentage is 8.25%, meaning you’re getting undercut by the books by a significant margin. The last time this prop cashed was in 2014 when Percy Havin ran back a kickoff for an 87-yard touchdown, and that will probably be the last one for decades. There is no reason to bet on ‘Super Bowl Specials’ such as this, when the odds are severely in the bookies favor.
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