Grant Park 165 Picks, Odds & Predictions 7/6/2025

by Josh Schonwald - 7/4/2025

Grant Park 165

Sunday, July 6, 2025

2:00 PM EST

Chicago Street Race

Chicago, IL

NASCAR will be revisiting the Chicago Street course on Sunday for Part 2 of the Challenge. This is one of the most unique tracks on the circuit and it runs 2.14 miles long with 12 turns throughout the city of Chicago. This race features a trip down Mag Mile, Lake Shore Drive, Buckingham Fountain and the Lakefront Green Park. It is truly a one of kind track that incorporates the Windy City into the center of the NASCAR world. This race is divided into three stages that include 20 laps, 25 laps and the final stage is 30 laps. Because of this 12-turn, technical course, with 90 degree turns, you won't see the high speeds that you might be used to in NASCAR event. Instead, you'll get to see strategy at its finest. Both IndyCar and IMSA use street courses in cities like St. Petersburg, Long Beach and Detroit that will be very reminiscent of what you'll see this weekend. This will only be the third time these drivers have raced this course as it is new to the circuit. That said, there is still a lot of learning to do, and drivers will do their best to "figure" this course out before their competition does.

nascar picks Shane van Gisbergen predictions best bet odds

Because of the newness and style of this race, there isn't a lot of data to work off if you're looking at making predictions. However, one can look at other street courses and more specifically, the previous two races in Chicago. While it a very small sample size to work from, it's the available data out there and there is something to be said about that. In addition, Mexico City and Circuit of the Americas are the other two road races on the docket this season. Over the course of the last two races in Chicago, Ty Gibbs has the highest driver rating with a 112.0 and his average finish sits at 6.0. Shane van Gisbergen has also raced well in Chicago with a 110.8 driver rating and Tyler Reddick has an average finish of 15 with a driver rating of 104.5. Even with that data, it's fair to say that nobody really knows what's going to happen, which makes for an incredible day at the races.

Challenge Round 1 - Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart Recap

Leading the pack towards the end of the race, Brad Keselowski was overtaken by Chase Elliott and was held off for a second-place finish. The win for Elliott broke a 44-race drought that spans back to a win at Texas Motor Speedway last season. This was the 20th win of Elliott's career and the second at EchoPark. He was able to get the victory over Keselowski by 0.168 seconds and 0.170 over Alex Bowman. We're at the halfway point of the season and Elliott put himself in a great position to move on to the next round.

NASCAR Playoff Standings

There are three drivers with three wins on the season, and they include Kyle Larson (589 points), Denny Hamlin (551 points) and Christopher Bell (551 points). After the top three in the Playoff hunt, there are nine other drivers with one win on the season, which leaves four spots open for the plethora of drivers looking to secure their spot. Rounding out the top 5 in the standings are William Bryon with 631 points and Chase Elliott with 594 points.

Grant Park 165 Odds

Shane van Gisbergen: +185
Kyle Larson: +650
Christopher Bell: +750
William Byron: +1200
Tyler Reddick: +1200
Ty Gibbs: +1200
Chase Elliott: +1400
Will Brown: +1800
Michael McDowell: +2200
Chris Buescher: +2200
Alex Bowman: +2200
AJ Allmendinger: +2200
Ross Chastain: +2200
Chase Briscoe: +2500
Kyle Busch: +2800
Daniel Suarez: +2800
Ryan Blaney: +3500
Denny Hamlin: +4000
Carson Hocevar: +4000
Austin Cindric: +5000

With the small sample size of races to compare to, it's understandable that Shane van Gisbergen would be the favorite by a long shot. He has performed incredibly in Chicago and seems to be the guy with the best chance to do it again. With such a high rating on this course, it's hard to bet against him this Sunday.

Josh's Pick: Take Shane van Gisbergen (+185)

Pick:
Start:	July 30, 2025 @ 9:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports Consensus Picks

Analysis:

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Grant Park 165 Picks, Odds & Predictions 7/6/2025

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