2026 Kenneth Walker III Super Bowl Props Odds with Expert Betting Predictions

by Joey House - 2/3/2026

Kenneth Walker III Super Bowl props predictions

Kenneth Walker III has cemented himself as one of the NFL's premier running backs in 2025, powering a Seattle Seahawks offense that went 14-3, won the NFC West, and secured the conference's top seed. The 25-year-old former second-round pick out of Michigan State delivered a true breakout season, setting career highs across the board. He started all 17 games and rushed for 1,027 yards on 221 carries (4.6 YPC) with 5 touchdowns, finishing 16th in rushing yards and tied for 30th in scores league-wide. Walker also expanded his impact as a receiver, catching 31 passes for 282 yards (9.1 per reception), proving himself a reliable checkdown and screen option.

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His explosiveness remained a defining trait. He ripped off multiple chunk gains, including a 55-yard long, and ranked top 15 among running backs in missed tackles forced. The performance earned him a second Pro Bowl selection and helped Seattle finish top 10 in rushing efficiency, complementing Sam Darnold's play-action attack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp. Walker elevated his play even further in the postseason, topping 100 rushing yards in two of three wins, highlighted by a 124-yard, two-touchdown effort in the NFC Championship Game. Across the playoffs, he averaged 4.8 yards per carry, added timely receptions, and consistently produced against loaded boxes. Klint Kubiak's scheme, built on gap concepts, outside zone, and misdirection, maximized Walker's burst and one-cut decisiveness.

Now he enters Super Bowl LX against the New England Patriots at Levi's Stadium, where Seattle is a 4.5-point favorite with a total around 45.5. New England ranks top 10 in run-defense DVOA, allowing just 4.2 yards per carry and limiting explosive plays, but they have shown vulnerability against physical, patient runners who stay on schedule. Early forecasts call for mid-60s temperatures with a slight chance of light rain, conditions that could soften the natural grass and favor Seattle's ground game if footing holds. With Seattle likely to lean on Walker to control tempo and protect a lead, his prop market offers strong value.

Rushing Yards: Over/Under 73.5

Walker averaged 60.4 rushing yards per game in the regular season, clearing this number in 8 of 17 contests, usually in positive scripts. His playoff production jumped to 92 yards per game at 4.8 YPC against quality fronts. New England limits yards after contact, but has surrendered 80 or more yards to versatile backs when opponents commit to volume. As favorites, Seattle should feature Walker early to set up play-action, and his burst can punish overpursuit if the line controls the point of attack.

Pick: Over 73.5 yards (-110)

Rushing Attempts: Over/Under 18.5

Walker averaged 13 carries per game in the regular season but consistently spiked above 20 attempts in games Seattle controlled. His playoff workload rose to 19 carries per game as the Seahawks leaned on balance to neutralize pass rushes. New England forces quicker throws and ranks top 10 in rush attempts allowed, yet Seattle's favored status suggests a run-heavy script designed to shorten the game and keep Drake Maye off the field. With Walker as the clear bell cow and Zach Charbonnet spelling him sparingly, projections sit at 19 to 21 carries.

Pick: Over 18.5 attempts (-120)

Rushing Touchdowns: Over/Under 0.5

Walker scored 5 rushing touchdowns in the regular season and added 2 more in the playoffs, converting 45 percent of his goal-line carries. New England allows 1.1 rushing touchdowns per game and has struggled against low-pad-level power backs inside the 5. With Seattle likely to generate multiple red-zone trips, Walker should see at least one high-leverage opportunity. His anytime-touchdown probability sits around 55 percent.

Pick: Over 0.5 touchdowns (+120)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer: 2+ Touchdowns

Walker scored 5 rushing touchdowns in the regular season and added 4 more in the playoffs, including a 2-TD performance in the NFC Championship. New England allows 1.1 rushing touchdowns per game and has struggled against physical backs inside the 5, an area where Walker's low pad level and burst give him a clear edge. As 4.5-point favorites, Seattle is projected to generate multiple red-zone trips and should feature Walker heavily in goal-line situations. His recent scoring surge and Seattle's run-heavy approach near the goal line create a realistic path to 2 or more touchdowns in a favorable script.

Pick: 2+ Touchdowns (+265)

Rushing + Receiving Yards: Over/Under 105.5

Walker totaled 1,309 scrimmage yards (77 per game) in the regular season and averaged 16.6 receiving yards on 31 catches. His playoff usage remained steady, with added receiving work in late-game or catch-up situations. New England limits yards after catch, but has allowed dual-threat backs to surpass 100 combined yards when used creatively. If Seattle incorporates screens or wheel routes to stress linebackers, Walker projects in the 108-to-112 range.

Pick: Over 105.5 yards (-110)

Longest Rush: Over/Under 14.5

Walker has consistently shown the ability to rip off medium‑sized chunk gains, even in games where he does not break a true explosive run. He produced multiple gains in the 12-to-18-yard range throughout the regular season and continued to generate similar bursts in the playoffs, where defenses focused on limiting his top-end explosiveness. Seattle's run concepts, built around outside zone, gap schemes, and misdirection, naturally create lanes for 15-yard runs when blocks are timed correctly. New England's defense is disciplined but can give up intermediate gains when linebackers overcommit or when play-action influences safety depth. With Seattle expected to lean on Walker early and often, his combination of burst, vision, and one-cut acceleration gives him a strong chance to clear this lower threshold on a single well-blocked carry.

Pick: Over 14.5 yards (-120)

As Super Bowl LX approaches, Walker stands poised to cap his best season with a defining performance. He has a real chance to become the first Seahawks back since Marshawn Lynch to top 100 rushing yards in a title game. His blend of power, burst, and receiving ability matches up well against New England's young, fast defense, setting the stage for a physical, clock-controlling battle. With Walker practicing fully this week and the weather trending favorably, his upside remains one of the central storylines of this championship matchup.

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Pick:	Tijuana -165
Start:	February 6, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Take Tijuana -165 over Puebla (10 p.m. EST, Friday February 6) Matchday 5 starts in Tijuana at Estadio Caliente. The Xolos of Tijuana enter the weekend at No. 8 on the table, but there is a great chance to move up with three points here as there are four teams above them but within two points. Tijuana have been literally unbeatable at home since the start of last season. They usually beat middle-to-lower table sides like this at home but draw against the heavy hitters of the Liga. So far they have earned only two points from two home matches. Their first match of the season was here vs. mighty America, and they definitely earned their point. Then the next home match was vs. San Luis, and they had victory snatched from them with an extra time goal by the visitors and had to settle for a 1-1 draw. But like we stated, they are going to beat most bad sides here, and Puebla is once again towards the bottom of the table after four matches after finishing dead last in the Apertura season that concluded in December. Tijuana have looked very good so far and they have earned a point in every match but with three draws and a win. They seemed to have fixed their road issues and they should once again be dominant at home. We will happily lay the juice here and probably sprinkle a small bet on the -1.5 goals for the home side as well. Read More Read Less

2026 Kenneth Walker III Super Bowl Props Odds with Expert Betting Predictions

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